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MDISA Kent Island Tier 2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Gunston Gunston Herons 11 11 22
2 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 10 15 25
3 Key School Key School Zags 6 21 27
4 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 12 15 27
5 The Tome School The Tome School Titans 12 19 31
6 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 15 18 33
7 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 22 13 35
8 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 26 12 38
9 Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 21 18 39
10 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 30 24 54
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Key School Key School Zags 1 1 4 6 Casey Burman '28
Gideon Santana '28
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 2 6 2 10 Noelle Davis '25
Addison Davis '25
Gunston Gunston Herons 3 5 3 11 Andrew Shingledecker '27
Isabella Ford '27
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 5 2 5 12 Victor Schlecker '26
Emerson Stehl '26
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 7 4 1 12 Thomas Birchfield '27 [1-3]
Paul Wilson '27 [1-2]
Annabelle Yurko '29 [3]
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 4 3 8 15 Pierce Brenner '25
Connor Smith '25
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 6 9 6 21 John Wills '25
Ashley Kroeger '26
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 8 7 7 22 Will Grah '25
Cormac Flynn '24
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 9 8 9 26 Ellie Dorman '29
Luc Tetreault '27
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 10 10 10 30 Gavin Klakring '27 [1-3]
Andrew Lavoie '27 [1-2]
Lillyanne Spelhaug '27 [3]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Gunston Gunston Herons 1 1 9 11 Lizzy Chiochetti '27
Sophia Bernas '25
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 8 2 2 12 Nola Mccamley '30
Delaney Carter '28
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 4 4 5 13 Charlie Bates '26
C. Aubrey Reese '26
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 6 6 3 15 Nolan Wingate '28
Joseph Dibonaventuro '26
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets OCS 3 1 15 Clara Wilson '25
Mary Muir '25
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 2 10 6 18 William Marschner '26
Anna Grace Gutfleish '27
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 9 5 4 18 Brighid Barry '27
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 5 7 7 19 Nathan Joseph '24
Jack Lewin '27
Key School Key School Zags 3 8 10 21 Kyle Lapointe '26
Quinn Barone '27
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 7 9 8 24 Benjamin Kennedy '27
Ben Billets '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (25 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights113
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets224
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers446
Key SchoolKey School Zags557
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders668
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers779
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons8810
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints991
GunstonGunston Herons335
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans10102

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights224
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets335
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers557
Key SchoolKey School Zags668
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders779
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers8810
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons991
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints10102
GunstonGunston Herons446
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans113

Conditions — 04/21/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1017.4 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 44°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From NNW (339°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.3 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1017.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kent Island: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.24)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.24 means a rating gap counts about 21% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kent Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Kent Island, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →