NWISA Ranking Regatta #3

HostSail Sand Point
Date04/15/2023
TypeDistrict Champ Qualifier
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Bainbridge High School	Spartans	19	20	39
2	Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	32	29	61
3	Gig Harbor High School	Tides	59	30	89
4	Olympia High School	Bears	65	35	100
5	Ballard High School	Beavers	83	21	104
6	The Downtown School	Sockeye Salmon	27	95	122
7	Bellingham High School	Bayhawks	50	74	124
8	Kingston High School	Kraken	106	34	140
9	Port Townsend High School	Redhawks	73	69	142
10	Orcas High School	Vikings	75	67	142
11	Eagles	Eagles	84	65	149
12	Sehome High School	Mariners	44	109	153
13	Anacortes High School	Seahawks	77	82	159
14	Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	64	97	161
15	North Kitsap High School	Dogfish	67	105	172
16	Ingraham High School	Rams	99	81	180
17	Squalicum High School	Storm	96	104	200
18	Capital High School	Cougars	94	107	201
19	Green	Green	120	112	232

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Bainbridge High School	Spartans	1	3	6	1	1	5	2	19	Ben Stone '23 Ava Bergan '23
The Downtown School	Sockeye Salmon	5	1	3	11	4	2	1	27	Francesca Dougherty '25 Sophia Marlow '23
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	2	2	11	5	2	1	9	32	Oliver Nairn '23 Kirin Dhaka '23
Sehome High School	Mariners	9	9	1	4	15	3	3	44	Keagan Carrigan '24 Cole Stebbens '24
Bellingham High School	Bayhawks	4	16	8	7	7	4	4	50	Max Day '26 Evan Maudlin '23
Gig Harbor High School	Tides	14	13	2	2	3	13	12	59	Finn Deprez '25 Sky Rainbolt '23
Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	3	5	10	6	17	7	16	64	Anna Servatius '24 Allison Bailey '23
Olympia High School	Bears	12	12	5	17	5	9	5	65	Finn Mcclure '23 [1-7] Yuri Berebitsky '24 [1-4] Alyssa Leong '26 [5-7]
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish	6	6	13	13	12	10	7	67	Owen Burnett '24 Sharkey Mckay '24
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks	7	7	7	14	16	11	11	73	Lhotse Rowell '24 Ava Butterfield '24
Orcas High School	Vikings	8	4	9	DSQ	14	14	6	75	Dagny Kruger '25 Hans Sprenger '26
Anacortes High School	Seahawks	16	19	4	9	6	15	8	77	Will Peters '25 Bradyn Rueb '24
Ballard High School	Beavers	13	14	16	3	10	12	15	83	Arden Rathopf '23 Lily Beckerman '24
Eagles	Eagles	17	8	14	16	13	6	10	84
Capital High School	Cougars	15	15	15	12	9	8	DSQ	94	Avian De Keizer-Mendoza '23 Gabriel Scott Bixler '24
Squalicum High School	Storm	11	11	12	8	18	18	18	96	August Montiel '25 Atticus Andress '26
Ingraham High School	Rams	10	10	17	RAF	11	17	14	99	Max Hanson '25 [1-7] Charles Montagner '26 [1-2, 5-7] Oliver Laskowski '26 [3-4]
Kingston High School	Kraken	19	18	19	10	8	19	13	106	Shelby Chandler '25 Jacob Misuda '23
Green	Green	18	17	18	15	19	16	17	120

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Bainbridge High School	Spartans	1	5	1	2	1	5	5	20	Carter Anderson '23 Sabrina Anderson '24
Ballard High School	Beavers	5	2	6	1	5	1	1	21	Dieter Creitz '25 Simone Ford '24
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	2	4	2	3	3	4	11	29	Owen Thomas '23 Nati Garcia-Bompadre '23
Gig Harbor High School	Tides	7	3	4	4	6	2	4	30	Nico Konyk '25 Bailey Rainbolt '26
Kingston High School	Kraken	3	1	7	7	4	6	6	34	Victor Taylor '23 Acadia Tweed-Kent '25
Olympia High School	Bears	4	7	11	5	2	3	3	35	Alan Timms '26 [1-7] Alyssa Leong '26 [1-4] Sophia Hubbard '24 [5-7]
Eagles	Eagles	14	9	3	10	9	18	2	65
Orcas High School	Vikings	6	8	8	9	13	10	13	67	Lola Walker '26 Miranda Wallace Jones '27
Port Townsend High School	Redhawks	17	10	5	8	12	8	9	69	Ocean Smith '24 Hazel Windstorm '24
Bellingham High School	Bayhawks	15	16	15	6	8	7	7	74	Bryce Lutz '23 Avery O'Donnell '26
Ingraham High School	Rams	9	6	10	18	10	12	16	81	Zev Fort '25 Iris Hochwalt '24
Anacortes High School	Seahawks	10	14	12	RAF	7	9	10	82	Kayla Strandberg '23 Noah Ketner '25
The Downtown School	Sockeye Salmon	16	13	14	16	11	13	12	95	Enzo Dougherty '23 Mia Mcnabb '24
Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	8	19	9	12	16	16	17	97	Hannah Ellis '24 [1-7] Julian Becker '26 [1-4] Dominic Schinning '25 [5-7]
Squalicum High School	Storm	13	18	16	14	15	14	14	104	Dawson Meyers '26 Taylan Arnett '26
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish	18	15	18	11	17	11	15	105	Logan Magallon '23 Amber Faragalli '26
Capital High School	Cougars	19	11	17	17	18	17	8	107	Aidan Budelman '25 Ryan Solie '25
Sehome High School	Mariners	11	12	13	13	DNS	DNS	DNF	109	Katy Woo '24 [1-7] Britton Sanford '23 [1-2, 4-7] Bella Norwood '26 [3]
Green	Green	12	17	19	15	14	15	DNF	112

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.250+0.25

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (29 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Anacortes High School Seahawks	8	8	10	10	12	12	14
Bainbridge High School Spartans	14	14	16	16	18	18	1
Ballard High School Beavers	18	18	1	1	3	3	5
Bellingham High School Bayhawks	3	3	5	5	7	7	9
Capital High School Cougars	10	10	12	12	14	14	16
Gig Harbor High School Tides	13	13	15	15	17	17	19
Eagles Eagles	12	12	14	14	16	16	18
Ingraham High School Rams	19	19	2	2	4	4	6
Kingston High School Kraken	11	11	13	13	15	15	17
North Kitsap High School Dogfish	15	15	17	17	19	19	2
Oak Harbor High School Wildcats	7	7	9	9	11	11	13
Olympia High School Bears	9	9	11	11	13	13	15
Orcas High School Vikings	16	16	18	18	1	1	3
Port Townsend High School Redhawks	6	6	8	8	10	10	12
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	2	2	4	4	6	6	8
Sehome High School Mariners	5	5	7	7	9	9	11
Green Green	17	17	19	19	2	2	4
Squalicum High School Storm	4	4	6	6	8	8	10
The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon	1	1	3	3	5	5	7

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Anacortes High School Seahawks	9	9	11	11	13	13	15
Bainbridge High School Spartans	15	15	17	17	19	19	2
Ballard High School Beavers	19	19	2	2	4	4	6
Bellingham High School Bayhawks	4	4	6	6	8	8	10
Capital High School Cougars	11	11	13	13	15	15	17
Gig Harbor High School Tides	14	14	16	16	18	18	1
Eagles Eagles	13	13	15	15	17	17	19
Ingraham High School Rams	1	1	3	3	5	5	7
Kingston High School Kraken	12	12	14	14	16	16	18
North Kitsap High School Dogfish	16	16	18	18	1	1	3
Oak Harbor High School Wildcats	8	8	10	10	12	12	14
Olympia High School Bears	10	10	12	12	14	14	16
Orcas High School Vikings	17	17	19	19	2	2	4
Port Townsend High School Redhawks	7	7	9	9	11	11	13
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	3	3	5	5	7	7	9
Sehome High School Mariners	6	6	8	8	10	10	12
Green Green	18	18	1	1	3	3	5
Squalicum High School Storm	5	5	7	7	9	9	11
The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon	2	2	4	4	6	6	8

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Anacortes High School	Will Peters '25	Bradyn Rueb '24
Seahawks	Kayla Strandberg '23	Noah Ketner '25
Bainbridge High School	Ben Stone '23	Ava Bergan '23
Spartans	Carter Anderson '23	Sabrina Anderson '24
Ballard High School	Arden Rathopf '23	Lily Beckerman '24
Beavers	Dieter Creitz '25	Simone Ford '24
Bellingham High School	Max Day '26	Evan Maudlin '23
Bayhawks	Bryce Lutz '23	Avery O'Donnell '26
Capital High School	Avian De Keizer-Mendoza '23	Gabriel Scott Bixler '24
Cougars	Aidan Budelman '25	Ryan Solie '25
Gig Harbor High School	Finn Deprez '25	Sky Rainbolt '23
Tides	Nico Konyk '25	Bailey Rainbolt '26
Ingraham High School	Max Hanson '25 [1-7]	Charles Montagner '26 [1-2, 5-7] Oliver Laskowski '26 [3-4]
Rams	Zev Fort '25	Iris Hochwalt '24
Kingston High School	Shelby Chandler '25	Jacob Misuda '23
Kraken	Victor Taylor '23	Acadia Tweed-Kent '25
North Kitsap High School	Owen Burnett '24	Sharkey Mckay '24
Dogfish	Logan Magallon '23	Amber Faragalli '26
Oak Harbor High School	Anna Servatius '24	Allison Bailey '23
Wildcats	Hannah Ellis '24 [1-7]	Julian Becker '26 [1-4] Dominic Schinning '25 [5-7]
Olympia High School	Finn Mcclure '23 [1-7]	Yuri Berebitsky '24 [1-4] Alyssa Leong '26 [5-7]
Bears	Alan Timms '26 [1-7]	Alyssa Leong '26 [1-4] Sophia Hubbard '24 [5-7]
Orcas High School	Dagny Kruger '25	Hans Sprenger '26
Vikings	Lola Walker '26	Miranda Wallace Jones '27
Port Townsend High School	Lhotse Rowell '24	Ava Butterfield '24
Redhawks	Ocean Smith '24	Hazel Windstorm '24
Roosevelt High School	Oliver Nairn '23	Kirin Dhaka '23
Rough Riders	Owen Thomas '23	Nati Garcia-Bompadre '23
Sehome High School	Keagan Carrigan '24	Cole Stebbens '24
Mariners	Katy Woo '24 [1-7]	Britton Sanford '23 [1-2, 4-7] Bella Norwood '26 [3]
Squalicum High School	August Montiel '25	Atticus Andress '26
Storm	Dawson Meyers '26	Taylan Arnett '26
The Downtown School	Francesca Dougherty '25	Sophia Marlow '23
Sockeye Salmon	Enzo Dougherty '23	Mia Mcnabb '24

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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NWISA Ranking Regatta #3

Division A

Division B

From the notes