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SAISA South Points 4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 38 25 63
2 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 42 52 94
3 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 61 33 94
4 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 70 36 106
5 The Pine School The Pine School Knights 45 64 109
6 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 52 58 110
7 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 56 55 111
8 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 41 77 118
9 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 91 99 190
10 Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 100 111 211
11 Naples High School Naples High School Golden Eagles 105 107 212
12 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 115 105 220
13 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 112 137 249
14 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 142 114 256
15 Falcons Falcons Falcons 122 169 291
16 Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 157 140 297
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1 1 6 5 5 1 5 7 2 5 38 Mitchell Callahan '22 [1-10]
Danny Rianno '23 [1-9]
Caroline Caudron '23 [10]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 5 7 1 6 3 5 6 4 3 1 41 Stan Ross '24
Zan Checetto '22
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 4 5 5 2 1 3 7 2 9 4 42 Guthrie Braun '22
Bella Testa '23
The Pine School The Pine School Knights 7 10 10 4 2 6 1 1 1 3 45 Peter Foley '22
Michael Blotnick '23
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 2 2 7 1 7 7 8 5 5 8 52 Jack Redmond '22
Kevin Gosselin '23
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 11 6 3 3 6 2 9 3 7 6 56 Cort Snyder '23
Dante Garcia '24
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 9 3 4 RDG 8 8 11 6 6 2 61 Griggs Diemar '25
Boris Bialer '22
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 14 11 2 8 4 9 2 9 4 7 70 Sidney Moyer '23
Dorothy Mendelblatt '24
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 13 8 8 9 9 4 3 12 14 11 91 Reid Nelson '23
Johnathan Pittman '22
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 6 12 9 11 10 10 4 14 10 14 100 Bo Dwyer '22
Zachary Syska '22
Naples High School Naples High School Golden Eagles 3 4 13 12 14 15 14 10 8 12 105 Lauren Connell '22 [1-10]
Maia Musial '22 [1-4, 10]
Reagan Wimsatt '22 [5-9]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 10 13 11 7 12 12 10 13 15 9 112 William Kulas '24
Kaitlin Eaton '23
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 8 9 12 13 13 14 13 8 12 13 115 Keegan Mackinnon '23
Kyle Weiksnar '25
Falcons Falcons Falcons 15 15 14 10 11 13 12 11 11 10 122
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 12 14 15 15 15 11 15 16 13 16 142 Zuzanna Barska '22
Daphne Dalton '24
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 16 16 DNF 14 16 16 16 15 16 15 157 Alyssa Jongsma '23 [1-4, 6, 8, 10]
Abraham Reynolds '23 [5, 9]
Roman Khrushchinskiy '23 [7]
Erinne Fenton '25 [1-2, 5, 8-9]
Roman Khrushchinskiy '23 [3-4, 10]
Nick Waite '23 [6]
Abraham Reynolds '23 [7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 6 4 1 2 3 3 1 3 1 1 25 Umi Noritake '24 [1-10]
Brianna Ross '22 [1-9]
Jadin Gonzalez '24 [10]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 3 8 1 1 1 3 5 5 5 33 Olivia Drulard '23 [1-3]
Emery Diemar '24 [4-10]
Evelyn Yu '24 [1-3]
Eva Gonzalez '22 [4-10]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 4 2 2 4 9 2 2 7 2 2 36 Bella Shakespeare '23
Travis Brackin '22
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 3 5 4 6 4 6 4 2 11 7 52 Ethan Danielson '22
Rosie Simpson '25
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 5 1 9 5 2 OCS 6 1 3 6 55 Leo Seuss '23
Jonas Carvalho '23
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 9 6 3 9 6 4 8 6 4 3 58 Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23 [1-6]
Laura Hamilton '23 [7-10]
Parker Bustamante '25 [1-6]
Ava Meshel '24 [7-10]
The Pine School The Pine School Knights 2 9 6 7 5 10 7 4 6 8 64 Audrey Foley '24
Tanner Spurlin '23
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 11 8 13 3 10 5 5 8 10 4 77 Will Dimaio '22
Meave Mullen '23
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 10 7 12 8 14 9 13 9 7 10 99 Julia Conneely '22 [1-7]
Ian Richardson '25 [8-10]
Dria Shepperd '23 [1]
Alexandra Crow '22 [2-10]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 7 13 5 12 11 8 12 13 12 12 105 Stevan Weiss '23
Heidi Weiksnar '23
Naples High School Naples High School Golden Eagles 13 14 11 11 7 7 10 12 8 14 107 Carson Page '23 [1-10]
Conner Bricco '22 [1-4, 9-10]
Keilan Keith '22 [5-8]
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 12 11 7 13 12 12 11 11 9 13 111 Ryan Terski '22 [1-10]
Morgan Gahan '22 [1-6, 9-10]
Ashton Broadwater '24 [7-8]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 14 12 14 10 8 13 9 10 13 11 114 Jakub Barski '23 [1-10]
Sophie Suereth '22 [1-6]
Savannah Kautz '26 [7-10]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 8 10 10 14 13 14 DNS DNS DNS DNS 137 Elizabeth Wire '24
Matt Baer '25
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 15 15 15 15 15 11 DNS 14 14 9 140 Kane Fenton '23 [1-10]
Sarah Burbank '24 [1-2, 9-10]
Nick Waite '23 [3-5]
Cody Reynolds '25 [6-8]
Falcons Falcons Falcons 16 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 169
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.220+0.22
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave1111111111
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders2222222222
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions4444444444
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons5555555555
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers6666666666
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Golden Eagles7777777777
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves8888888888
FalconsFalcons Falcons9999999999
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers3333333333
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders10101010101010101010
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders14141414141414141414
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers11111111111111111111
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS12121212121212121212
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils13131313131313131313
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Knights15151515151515151515
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Indians16161616161616161616

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave1111111111
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders2222222222
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions4444444444
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons5555555555
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers6666666666
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Golden Eagles7777777777
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves8888888888
FalconsFalcons Falcons9999999999
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers3333333333
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders10101010101010101010
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders14141414141414141414
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers11111111111111111111
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS12121212121212121212
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils13131313131313131313
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Knights15151515151515151515
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Indians16161616161616161616
School / Team SkipperCrew
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Bo Dwyer '22 Zachary Syska '22
Green Wave Ryan Terski '22 [1-10] Morgan Gahan '22 [1-6, 9-10]
Ashton Broadwater '24 [7-8]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Cort Snyder '23 Dante Garcia '24
Raiders Leo Seuss '23 Jonas Carvalho '23
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Reid Nelson '23 Johnathan Pittman '22
Panthers Julia Conneely '22 [1-7]
Ian Richardson '25 [8-10]		 Dria Shepperd '23 [1]
Alexandra Crow '22 [2-10]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Mitchell Callahan '22 [1-10] Danny Rianno '23 [1-9]
Caroline Caudron '23 [10]
Royal Lions Umi Noritake '24 [1-10] Brianna Ross '22 [1-9]
Jadin Gonzalez '24 [10]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School William Kulas '24 Kaitlin Eaton '23
Falcons Elizabeth Wire '24 Matt Baer '25
Martin County High School Martin County High School Keegan Mackinnon '23 Kyle Weiksnar '25
Tigers Stevan Weiss '23 Heidi Weiksnar '23
Naples High School Naples High School Lauren Connell '22 [1-10] Maia Musial '22 [1-4, 10]
Reagan Wimsatt '22 [5-9]
Golden Eagles Carson Page '23 [1-10] Conner Bricco '22 [1-4, 9-10]
Keilan Keith '22 [5-8]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Stan Ross '24 Zan Checetto '22
ThunderWolves Will Dimaio '22 Meave Mullen '23
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Griggs Diemar '25 Boris Bialer '22
Raiders Olivia Drulard '23 [1-3]
Emery Diemar '24 [4-10]		 Evelyn Yu '24 [1-3]
Eva Gonzalez '22 [4-10]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Guthrie Braun '22 Bella Testa '23
Chargers Ethan Danielson '22 Rosie Simpson '25
South Fork High School South Fork High School Zuzanna Barska '22 Daphne Dalton '24
SF BULLDOGS Jakub Barski '23 [1-10] Sophie Suereth '22 [1-6]
Savannah Kautz '26 [7-10]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Sidney Moyer '23 Dorothy Mendelblatt '24
Green Devils Bella Shakespeare '23 Travis Brackin '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Jack Redmond '22 Kevin Gosselin '23
Raiders Mary (Lucy) Meagher '23 [1-6]
Laura Hamilton '23 [7-10]		 Parker Bustamante '25 [1-6]
Ava Meshel '24 [7-10]
The Pine School The Pine School Peter Foley '22 Michael Blotnick '23
Knights Audrey Foley '24 Tanner Spurlin '23
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Alyssa Jongsma '23 [1-4, 6, 8, 10]
Abraham Reynolds '23 [5, 9]
Roman Khrushchinskiy '23 [7]		 Erinne Fenton '25 [1-2, 5, 8-9]
Roman Khrushchinskiy '23 [3-4, 10]
Nick Waite '23 [6]
Abraham Reynolds '23 [7]
Indians Kane Fenton '23 [1-10] Sarah Burbank '24 [1-2, 9-10]
Nick Waite '23 [3-5]
Cody Reynolds '25 [6-8]

Conditions — 01/22/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 87%  ·  Pressure 1021.7 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.6 kn
avg  ·  max 12.1 kn
Gusts to 21.0 kn
From NNE (30°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine1.1 hrs Humidity87% Pressure1021.7 hPa Rain0.12 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Shorecrest Prep/St. Petersburg: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Shorecrest Prep/St. Petersburg by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Shorecrest Prep/St. Petersburg, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →