NJISA 2023 Spring Series 7

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 13 15 28
2 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 14 14 28
3 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 24 5 29
4 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 25 14 39
5 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 9 31 40
6 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 34 20 54
7 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 17 38 55
8 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 20 36 56
9 Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 38 25 63
10 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 37 37 74
11 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 44 44 88
12 Our Lady of Mercy Academy Our Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers 47 45 92
13 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 52 45 97
14 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 48 51 99
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 1 3 2 3 9 James Kopack '24
Caroline Felser '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 2 1 5 5 13 Noah Kuzloski '23
Nicholas Cunha '23
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 5 2 3 4 14 Turner Ryon '25
Natalie Shaw '23
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 4 4 7 2 17 Belle Placa '25
No Show
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 3 5 6 6 20 Jack Whitman '23 [1-2]
Lewis Forrest '25 [3-4]
Dylan Pagonis '26 [1-2]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 6 7 4 7 24 Thomas Roeber '23 [1-2]
Christopher Small '26 [3-4]
Luke Pennisi '24 [1-2]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 7 8 1 9 25 Andrew Chiles '23
Daniel Stephan '24
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 DSQ 9 9 1 34 Kevin Brooksbank '23
Liam Marcell '26
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 8 10 11 8 37 Ella Demand '24
Ava Mcnabb '24
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 11 6 8 13 38 Jack Schlenker '26
Matthew Moschello '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 9 11 14 10 44 Matthew Wilhelm '24
Donald Johnston '25
Our Lady of Mercy Academy Our Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers 12 12 12 11 47 Imogene Nuss '24
Mia Catanese '24
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 13 13 10 12 48 Izzy Bornebusch '25
Vanessa Mccartin '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 10 14 13 OCS 52 Allison Beisel '24
Julianna Walsh '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 1 2 1 1 5 Jules Buczkowski '26
Ryan Mullholland '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 2 5 5 2 14 Matthew Moses '24 [1-4]
Erick Shi '24 [1-2]
Joseph Velardi '26 [3-4]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 4 3 2 5 14 Erin Little '24
No Show
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 3 1 4 7 15 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Kyle Lombardino '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 8 6 3 3 20 Richard Mcgowan '25 [1-2]
Liam Marcell '26 [3-4]
Nicholas Fatigate '24 [1-2]
Richard Mcgowan '25 [3-4]
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 6 7 8 4 25 James Mccarthy '26
Leo Van Der Valk '26
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 9 8 6 8 31 Scarlett Colman '26 [1-2]
Caroline Felser '24 [3-4]
Bridget Felser '26 [1-2]
Scarlett Colman '26 [3-4]
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 5 11 11 9 36 Anthony Abboud '25
Sophia Behar '25
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 10 9 7 11 37 Cali Krean '24 [1-4]
Mollie Smith '25 [1-2]
Chase Kalwinsky '26 [3-4]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 12 4 10 12 38 Kaylan Hoffacker '26 [1-2]
Noah Tallman '25 [3-4]
Noah Tallman '25 [1-2]
Kaylan Hoffacker '26 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 7 10 13 14 44 Andrew Dinger '24 [1-2]
John Flannery '23 [3-4]
Martin Horowitz '23 [1-2]
Our Lady of Mercy Academy Our Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers 11 12 9 13 45 Natalie Nuss '25 [1-4]
Anabelle Sawyer '25 [1-3]
Camila Andeliz Bello '25 [4]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 14 13 12 6 45 Greta Senft '24
Evelyn Magee '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 13 14 14 10 51 Evelyn Magee '26
Mackenzie Boles '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 11111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 22222
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 33333
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 44444
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 15555
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 26666
Our Lady of Mercy AcademyOur Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers7777
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers12121212
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils9999
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 110101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 211111111
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians13131313
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 114141414
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 215151515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 11111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 22222
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 33333
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 44444
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 15555
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 26666
Our Lady of Mercy AcademyOur Lady of Mercy Academy Villagers7777
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers12121212
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils9999
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 110101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 211111111
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians13131313
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 114141414
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 215151515
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Noah Kuzloski '23 Nicholas Cunha '23
Colts 1 Mitchell Hnatt '24 Kyle Lombardino '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Thomas Roeber '23 [1-2]
Christopher Small '26 [3-4]
Luke Pennisi '24 [1-2]
Colts 2 Jules Buczkowski '26 Ryan Mullholland '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Andrew Chiles '23 Daniel Stephan '24
Colts 3 Matthew Moses '24 [1-4] Erick Shi '24 [1-2]
Joseph Velardi '26 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Matthew Wilhelm '24 Donald Johnston '25
Colts 4 Andrew Dinger '24 [1-2]
John Flannery '23 [3-4]
Martin Horowitz '23 [1-2]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School James Kopack '24 Caroline Felser '24
Griffins 1 Scarlett Colman '26 [1-2]
Caroline Felser '24 [3-4]
Bridget Felser '26 [1-2]
Scarlett Colman '26 [3-4]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Kevin Brooksbank '23 Liam Marcell '26
Griffins 2 Richard Mcgowan '25 [1-2]
Liam Marcell '26 [3-4]
Nicholas Fatigate '24 [1-2]
Richard Mcgowan '25 [3-4]
Our Lady of Mercy Academy Our Lady of Mercy Academy Imogene Nuss '24 Mia Catanese '24
Villagers Natalie Nuss '25 [1-4] Anabelle Sawyer '25 [1-3]
Camila Andeliz Bello '25 [4]
Ranney School Ranney School Jack Whitman '23 [1-2]
Lewis Forrest '25 [3-4]
Dylan Pagonis '26 [1-2]
Panthers Anthony Abboud '25 Sophia Behar '25
Ridge High School Ridge High School Jack Schlenker '26 Matthew Moschello '26
Red Devils James Mccarthy '26 Leo Van Der Valk '26
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Turner Ryon '25 Natalie Shaw '23
Rams 1 Erin Little '24 No Show
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Belle Placa '25 No Show
Rams 2 Kaylan Hoffacker '26 [1-2]
Noah Tallman '25 [3-4]
Noah Tallman '25 [1-2]
Kaylan Hoffacker '26 [3-4]
Toms River South Toms River South Ella Demand '24 Ava Mcnabb '24
Indians Cali Krean '24 [1-4] Mollie Smith '25 [1-2]
Chase Kalwinsky '26 [3-4]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Izzy Bornebusch '25 Vanessa Mccartin '26
Monarchs 1 Evelyn Magee '26 Mackenzie Boles '27
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Allison Beisel '24 Julianna Walsh '24
Monarchs 2 Greta Senft '24 Evelyn Magee '26

Conditions — 05/10/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1021.4 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 10.5 kn
Gusts to 21.6 kn
From S (173°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1021.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Donovan Catholic: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.15)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.00 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Donovan Catholic by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Donovan Catholic, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →