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MDISA Fleet Race Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 26 60 86
2 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 53 76 129
3 Key School Key School Zags 56 113 169
4 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 95 80 175
5 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 115 68 183
6 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 119 69 188
7 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 132 108 240
8 Gunston Gunston Herons 149 96 245
9 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 120 136 256
10 Henderson High School Henderson High School Warriors 110 165 275
11 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 108 180 288
12 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 130 189 319
13 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 213 124 337
14 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 191 161 352
15 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 205 202 407
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 3 6 1 1 1 1 3 26 Harrison Szot '27 [1-6, 9-10]
Annie Sitzmann '26 [7-8, 11-15]
Ana Fishback '27 [1-6, 9-10]
Annabelle Ulak '26 [7-8, 11-15]
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 3 2 3 3 2 2 6 3 1 3 5 7 2 3 8 53 Peter Judge '25
Connor Smith '25
Key School Key School Zags 5 4 2 1 3 3 1 2 7 4 8 2 3 7 4 56 Mason Cook '25 [1-15]
Elizabeth Roesch '27 [1-2, 7-15]
Ben Coster '31 [3-6]
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 7 10 8 11 10 12 3 4 8 5 3 6 5 2 1 95 Halsey Carter '26 [1-15]
Luc Tetreault '27 [1-2]
Aurelea Cerny '30 [3-15]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 10 11 9 7 8 4 11 5 4 8 9 4 4 4 10 108 James Biles V '27
Viana Johnston '28
Henderson High School Henderson High School Warriors 4 6 7 6 11 10 9 6 10 1 2 13 8 10 7 110 Drew Defonzo '26
Maggie Defonzo '26
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 6 3 6 4 6 7 8 13 11 2 6 14 7 8 14 115 Charles Geraghty '26
Christina Pierce '25
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 12 9 4 10 7 9 10 7 2 9 7 5 6 11 11 119 Adam Nilsson '25
Maria Mercier '25
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 2 8 11 9 5 6 4 11 12 13 4 3 11 12 9 120 Will Clay '25
Sam Glauner '27
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 11 7 10 8 9 8 14 8 6 7 11 9 10 6 6 130 Maggie Dowling '27
Molly Dowling '25
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 9 15 12 10 10 13 13 13 132 Hartley Cooper '26
Riley Schnable '25
Gunston Gunston Herons 9 12 12 12 12 11 7 10 13 11 13 8 12 5 2 149 Tommy Mcgeady '25 [1-10]
Preston Allen '27 [11-15]
Eli Moore '25 [1-2, 5-10]
Caroline Thomas '26 [3-4, 11-15]
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 14 DNF DNF DNF DNS DNS 15 12 5 15 12 15 9 9 5 191 Nolan Wingate '28
Joseph Dibonaventuro '26
South River High School South River High School Seahawks DNF DNF DNS 13 13 13 12 14 14 10 14 11 14 14 15 205 Hayden Medick '26
Zen Corby '26
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 13 DNF DNS DNF DNS DNS 13 15 9 14 15 12 15 15 12 213 Abigail Burritt '25
Ella Chasse '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals DNF 4 1 11 1 1 5 1 1 8 1 1 3 4 2 60 Will Mohler '27 [1-6]
Alex Baker '26 [7-15]
Kai Davids '28 [1-2]
Brooke Perchinsky '27 [3-6]
Charlotte Macdonald '26 [7-15]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 11 9 3 4 3 4 8 4 4 4 2 4 1 3 4 68 Mary Hayes Cobbum '27 [1-2, 7-15]
Ann Martino '26 [3-6]
Dylan Cinque '27 [1-2, 7-15]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 1 6 5 7 2 5 1 15 7 2 3 3 7 2 3 69 Claire Sullivan '25
Owen Delwiche '25
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 2 2 2 1 4 9 2 2 5 11 7 2 11 6 10 76 Gavin Morris '25 [1-10]
Jake Beaver '27 [11-14]
Pierce Brenner '25 [15]
Madison Cannon '25 [1-10]
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 3 1 4 5 7 3 7 8 3 15 4 5 2 5 8 80 Logan Downey '25 [1-15]
Aurelea Cerny '30 [1-2]
Delaney Carter '28 [3-15]
Gunston Gunston Herons 8 BKD 8 6 6 6 3 6 2 10 6 9 4 11 5 96 Andrew Shingledecker '27 [1-15]
Preston Allen '27 [1-6]
Kate Doffermyre '28 [7-15]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 5 5 9 3 10 7 4 5 9 3 12 6 8 8 14 108 Louisa Kalinski '25
Victor Kleppinger '25
Key School Key School Zags 4 3 7 9 5 2 9 11 10 9 9 11 14 9 1 113 Casey Burman '28 [1-4, 7-8, 13-15]
Trey Burman '25 [5-6, 9-12]
Gideon Santana '28 [1-12]
Ben Coster '31 [13-15]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 6 7 10 2 11 13 14 9 BKD 1 13 12 5 7 6 124 Skyler Krinetz '25
James O'Leary '25
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 7 10 6 8 12 8 13 10 8 5 5 14 13 10 7 136 Charlie Bates '26
C. Aubrey Reese '26
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 10 DNF DNF DNS 9 10 10 3 15 12 11 13 6 1 13 161 Thomas Birchfield '27
Ryan Deibler '28
Henderson High School Henderson High School Warriors 12 8 11 10 8 12 11 12 11 7 14 7 12 15 15 165 Peter Mazzagatti '26
Dylan Scarini '26
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers DNF DNF DNF DNS DNS DNS 12 7 6 6 10 8 9 14 12 180 Ben Billets '27 [1-2]
Samuel Wells '27 [3-6]
Zachary Wells '25 [7-15]
Lucia Zaklin '27 [1-8, 13-15]
Samuel Wells '27 [9-12]
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs DNF DNF DNF DNS 13 11 6 14 12 13 8 15 10 12 11 189 Nola Primeaux '25 [1-15]
Carter Steiert '27 [1-6]
Sarah Ramson '27 [7-15]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 9 11 DNS DNS DNS DNS 15 13 14 14 15 10 15 13 9 202 Matthew Treatman-Clark '27
Tomas ... '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers445566778899101011
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins55667788991010111112
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets6677889910101111121213
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers9910101111121213131414151516
Key SchoolKey School Zags101011111212131314141515161617
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders111112121313141415151616171718
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers12121313141415151616171718184
Henderson High SchoolHenderson High School Warriors88991010111112121313141415
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres181844556677889910
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals131314141515161617171818445
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons1414151516161717181844556
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks15151616171718184455667
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs161617171818445566778
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints1717181844556677889
GunstonGunston Herons778899101011111212131314

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers445566778899101011
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins55667788991010111112
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets6677889910101111121213
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers9910101111121213131414151516
Key SchoolKey School Zags101011111212131314141515161617
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders111112121313141415151616171718
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers12121313141415151616171718184
Henderson High SchoolHenderson High School Warriors88991010111112121313141415
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres181844556677889910
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals131314141515161617171818445
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons1414151516161717181844556
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks15151616171718184455667
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs161617171818445566778
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints1717181844556677889
GunstonGunston Herons778899101011111212131314
School / Team SkipperCrew
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Charles Geraghty '26 Christina Pierce '25
Cavaliers Mary Hayes Cobbum '27 [1-2, 7-15]
Ann Martino '26 [3-6]		 Dylan Cinque '27 [1-2, 7-15]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Abigail Burritt '25 Ella Chasse '27
Bruins Skyler Krinetz '25 James O'Leary '25
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Adam Nilsson '25 Maria Mercier '25
Hornets Claire Sullivan '25 Owen Delwiche '25
Gunston Gunston Tommy Mcgeady '25 [1-10]
Preston Allen '27 [11-15]		 Eli Moore '25 [1-2, 5-10]
Caroline Thomas '26 [3-4, 11-15]
Herons Andrew Shingledecker '27 [1-15] Preston Allen '27 [1-6]
Kate Doffermyre '28 [7-15]
Henderson High School Henderson High School Drew Defonzo '26 Maggie Defonzo '26
Warriors Peter Mazzagatti '26 Dylan Scarini '26
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School James Biles V '27 Viana Johnston '28
Buccaneers Ben Billets '27 [1-2]
Samuel Wells '27 [3-6]
Zachary Wells '25 [7-15]		 Lucia Zaklin '27 [1-8, 13-15]
Samuel Wells '27 [9-12]
Key School Key School Mason Cook '25 [1-15] Elizabeth Roesch '27 [1-2, 7-15]
Ben Coster '31 [3-6]
Zags Casey Burman '28 [1-4, 7-8, 13-15]
Trey Burman '25 [5-6, 9-12]		 Gideon Santana '28 [1-12]
Ben Coster '31 [13-15]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Will Clay '25 Sam Glauner '27
Raiders Charlie Bates '26 C. Aubrey Reese '26
Patuxent Patuxent Nolan Wingate '28 Joseph Dibonaventuro '26
Panthers Thomas Birchfield '27 Ryan Deibler '28
Severn School Severn School Harrison Szot '27 [1-6, 9-10]
Annie Sitzmann '26 [7-8, 11-15]		 Ana Fishback '27 [1-6, 9-10]
Annabelle Ulak '26 [7-8, 11-15]
Admirals Will Mohler '27 [1-6]
Alex Baker '26 [7-15]		 Kai Davids '28 [1-2]
Brooke Perchinsky '27 [3-6]
Charlotte Macdonald '26 [7-15]
Severna Park Severna Park Peter Judge '25 Connor Smith '25
Falcons Gavin Morris '25 [1-10]
Jake Beaver '27 [11-14]
Pierce Brenner '25 [15]		 Madison Cannon '25 [1-10]
South River High School South River High School Hayden Medick '26 Zen Corby '26
Seahawks Matthew Treatman-Clark '27 Tomas ... '26
Southern High School Southern High School Maggie Dowling '27 Molly Dowling '25
Bulldogs Nola Primeaux '25 [1-15] Carter Steiert '27 [1-6]
Sarah Ramson '27 [7-15]
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Halsey Carter '26 [1-15] Luc Tetreault '27 [1-2]
Aurelea Cerny '30 [3-15]
Saints Logan Downey '25 [1-15] Aurelea Cerny '30 [1-2]
Delaney Carter '28 [3-15]
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Hartley Cooper '26 Riley Schnable '25
Sabres Louisa Kalinski '25 Victor Kleppinger '25

Conditions — 04/18/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1021.8 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 23.1 kn
From S (173°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1021.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 18 kn · W 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Archbishop Spalding/Broadneck: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Archbishop Spalding/Broadneck by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Archbishop Spalding/Broadneck, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →