RI Friday Night Lights#5

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens 45
2 Patriots Patriots Patriots 45
3 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 53
4 Islanders Islanders Islanders 101
5 Purple Purple Purple 112
6 Varsity Varsity Varsity 116
7 Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 126
8 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA N/A 137
9 Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings 146
10 Skippers Skippers Skippers 170
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers A 3 1 5 3 4 16 Neala Bijari '23 [1-2]
Karina Reikhrud '25 [3-4]
Colin Auvil '26 [5]
Mara Oancea '23 [1-4]
Isaac Kaldor '25 [5]
Patriots Patriots Patriots B 1 8 4 2 1 16
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens A 5 3 6 1 2 17 Charlotte West '24
Ainsley West '24
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens B 4 5 8 8 3 28 Jancy Grayson '24
Margaret Gilligan '26
Patriots Patriots Patriots A 8 11 1 4 5 29
Islanders Islanders Islanders B 6 2 12 7 6 33
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers B 9 12 2 5 9 37 Harper Kelley '25 [1-2]
Owen Warren '24 [3-4]
Milo Baumgartner '25 [5]
Madeleine Jarbeau '24 [1-2]
Carolina Kiang '26 [3-4]
Beckett Nutting '24 [5]
Varsity Varsity Varsity A 7 6 11 6 13 43
Purple Purple Purple B 13 7 7 9 7 43
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles B 11 10 3 12 8 44 Jack Gaynor '27 [1-5]
Briella Weimer '26 [1-2]
Halyna Chapman '26 [3-5]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA N/A A 2 4 10 15 14 45 Michael Bucci '23 [1-4]
Matthew Mullins '23 [5]
Will Dargan '25 [1-2]
Matthew Mullins '23 [3-4]
Mia Hanson '26 [5]
Islanders Islanders Islanders A 15 16 16 11 10 68
Purple Purple Purple A 17 9 18 14 11 69
Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings B 10 15 17 10 20 72 Morgan Spring '25 [1-2, 4]
Katie Guinan '25 [3, 5]
Hannah Conroy '26 [1-2, 5]
Morgan Spring '25 [3]
Katie Guinan '25 [4]
Varsity Varsity Varsity B 12 13 14 19 15 73
Skippers Skippers Skippers B 14 17 9 16 17 73
Rogers High School Rogers High School Vikings A 16 14 15 13 16 74 Brettyn Newsome '23 [1-5]
Mia Hanson '26 [1-2]
Zoila Chavarrio Pleitez '24 [3-4]
Aspen Pearson '24 [5]
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles A 20 19 13 18 12 82 Ellery Kloc '26 [1-5]
Halyna Chapman '26 [1-2]
Briella Weimer '26 [3-5]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA N/A B 18 20 19 17 18 92 Michael Bucci '23 [1-4]
Matthew Mullins '23 [5]
Will Dargan '25 [1-2]
Matthew Mullins '23 [3-4]
Mia Hanson '26 [5]
Skippers Skippers Skippers A 19 18 20 DNF 19 97
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles11111
PurplePurple Purple33333
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers55555
IslandersIslanders Islanders77777
SkippersSkippers Skippers99999
Portsmouth Abbey SchoolPortsmouth Abbey School Ravens1111111111
PatriotsPatriots Patriots1313131313
VarsityVarsity Varsity1515151515
Rogers High SchoolRogers High School Vikings1717171717
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA N/A1919191919

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles22222
PurplePurple Purple44444
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers66666
IslandersIslanders Islanders88888
SkippersSkippers Skippers1010101010
Portsmouth Abbey SchoolPortsmouth Abbey School Ravens1212121212
PatriotsPatriots Patriots1414141414
VarsityVarsity Varsity1616161616
Rogers High SchoolRogers High School Vikings1818181818
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA N/A2020202020
School / Team SkipperCrew
Barrington High School Barrington High School Ellery Kloc '26 [1-5] Halyna Chapman '26 [1-2]
Briella Weimer '26 [3-5]
Eagles Jack Gaynor '27 [1-5] Briella Weimer '26 [1-2]
Halyna Chapman '26 [3-5]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Neala Bijari '23 [1-2]
Karina Reikhrud '25 [3-4]
Colin Auvil '26 [5]
Mara Oancea '23 [1-4]
Isaac Kaldor '25 [5]
Avengers Harper Kelley '25 [1-2]
Owen Warren '24 [3-4]
Milo Baumgartner '25 [5]
Madeleine Jarbeau '24 [1-2]
Carolina Kiang '26 [3-4]
Beckett Nutting '24 [5]
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Charlotte West '24 Ainsley West '24
Ravens Jancy Grayson '24 Margaret Gilligan '26
Rogers High School Rogers High School Brettyn Newsome '23 [1-5] Mia Hanson '26 [1-2]
Zoila Chavarrio Pleitez '24 [3-4]
Aspen Pearson '24 [5]
Vikings Morgan Spring '25 [1-2, 4]
Katie Guinan '25 [3, 5]
Hannah Conroy '26 [1-2, 5]
Morgan Spring '25 [3]
Katie Guinan '25 [4]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Michael Bucci '23 [1-4]
Matthew Mullins '23 [5]
Will Dargan '25 [1-2]
Matthew Mullins '23 [3-4]
Mia Hanson '26 [5]
N/A Michael Bucci '23 [1-4]
Matthew Mullins '23 [5]
Will Dargan '25 [1-2]
Matthew Mullins '23 [3-4]
Mia Hanson '26 [5]

Conditions — 05/26/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1023.6 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From NW (304°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover27% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1023.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Sail Newport: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sail Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Sail Newport, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →