Merc Gold - 2023 Zimba MBL Championship

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raiders 39 39
2 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 2 39 39
3 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 44 44
4 Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 64 64
5 Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 65 65
6 The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 66 66
7 Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems 71 71
8 Hingham High School Hingham High School Hingham 76 76
9 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 1 82 82
10 BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 89 89
11 Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Falcons 93 93
12 Wayland High School Wayland High School Wayland Varsity 119 119
13 Beaver Country Day School Beaver Country Day School Beavers 121 121
14 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 3 126 126
15 Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 136 136
16 Commonwealth School Commonwealth School Mermaids 136 136
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raiders 1 1 13 11 1 3 2 1 3 3 39 Brady Welburn '24 [1-10]
Eoghan Kelley '24 [1-5]
Avery Thornton '24 [6-10]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 2 3 3 8 9 5 2 4 2 2 1 39 Chace Macneill '23 [1-10]
Charlie Forger '23 [1-5]
Julia Gordon '23 [6-10]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 9 7 11 1 4 1 5 3 1 2 44 Isabella Cho '23
Grace Kokkotos '23
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 4 6 2 4 12 8 3 11 7 7 64 Caleb Kohn '25 [1-5]
Ayden Soderblom '25 [6-10]
Tim Nguyen '24 [1-5]
Sebastian Inezian '25 [6-10]
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 8 5 4 8 10 6 7 8 5 4 65 Bronson Lojko '23
Efstathios Amoratis '25
The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats 10 11 5 6 6 4 6 4 4 10 66 Morgan Sanborn '27 [1-10]
Alexis Sanborn '27 [1-5]
Isadora Eiref '29 [6-10]
Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems 6 4 3 10 2 5 15 10 8 8 71 Ryan Macneille '23 [1-5]
Karenna Marnik '24 [6-10]
Dorothy Mccarthy '23 [1-5]
Skyler Marnik '25 [6-10]
Hingham High School Hingham High School Hingham 2 2 16 3 3 10 9 7 15 9 76 Sara Menesale '24 [1-5]
Madeleine Accettella '26 [6-10]
Ellie Smith '24 [1-5]
Bran James '24 [6-10]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 1 5 9 1 7 7 9 1 DNF 9 DSQ 82 Unregskip '23
Unregcrew '26
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 7 8 6 5 8 14 8 12 10 11 89 Caroline Jiang '24
Katelyn Zhu '24
Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Falcons 11 12 7 14 9 7 11 5 11 6 93 Geoffrey Belich '25
Ronan Muellner '25
Wayland High School Wayland High School Wayland Varsity 13 10 9 2 11 13 12 DNF DNS 15 119 Carson Whitehouse '23
Eleanor Markey '23
Beaver Country Day School Beaver Country Day School Beavers 14 14 12 12 13 15 16 6 14 5 121 Felicia Selbst '23 [1-5]
Patrick Berg '23 [6-10]
Samantha Wasserman '26 [1-5]
Ryan Mcdaniel '24 [6-10]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 3 15 13 10 13 14 11 13 13 12 12 126 Unregskip '23
Unregcrew '26
Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 12 16 15 DSQ 16 16 10 14 6 14 136 Theo Topaloff '24 [1-5]
Harper Mccarthy '24 [6-10]
Oliver Zawadzki '25 [1-5]
Madeline Disel '24 [6-10]
Commonwealth School Commonwealth School Mermaids 16 15 14 15 15 12 14 9 13 13 136 Ethan Wu '26
Lincoln Hein '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights19191919191919191919
Beaver Country Day SchoolBeaver Country Day School Beavers124124124124124124124124124124
Boston Latin SchoolBoston Latin School Wolfpack123123123123123123123123123123
Cambridge R&L SchoolCambridge R&L School Falcons122122122122122122122122122122
Commonwealth SchoolCommonwealth School Mermaids121121121121121121121121121121
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons120120120120120107107107107107
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Hingham101101101101101101101101101101
Natick High SchoolNatick High School Redhawks117117117117117117117117117117
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles114114114114114114114114114114
The Winsor SchoolThe Winsor School Winsor Wildcats110110110110110110110110110110
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 1118118118118118118118118118118
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 2116116116116116116116116116116
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 3115115115115115115115115115115
Wayland High SchoolWayland High School Wayland Varsity113113113113113113113113113113
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Raiders112112112112112112112112112112
Winchester High SchoolWinchester High School Sachems111111111111111111111111111111
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights Caroline Jiang '24 Katelyn Zhu '24
Beaver Country Day School Beaver Country Day School Beavers Felicia Selbst '23 [1-5]
Patrick Berg '23 [6-10]
Samantha Wasserman '26 [1-5]
Ryan Mcdaniel '24 [6-10]
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack Caleb Kohn '25 [1-5]
Ayden Soderblom '25 [6-10]
Tim Nguyen '24 [1-5]
Sebastian Inezian '25 [6-10]
Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Falcons Geoffrey Belich '25 Ronan Muellner '25
Commonwealth School Commonwealth School Mermaids Ethan Wu '26 Lincoln Hein '27
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons Bronson Lojko '23 Efstathios Amoratis '25
Hingham High School Hingham High School Hingham Sara Menesale '24 [1-5]
Madeleine Accettella '26 [6-10]
Ellie Smith '24 [1-5]
Bran James '24 [6-10]
Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks Theo Topaloff '24 [1-5]
Harper Mccarthy '24 [6-10]
Oliver Zawadzki '25 [1-5]
Madeline Disel '24 [6-10]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles Isabella Cho '23 Grace Kokkotos '23
The Winsor School The Winsor School Winsor Wildcats Morgan Sanborn '27 [1-10] Alexis Sanborn '27 [1-5]
Isadora Eiref '29 [6-10]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 1 Unregskip '23 Unregcrew '26
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 2 Chace Macneill '23 [1-10] Charlie Forger '23 [1-5]
Julia Gordon '23 [6-10]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL Coop 3 Unregskip '23 Unregcrew '26
Wayland High School Wayland High School Wayland Varsity Carson Whitehouse '23 Eleanor Markey '23
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raiders Brady Welburn '24 [1-10] Eoghan Kelley '24 [1-5]
Avery Thornton '24 [6-10]
Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems Ryan Macneille '23 [1-5]
Karenna Marnik '24 [6-10]
Dorothy Mccarthy '23 [1-5]
Skyler Marnik '25 [6-10]

Conditions — 05/22/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1023.7 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.4 kn
Gusts to 24.5 kn
From NE (54°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1023.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 11 kn · SE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Sharon: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sharon by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Sharon, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →