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SAISA SP #6 - JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 9 13 22
2 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 19 29 48
3 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 48 19 67
4 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 46 31 77
5 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 1 37 46 83
6 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 2 49 64 113
7 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 36 88 124
8 Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Lady Falcons 81 61 142
9 Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 73 74 147
10 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 73 104 177
11 Seminole High School Seminole High School Seminole 93 MRP 87 MRP 180 MRP
12 Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity 112 MRP 98 MRP 210 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 9 Ava Mc Aliley '26
Daniel Figueroa '24
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 2 2 1 2 4 2 2 4 19 Keith Grupenhoff '25
Sebastian Loughlin '25
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 7 7 3 5 2 3 3 6 36 Aaron Johnson '24
Ellie Freeman '26
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 1 5 4 5 4 3 5 6 5 37 Jakub Barski '23
Angel Black '24
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 3 3 6 6 10 10 5 3 46 Audrey Caplow '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Leyla Amjad '26 [5-6]
Amelia Lazarus '25 [1-4, 7-8]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 4 5 DNS 3 OCS 4 4 2 48 Reid Mendelblatt '26 [1-4]
Gloria Privis '26 [5-8]
Jad Abedrabbo '26 [1-4]
Ava Shakespeare '25 [5-8]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 2 6 6 4 7 5 7 7 7 49 Audrey Foley '24
Ruby Suereth '24
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 8 8 7 8 8 8 DNS DNS 73 Jarah Maynor '24
Victoria Brock '26
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 9 10 8 9 6 11 11 9 73 Erinne Fenton '25
Gabriella Pina '27
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Lady Falcons 10 9 11 12 9 9 8 DNF 81 Bennett Tobey '26
Ashley Manshack '27
Seminole High School Seminole High School Seminole DNS 11 9 10 7 6 9 8 93 MRP No Show
No Show
Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity DSQ 12 10 11 11 12 10 DNF 112 MRP No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 5 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 13 Sebastian Van De Kreeke '25
Lucas Lippy '25
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 2 2 2 1 3 3 3 3 19 Adam Mendelblatt '26
Dluzneski Luke '24
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 1 4 3 5 4 4 4 4 29 Isabella Henrich '26 [1-8]
Nathalie Caudron '25 [1-6]
Caroline Caudron '23 [7-8]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 DNF 3 4 3 2 2 2 2 31 Marcus Mustad '26 [1, 4]
Garrett Fox '26 [2-3, 5-8]
Mela Lew '24 [1]
Marcus Mustad '26 [2-3, 7-8]
Garrett Fox '26 [4]
Evelyn Yu '24 [5-6]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 1 4 6 8 4 6 6 6 6 46 Daphne Dalton '24
Kaylee Priest '24
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Lady Falcons 7 10 10 9 8 7 5 5 61 Robert Curls '27
James Dollar '27
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 2 3 5 5 6 DNS 11 8 DNF 64 No Show
No Show
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Indians 6 9 7 7 DNF 10 9 DNF 74 Hudson Regan '26
James Mccauley '26
Seminole High School Seminole High School Seminole 9 7 6 10 7 8 7 DNF 87 MRP No Show
No Show
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons DNS DNS DNS DNS 5 5 DNF DNF 88 No Show
No Show
Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity 8 8 9 8 DNF 9 10 DNF 98 MRP No Show
No Show
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 104 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Admiral Farragut AcademyAdmiral Farragut Academy Varsity33333333
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Lady Falcons1010101010101010
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions78237823782378237823782378237823
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons1313131313131313
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers1616161616161616
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 111111111
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 222222222
Seminole High SchoolSeminole High School Seminole00000000
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 11212121212121212
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 21414141414141414
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils22222222
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Indians90069006900690069006900690069006

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Admiral Farragut AcademyAdmiral Farragut Academy Varsity33333333
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Lady Falcons1010101010101010
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions78237823782378237823782378237823
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons1313131313131313
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers1616161616161616
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 111111111
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders 222222222
Seminole High SchoolSeminole High School Seminole00000000
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 11212121212121212
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 21414141414141414
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils22222222
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Indians90069006900690069006900690069006

Conditions — 03/04/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1013.9 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.4 kn
avg  ·  max 15.1 kn
Gusts to 27.2 kn
From SW (224°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover31% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1013.9 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 13 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at H. B. Plant: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at H. B. Plant by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at H. B. Plant, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →