NJISA 2023 Spring Series 3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 8 10 18
2 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 4 20 24
3 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 15 12 27
4 Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 17 17 34
5 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 30 6 36
6 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 20 19 39
7 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 9 34 43
8 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 17 26 43
9 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 22 24 46
10 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 29 17 46
11 Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 28 21 49
12 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 35 28 63
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 1 1 2 4 James Kopack '24
Caroline Felser '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 5 2 1 8 Christopher Small '26
Nicholas Cunha '23
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 2 3 4 9 Thomas Roeber '23
Kyle Lombardino '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 4 4 7 15 Turner Ryon '25
Noah Tallman '25
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 3 5 9 17 Iliana Vasslides '23
Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 6 6 5 17 Noah Kuzloski '23
Luke Pennisi '24
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 7 10 3 20 Jack Whitman '23 [1-3]
Lewis Forrest '25 [1-2]
Dylan Pagonis '26 [3]
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 8 8 6 22 Grace Bray '23
Sophia Behar '25
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 9 11 8 28 Matt Leopold '23
Ryan Amicone '25
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 10 9 10 29 Ella Demand '24
Ava Mcnabb '24
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 12 7 11 30 Richard Mcgowan '25
Nora Ciak '23
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 11 12 12 35 Izzy Bornebusch '25
Greta Senft '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 1 1 4 6 Liam Marcell '26
Morgan Poskay '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 3 2 5 10 Jules Buczkowski '26
Ryan Mullholland '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 4 6 2 12 Erin Little '24
Kaylan Hoffacker '26
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 2 4 11 17 Jackson Bubnowski '26
Scott Tedeschi '25
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 9 7 1 17 Cali Krean '24
Mollie Smith '25
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 7 5 7 19 Lewis Forrest '25
Tomas Mora '23
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 5 3 12 20 Grace Ciak '26
Bridget Felser '26
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 10 8 3 21 Jack Schlenker '26
Matthew Moschello '26
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 6 9 9 24 Anthony Abboud '25
Quinian Miller '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 8 10 8 26 Matthew Wilhelm '24
Erick Shi '24
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 11 11 6 28 Riley Mueller '27
Evelyn Magee '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 12 12 10 34 Andrew Dinger '24
Donald Johnston '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1202020
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2191919
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 3181818
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 1171717
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 2161616
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 1151515
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 2141414
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils131313
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams121212
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners111111
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians999
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs888

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1202020
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2191919
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 3181818
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 1171717
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 2161616
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 1151515
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 2141414
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils131313
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams121212
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners111111
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians999
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs888

Conditions — 04/05/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 88%  ·  Pressure 1023.2 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.9 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From E (92°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.8 hrs Humidity88% Pressure1023.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Christian Brothers: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.22 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christian Brothers by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Christian Brothers, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →