VISA Girls Fleet Championship

HostYouth Sailing Virginia
Date04/24/2022
TypeLeague Championship
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 1	33	33
2	Nansemond-Suffolk Academy	Saints	34	34
3	The Hague School	The Tritons	39	39
4	Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 2	48	48
5	Christchurch School	Seahorses 1	49	49
6	Christchurch School	Seahorses 2	60	60
7	Maury High School	Commodores 1	69	69
8	Poquoson High School	Islanders 1	76	76
9	Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 1	79	79
10	Walsingham Academy	Trojans	108	108
11	Christchurch School	Seahorses 3	114	114
12	Norfolk Academy	Bulldogs	116	116
13	Maury High School	Commodores 2	120	120
14	Grafton High School	Varsity 1	135	135
15	Poquoson High School	Islanders 2	136	136
16	Grafton High School	Varsity 2	153	153
17	Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 2	165	165
18	Granby High School	Comets	190	190

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 1	1	5	2	1	1	DSQ	1	1	1	1	33	Maggie Campbell '22 Clara Murphy '23
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy	Saints	2	3	1	2	3	7	6	2	4	4	34	Leila Pfrang '25 Madison Bivins '25
The Hague School	The Tritons	4	2	6	3	2	6	2	5	6	3	39	Charlotte Stillman '23 [1-10] Justina Reynolds '24 [1-2, 6-7, 10] Aliyah Oakley '23 [3-5, 8-9]
Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 2	6	7	3	5	8	2	3	4	5	5	48	Maddie Murphy '25 Kiana Beachy '24
Christchurch School	Seahorses 1	3	6	7	9	7	3	7	3	2	2	49	Madeline Janzen '25 Emilie Janzen '22
Christchurch School	Seahorses 2	7	1	4	4	6	9	5	14	3	7	60	Alders Kulynych-Irvin '25 Marina Dryer '22
Maury High School	Commodores 1	9	4	5	11	5	1	8	6	10	10	69	Emily Priest '25 [1-2] Ava Morgan '25 [3-10] Charlotte Shumate '23 [1-2, 10] Madeline Ballard '25 [3-5] Gabby Cloe '24 [6-7] Lillian Rippel '25 [8-9]
Poquoson High School	Islanders 1	8	11	10	7	4	5	10	8	7	6	76	Olivia Gilmore '23 Emery Hill '23
Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 1	5	8	8	6	13	4	4	7	9	15	79	Madison Newton '25 Chloe Anderson '24
Walsingham Academy	Trojans	11	10	9	12	11	8	11	12	15	9	108	Katherine Anna Hamner '22 Scarlett Foster '26
Christchurch School	Seahorses 3	10	9	11	10	12	13	9	10	13	17	114	Simone Moss '25 Ellie Hasbrouck '24
Norfolk Academy	Bulldogs	12	RAF	12	8	9	10	12	11	12	11	116	Rebecca Schill '23 Marin Soderberg '24
Maury High School	Commodores 2	14	13	13	13	10	12	16	9	8	12	120	Ava Morgan '25 [1-2] Emily Priest '25 [3-10] Madeline Ballard '25 [1-2, 8-9] Lillian Rippel '25 [3-5] Charlotte Shumate '23 [6-7] Gabby Cloe '24 [10]
Grafton High School	Varsity 1	15	14	16	14	15	11	13	13	11	13	135	Gracie Goodwin '25 Helen Schmuck '23
Poquoson High School	Islanders 2	13	12	14	15	14	14	14	16	16	8	136	Grace Watlington '22 [1-7] Aubrey Walton '23 [8-10] Aubrey Walton '23 [1-7] Grace Watlington '22 [8-10]
Grafton High School	Varsity 2	16	15	17	16	16	15	15	15	14	14	153	Lillian Mcdermott '25 Abby Gryzen '23
Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 2	17	16	15	17	17	16	17	17	17	16	165	Molly Hanson '23 Sophia Carleton '26
Granby High School	Comets	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	190	No Show No Show

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.120+0.12

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (48 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A
Christchurch School Seahorses 1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Christchurch School Seahorses 2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Christchurch School Seahorses 3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Grafton High School Varsity 1	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Grafton High School Varsity 2	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Granby High School Comets	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Maury High School Commodores 1	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
Maury High School Commodores 2	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Norfolk Academy Bulldogs	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Poquoson High School Islanders 1	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Poquoson High School Islanders 2	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
The Hague School The Tritons	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17
Walsingham Academy Trojans	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Christchurch School	Seahorses 1	Madeline Janzen '25	Emilie Janzen '22
Christchurch School	Seahorses 2	Alders Kulynych-Irvin '25	Marina Dryer '22
Christchurch School	Seahorses 3	Simone Moss '25	Ellie Hasbrouck '24
Grafton High School	Varsity 1	Gracie Goodwin '25	Helen Schmuck '23
Grafton High School	Varsity 2	Lillian Mcdermott '25	Abby Gryzen '23
Granby High School	Comets	No Show	No Show
Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 1	Madison Newton '25	Chloe Anderson '24
Kecoughtan High School	Warriors 2	Molly Hanson '23	Sophia Carleton '26
Maury High School	Commodores 1	Emily Priest '25 [1-2] Ava Morgan '25 [3-10]	Charlotte Shumate '23 [1-2, 10] Madeline Ballard '25 [3-5] Gabby Cloe '24 [6-7] Lillian Rippel '25 [8-9]
Maury High School	Commodores 2	Ava Morgan '25 [1-2] Emily Priest '25 [3-10]	Madeline Ballard '25 [1-2, 8-9] Lillian Rippel '25 [3-5] Charlotte Shumate '23 [6-7] Gabby Cloe '24 [10]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy	Saints	Leila Pfrang '25	Madison Bivins '25
Norfolk Academy	Bulldogs	Rebecca Schill '23	Marin Soderberg '24
Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 1	Maggie Campbell '22	Clara Murphy '23
Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks 2	Maddie Murphy '25	Kiana Beachy '24
Poquoson High School	Islanders 1	Olivia Gilmore '23	Emery Hill '23
Poquoson High School	Islanders 2	Grace Watlington '22 [1-7] Aubrey Walton '23 [8-10]	Aubrey Walton '23 [1-7] Grace Watlington '22 [8-10]
The Hague School	The Tritons	Charlotte Stillman '23 [1-10]	Justina Reynolds '24 [1-2, 6-7, 10] Aliyah Oakley '23 [3-5, 8-9]
Walsingham Academy	Trojans	Katherine Anna Hamner '22	Scarlett Foster '26

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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VISA Girls Fleet Championship

Division A

From the notes