MDISA SSPP JV Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Gunston Gunston Herons 5 5 10
2 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 13 10 23
3 Zags Zags Zags 15 18 33
4 Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 20 20 40
5 Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 22 25 47
6 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 22 31 53
7 Falcons Falcons Falcons 28 27 55
8 Panthers Panthers Panthers 29 32 61
9 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 35 27 62
10 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 31 45 76
11 Saints Saints Saints 39 40 79
12 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 46 33 79
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Gunston Gunston Herons 1 1 2 1 5 Matthew Periconi '24
Alix Allison '25
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 4 3 1 5 13 Louisa Kalinski '25 [1-4]
Cristian Botsis '25 [1-2]
Saoirse Taylor '27 [3-4]
Zags Zags Zags 3 2 RDG 6 15
Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 7 7 3 3 20 Emmett Nash '28
Chi Chi Chao '27
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 2 4 8 8 22 Phoebe Milhollin '24
William Kessner '23
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 6 9 5 2 22 Molly Dowling '25
Maddie Atwood '26
Falcons Falcons Falcons 8 10 6 4 28
Panthers Panthers Panthers 5 DSQ 4 7 29
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 9 6 7 9 31 Charles Geraghty '26
Shailyn Marshall '25
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 11 5 9 10 35 Caden Latchaw '23
Audrey Valentino '24
Saints Saints Saints 10 8 10 11 39
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 12 11 11 12 46 Lily Moss '25 [1-4]
Miles Toner '25 [1-2]
Teresa Tran '26 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Gunston Gunston Herons 1 2 1 1 5 Tommy Mcgeady '25
Eli Moore '24
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 3 1 4 2 10 Armand Otmishi '24 [1-2]
Cristian Botsis '25 [3-4]
Caroline Welte '25 [1-2]
Victor Kleppinger '25 [3-4]
Zags Zags Zags 8 3 3 4 18
Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 10 5 2 3 20 Eli Cummins '27 [1-2]
Amory Smith '26 [3-4]
Georgia Neaderland '26 [1-2]
Eli Cummins '27 [3-4]
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 4 9 7 5 25 Marco Pilotto '25
Shane Churilla '25
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 2 4 11 10 27 William Fachet '23 [1-2]
Zachary Wells '25 [3-4]
Zachary Wells '25 [1-2]
Henry Macmillan '26 [3-4]
Falcons Falcons Falcons 5 8 8 6 27
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 6 6 6 DNS 31 Maggie Dowling '27
Carter Steiert '27
Panthers Panthers Panthers 7 7 9 9 32
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 11 10 5 7 33 Hayden Medick '26 [1-4]
Lincoln Ditchkofsky-Hartge '26 [1-2]
Zen Corby '26 [3-4]
Saints Saints Saints 9 11 12 8 40
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 12 12 10 11 45 Locke Nunez '26
Charlie Ruschaupt '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
PanthersPanthers Panthers1133
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers2244
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers4466
ZagsZags Zags5577
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres10101212
FalconsFalcons Falcons6688
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks7799
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs881010
SaintsSaints Saints991111
GunstonGunston Herons3355
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings111111
Yorktown High SchoolYorktown High School Patriots121222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
PanthersPanthers Panthers2244
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers3355
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers5577
ZagsZags Zags6688
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres111111
FalconsFalcons Falcons7799
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks881010
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs991111
SaintsSaints Saints10101212
GunstonGunston Herons4466
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings121222
Yorktown High SchoolYorktown High School Patriots1133

Conditions — 04/30/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Dense drizzle
Humidity 93%  ·  Pressure 993.2 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 23.5 kn
From SSE (152°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.6 hrs Humidity93% Pressure993.2 hPa Rain0.64 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Saints Peter & Paul: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.26
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+1.05 ± 0.30)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Saints Peter & Paul by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Saints Peter & Paul, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →