NJISA 2023 Spring Series 2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 10 19 29
2 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 22 14 36
3 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 18 20 38
4 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 24 15 39
5 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 21 21 42
6 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 21 26 47
7 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 34 16 50
8 Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 19 39 58
9 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 18 41 59
10 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 44 36 80
11 Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 46 35 81
12 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 47 39 86
13 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 41 48 89
14 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 55 51 106
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 5 2 1 2 10 Christopher Small '26
Nicholas Cunha '23
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 1 5 6 6 18 James Kopack '24
Caroline Felser '24
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 10 1 4 3 18 Kevin Brooksbank '23
Liam Marcell '26
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 4 4 3 8 19 Iliana Vasslides '23
Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 2 10 5 4 21 Belle Placa '25
No Show
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 3 3 10 5 21 Noah Kuzloski '23
Kyle Lombardino '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 7 7 7 1 22 Turner Ryon '25
Natalie Shaw '23
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 6 9 2 7 24 Bryce Vitiello '23
Luke Pennisi '24
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 8 8 8 10 34 Ella Demand '24
Ava Mcnabb '24
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 12 6 14 9 41 Grace Bray '23
Sophia Behar '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 9 13 9 13 44 Andrew Chiles '23
Alton Deoliveria '26
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 11 11 12 12 46 Matt Leopold '23
Ally Pellegrino '25
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 13 12 11 11 47 Jack Whitman '23
Tomas Mora '23
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 14 14 13 14 55 Allison Beisel '24
Riley Mueller '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 4 1 8 1 14 Erin Little '24
Noah Tallman '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 3 4 2 6 15 Jules Buczkowski '26
Ryan Mullholland '25
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 5 2 7 2 16 Mollie Smith '25
Chase Kalwinsky '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 8 5 1 5 19 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Daniel Stephan '24
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 2 6 9 3 20 Grace Ciak '26
Bridget Felser '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 1 3 10 7 21 Thomas Roeber '23 [1-4]
Donald Johnston '25 [1-2]
Erick Shi '24 [3-4]
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 7 9 6 4 26 Kaylan Hoffacker '26
No Show
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 6 10 11 8 35 James Mccarthy '26
Ryan Amicone '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 12 8 4 12 36 Andrew Dinger '24 [1-2]
Matthew Wilhelm '24 [3-4]
Matthew Dupree '25 [1-2]
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 2 10 7 12 10 39 Dylan Pagonis '26
Joshua Portnoy '26
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 11 12 3 13 39 Jackson Bubnowski '26
Scott Tedeschi '25
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 9 13 5 14 41 Richard Mcgowan '25
Nicholas Fatigate '24
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 13 11 13 11 48 Anthony Abboud '25
Quinian Miller '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 14 14 14 9 51 Greta Senft '24
Julianna Walsh '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 11111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 22222
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 33333
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 44444
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 15555
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 26666
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 17777
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 28888
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils9999
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 110101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 211111111
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners12121212
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians13131313
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs14141414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 11111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 22222
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 33333
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 44444
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 15555
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 26666
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 17777
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers 28888
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils9999
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 110101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 211111111
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners12121212
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians13131313
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs14141414
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Christopher Small '26 Nicholas Cunha '23
Colts 1 Mitchell Hnatt '24 Daniel Stephan '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Bryce Vitiello '23 Luke Pennisi '24
Colts 2 Jules Buczkowski '26 Ryan Mullholland '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Noah Kuzloski '23 Kyle Lombardino '25
Colts 3 Thomas Roeber '23 [1-4] Donald Johnston '25 [1-2]
Erick Shi '24 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Andrew Chiles '23 Alton Deoliveria '26
Colts 4 Andrew Dinger '24 [1-2]
Matthew Wilhelm '24 [3-4]
Matthew Dupree '25 [1-2]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School James Kopack '24 Caroline Felser '24
Griffins 1 Grace Ciak '26 Bridget Felser '26
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Kevin Brooksbank '23 Liam Marcell '26
Griffins 2 Richard Mcgowan '25 Nicholas Fatigate '24
Ranney School Ranney School Grace Bray '23 Sophia Behar '25
Panthers 1 Anthony Abboud '25 Quinian Miller '26
Ranney School Ranney School Jack Whitman '23 Tomas Mora '23
Panthers 2 Dylan Pagonis '26 Joshua Portnoy '26
Ridge High School Ridge High School Matt Leopold '23 Ally Pellegrino '25
Red Devils James Mccarthy '26 Ryan Amicone '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Turner Ryon '25 Natalie Shaw '23
Rams 1 Erin Little '24 Noah Tallman '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Belle Placa '25 No Show
Rams 2 Kaylan Hoffacker '26 No Show
Toms River North Toms River North Iliana Vasslides '23 Stephanie Maulshagen '23
Mariners Jackson Bubnowski '26 Scott Tedeschi '25
Toms River South Toms River South Ella Demand '24 Ava Mcnabb '24
Indians Mollie Smith '25 Chase Kalwinsky '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Allison Beisel '24 Riley Mueller '27
Monarchs Greta Senft '24 Julianna Walsh '24

Conditions — 03/29/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1020.8 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 19.4 kn
From NE (53°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover39% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1020.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ranney: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ranney by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Ranney, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →