SAISA South Points 1 2022-23 JV

HostVirginia Key
Date03/25/2023
TypePromotional
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Ransom Everglades School	Raiders 1	18	8	26
2	Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	36	13	49
3	Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	15	35	50
4	St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	30	25	55
5	Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	32	28	60
6	St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	42	25	67
7	Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	10	66	76
8	Martin County High School	Tigers	36	40	76
9	Pine Crest School	Panthers	60	48	108
10	Ransom Everglades School	Raiders 2	52	66	118

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	1	1	2	3	2	1	10	Alexandra Kolaya '27 Gabriela Hernandez '24
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	2	3	1	2	1	6	15	Keith Grupenhoff '25 Marco Andres '25
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders 1	3	2	4	1	3	5	18	Garrett Fox '26 Kayra Serpenguzel '25
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	5	5	3	9	4	4	30	Reid Mendelblatt '26 [1-4] Dorothy Mendelblatt '24 [5-6] Jad Abedrabbo '26 [1-4] Dluzneski Luke '24 [5-6]
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	7	4	6	8	5	2	32	Austin Peterson '23 Matt Baer '25
Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	4	6	8	5	6	7	36	Maxi Suess '26 [1-6] Benjamin Pasquier '25 [1-2] Afonso Cruz '26 [3-6]
Martin County High School	Tigers	8	7	5	4	9	3	36	Grady Stahl '26 Kyle Weiksnar '25
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	6	8	7	6	7	8	42	Mariano Viega '25 Evan Propes '25
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders 2	9	10	9	7	8	9	52	Leyla Amjad '26 Mia Bouyoucef '25
Pine Crest School	Panthers	10	9	10	10	DNF	10	60	Arman Agrawal '26 [1-4] Preston Rogers '27 [5-6] Sarah Morales '26 [1-4]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders 1	1	1	1	1	2	2	8	Ava Mc Aliley '26 Daniel Figueroa '24
Gulliver Preparatory School	Raiders	2	2	5	2	1	1	13	Diogo Cruz '25 Andres Pedroza '26
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Raiders	3	3	3	6	4	6	25	Isabel Viega '28 Cole Fanchi '26
St. Petersburg High School	Green Devils	4	7	2	5	3	4	25	Gloria Privis '26 [1-2, 5-6] Adam Mendelblatt '26 [3-4] Avery Hunter '25 [1-2, 5-6] Gloria Privis '26 [3-4]
Jensen Beach High School	Falcons	5	5	4	4	5	5	28	Aaron Johnson '24 Delaney Romeyk '26
Immaculata La Salle High School	Royal Lions	7	4	OCS	3	7	3	35	Isabella Henrich '26 [1-6] Nathalie Caudron '25 [1-2, 5-6] Sebastian Loughlin '25 [3-4]
Martin County High School	Tigers	6	6	7	7	6	8	40	Heidi Weiksnar '23 David Wedde '25
Pine Crest School	Panthers	DNF	8	6	8	8	7	48	Aurora Christiansen '26 Trenton Groome '26
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Carrollton School	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	66	No Show No Show
Ransom Everglades School	Raiders 2	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	66	No Show No Show

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.110+0.11

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School	44	44	44	44	44	44
Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders	99	99	99	99	99	99
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	60	60	60	60	60	60
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	83	83	83	83	83	83
Martin County High School Tigers	68	68	68	68	68	68
Pine Crest School Panthers	55	55	55	55	55	55
Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1	33	33	33	33	33	33
Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2	88	88	88	88	88	88
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	66	66	66	66	66	66
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	81	81	81	81	81	81

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School	44	44	44	44	44	44
Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders	99	99	99	99	99	99
Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions	60	60	60	60	60	60
Jensen Beach High School Falcons	83	83	83	83	83	83
Martin County High School Tigers	68	68	68	68	68	68
Pine Crest School Panthers	55	55	55	55	55	55
Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1	33	33	33	33	33	33
Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2	88	88	88	88	88	88
St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders	66	66	66	66	66	66
St. Petersburg High School Green Devils	81	81	81	81	81	81

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart	Alexandra Kolaya '27	Gabriela Hernandez '24
Carrollton School	No Show	No Show
Gulliver Preparatory School	Maxi Suess '26 [1-6]	Benjamin Pasquier '25 [1-2] Afonso Cruz '26 [3-6]
Raiders	Diogo Cruz '25	Andres Pedroza '26
Immaculata La Salle High School	Keith Grupenhoff '25	Marco Andres '25
Royal Lions	Isabella Henrich '26 [1-6]	Nathalie Caudron '25 [1-2, 5-6] Sebastian Loughlin '25 [3-4]
Jensen Beach High School	Austin Peterson '23	Matt Baer '25
Falcons	Aaron Johnson '24	Delaney Romeyk '26
Martin County High School	Grady Stahl '26	Kyle Weiksnar '25
Tigers	Heidi Weiksnar '23	David Wedde '25
Pine Crest School	Arman Agrawal '26 [1-4] Preston Rogers '27 [5-6]	Sarah Morales '26 [1-4]
Panthers	Aurora Christiansen '26	Trenton Groome '26
Ransom Everglades School	Garrett Fox '26	Kayra Serpenguzel '25
Raiders 1	Ava Mc Aliley '26	Daniel Figueroa '24
Ransom Everglades School	Leyla Amjad '26	Mia Bouyoucef '25
Raiders 2	No Show	No Show
St. Petersburg High School	Reid Mendelblatt '26 [1-4] Dorothy Mendelblatt '24 [5-6]	Jad Abedrabbo '26 [1-4] Dluzneski Luke '24 [5-6]
Green Devils	Gloria Privis '26 [1-2, 5-6] Adam Mendelblatt '26 [3-4]	Avery Hunter '25 [1-2, 5-6] Gloria Privis '26 [3-4]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School	Mariano Viega '25	Evan Propes '25
Raiders	Isabel Viega '28	Cole Fanchi '26

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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SAISA South Points 1 2022-23 JV

Division A

Division B

From the notes