Severna Park '25
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 65.18 percentile among ISSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.116 rating points from 16 races with rated skippers. Few races, so the estimate stays near the middle.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | Severna Park | 1.63 | 76.17 | 30.00 | 4 of 5 | 10 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 (fleet 0.50) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.02 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 3–3 (50%) as crew 3–3 (50%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 3 | 3–3 | 3–3 |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (6 matches) the record is 3–3 against 3.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.0). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-17 | National Invitational Tournament | crew | 1.65 | 1.63 | 3–3 | 3.0 | −0.02 | 0.0 | 67% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| MDISA Severn Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 78% | — |
| National Invitational Tournament | Crew | TR | 12 | 50% | — |
| MDISA SSA Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 67% | — |
| MDISA SCC Tier 1 Fleet Race | Skipper | B | 2 | 6.5 | 1.19 |
| MDISA Fleet Race Qualifier | Skipper | B | 1 | 10.0 | — |
| 2025 Phebe Corckran King Memorial Trophy | Crew | A | 10 | 7.3 | +0.41 |
| 2025 T1 Fleet Championship | Skipper | A | 5 | 10.2 | 0.69 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| MDISA TAYC Varsity Regatta | Skipper | B | 2 | 9.5 | 0.46 |
| MDISA TAYC Fleet | Skipper | A | 6 | 5.3 | 0.93 |
| MDISA Kent Island Tier 2 | Skipper | A | 3 | 5.0 | 0.67 |
| MDISA BCSC May Tier 2 Regatta | Skipper | A | 4 | 8.0 | 0.63 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| MDISA DC Sail Spring '23 T2 | Skipper | B | 3 | 6.0 | -0.49 |
| MDISA BCSC Tier 3/Bronze Regatta | Skipper | A | 2 | 4.5 | 1.38 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| MDISA Kent Island | Skipper | A | 5 | 7.4 | -0.47 |
| MDISA JV Fleet Regatta | Skipper | A | 2 | 10.5 | -1.71 |
| MDISA JV Championships | Crew | A | 3 | 5.7 | — |
| MDISA BCSC Tier 3 Regatta #1 | Crew | A | 3 | 1.7 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
To have this profile removed, email quinnbrighton2005@gmail.com.
