MDISA BCSC Tier 3/Bronze Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Maryvale Preparatory School Maryvale Preparatory School Lions 14 22 36
2 Park School Park School Bruins 8 32 40
3 Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 30 11 41
4 Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 31 13 44
5 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 19 30 49
6 Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 24 33 57
7 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 16 46 62
8 Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 38 26 64
9 The Tome School The Tome School Titans 29 37 66
10 School Without Walls School Without Walls Varsity 50 18 68
11 Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Quakers 18 54 72
12 Towson High School Towson High School Generals 46 33 79
13 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 53 30 83
14 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 52 35 87
15 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 52 61 113
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Park School Park School Bruins 5 1 1 1 8 Noah Levy '25
Malia Deane '25
Maryvale Preparatory School Maryvale Preparatory School Lions 8 2 2 2 14 Julia Kozlowski '24 [1-4]
Will Nelson '26 [1-2]
Alexandria Still '27 [3-4]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 2 6 4 4 16 James Biles V '27
Preston Allen '27
Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Quakers 3 5 5 5 18 Asa Arnot '25
Greyson Vaslow '26
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 6 3 7 3 19 Pierce Brenner '25 [1-2]
Spencer Aubel '26 [3-4]
Alexandria Still '27 [1-2]
Bret Boeskin '23 [3-4]
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 4 4 9 7 24 Jake Crandall '23
Henry Wolff '24
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 1 7 10 11 29 Nathan Joseph '24
Emerson Stehl '26
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 11 10 3 6 30 Miles Guth '25
Porter Nachtman '26
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 7 9 6 9 31 Kaia Deane '28
Lance Shrum '25
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 9 11 8 10 38 Shane Churilla '25
Georgia Neaderland '26
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 13 12 13 8 46 Pat Feehley '23
Carter Robbins '25
School Without Walls School Without Walls Varsity 15 8 14 13 50 Henry Cummins '29 [1-2]
Henry Yang '27 [3-4]
Malory Kroeger '24 [1-2]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 10 13 15 14 52 Reese Bauer '25 [1-4]
Charlie Ruschaupt '24 [1-2]
Gabe Di Meo '25 [3-4]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 14 15 11 12 52 Charles Keister '23
Samuel Glauner '27
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 12 14 12 15 53 Will Grah '25
Cormac Flynn '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 1 4 5 1 11 Thor Cohen '25
Tucker Brown '25
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 2 2 7 2 13 Claire Rowland '26
Sophia Hammond '26
School Without Walls School Without Walls Varsity 4 5 3 6 18 Eliana Arteaga '29
Eli Cummins '27
Maryvale Preparatory School Maryvale Preparatory School Lions 7 1 6 8 22 Tessa Deluca '25
Alexander "Jack" Salim '24
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 11 6 2 7 26 William Kessner '23
Grace Shields '25
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 3 13 9 5 30 Henry Carlson '25
Tanner Strom '23
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 8 7 4 11 30 Charlie Bates '26
Nicholas Kitts '25
Park School Park School Bruins 13 8 1 10 32 Emma Borden '25
Ingrid Laurens '25
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 5 11 8 9 33 Theodore Jones '24
Marcus Kozlowski '26
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 9 9 12 3 33 Mike Feehley '23
Anna Makovich '26
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 10 3 10 12 35 Allie Clark '26
Owen Smith '26
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 12 10 11 4 37 Nathaniel Wyman '28
Gideon Garber '28
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 6 14 13 13 46 Gavin Klakring '27
Brooke Hayward '23
Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Quakers 14 12 14 14 54 Ryan Michael '26
Jacob Davis '26
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 15 DNF 15 15 61 Josh Goodman '24
Tilghman Grim '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers1133
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals2244
Friends School of BaltimoreFriends School of Baltimore Quakers3355
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds4466
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets5577
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers6688
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders7799
Maryvale Preparatory SchoolMaryvale Preparatory School Lions881010
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers991111
Park SchoolPark School Bruins10101212
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons12121414
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans13131515
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals141411
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings151522
School Without WallsSchool Without Walls Varsity11111313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers2244
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals3355
Friends School of BaltimoreFriends School of Baltimore Quakers4466
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds5577
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets6688
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers7799
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders881010
Maryvale Preparatory SchoolMaryvale Preparatory School Lions991111
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers10101212
Park SchoolPark School Bruins11111313
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons13131515
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans141411
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals151522
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings1133
School Without WallsSchool Without Walls Varsity12121414
School / Team SkipperCrew
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Reese Bauer '25 [1-4] Charlie Ruschaupt '24 [1-2]
Gabe Di Meo '25 [3-4]
Cavaliers Josh Goodman '24 Tilghman Grim '24
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Jake Crandall '23 Henry Wolff '24
Cardinals Theodore Jones '24 Marcus Kozlowski '26
Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Asa Arnot '25 Greyson Vaslow '26
Quakers Ryan Michael '26 Jacob Davis '26
Gilman School Gilman School Miles Guth '25 Porter Nachtman '26
Greyhounds Thor Cohen '25 Tucker Brown '25
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Charles Keister '23 Samuel Glauner '27
Hornets Allie Clark '26 Owen Smith '26
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School James Biles V '27 Preston Allen '27
Buccaneers Gavin Klakring '27 Brooke Hayward '23
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Will Grah '25 Cormac Flynn '24
Raiders Charlie Bates '26 Nicholas Kitts '25
Maryvale Preparatory School Maryvale Preparatory School Julia Kozlowski '24 [1-4] Will Nelson '26 [1-2]
Alexandria Still '27 [3-4]
Lions Tessa Deluca '25 Alexander "Jack" Salim '24
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Kaia Deane '28 Lance Shrum '25
Blazers Claire Rowland '26 Sophia Hammond '26
Park School Park School Noah Levy '25 Malia Deane '25
Bruins Emma Borden '25 Ingrid Laurens '25
School Without Walls School Without Walls Henry Cummins '29 [1-2]
Henry Yang '27 [3-4]
Malory Kroeger '24 [1-2]
Varsity Eliana Arteaga '29 Eli Cummins '27
Severna Park Severna Park Pierce Brenner '25 [1-2]
Spencer Aubel '26 [3-4]
Alexandria Still '27 [1-2]
Bret Boeskin '23 [3-4]
Falcons Henry Carlson '25 Tanner Strom '23
The Tome School The Tome School Nathan Joseph '24 Emerson Stehl '26
Titans Nathaniel Wyman '28 Gideon Garber '28
Towson High School Towson High School Pat Feehley '23 Carter Robbins '25
Generals Mike Feehley '23 Anna Makovich '26
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Shane Churilla '25 Georgia Neaderland '26
Vikings William Kessner '23 Grace Shields '25

Conditions — 04/29/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1008.7 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.0 kn
Gusts to 14.2 kn
From W (281°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine6.9 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1008.7 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 2 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Baltimore County Sailing Center: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.26
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.29 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Baltimore County Sailing Center by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Baltimore County Sailing Center, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →