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VISA Kecoughtan High School Fleet Race Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 20 21 41
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 41 17 58
3 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 37 25 62
4 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 27 43 70
5 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 48 39 87
6 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 49 48 97
7 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 51 48 99
8 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 38 65 103
9 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 55 77 132
10 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 81 57 138
11 Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 94 67 161
12 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 78 88 166
13 York High School York High School Falcons 91 77 168
14 The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 97 78 175
15 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 86 105 191
16 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 81 112 193
17 Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 105 115 220
18 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 118 117 235
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 2 1 1 1 1 11 3 20 Sean Trudell '24
Sabrina Casagrande '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 5 2 7 3 6 3 1 27 James Allgeier '27 [1-7]
Jack Poynter '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Marin Soderberg '24 [3-4, 7]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 11 4 2 10 3 2 5 37 Bo Angus '25
Bennett Moss '26
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 6 3 11 2 2 4 10 38 Pierce Brindley '24 [1-7]
Josie Brindley '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Daphne Ambrosino '27 [3-4, 7]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 4 6 5 5 8 1 12 41 Jordan Viera '24
Brooke Mertz '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 3 9 8 12 5 7 4 48 Madeline Janzen '25
Cherry Phan '25
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 7 4 7 7 14 9 49 Kiana Beachy '24
Emma Horton '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 13 5 6 4 11 5 7 51 Laura Smitt '26
Kate Jonson '25
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 7 8 3 11 4 8 14 55 Tucker Mcgrady '26
Gabby Cloe '24
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 8 11 12 13 13 6 15 78 Chloe Anderson '24 [1-6]
Caleb Kyle '25 [7]
Caleb Kyle '25 [1-6]
Chloe Anderson '24 [7]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 9 15 9 9 17 9 13 81 Nathaniel Bonham '24
Pierson Teer '27
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 15 13 15 8 12 16 2 81 Justina Reynolds '24
Annika Fox '27
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 12 14 10 15 14 10 11 86 Cam Brewer '24
Evan Harris '24
York High School York High School Falcons 10 10 17 17 16 13 8 91 Liam Burke '27
Tyler Compton '29
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 14 16 13 14 9 12 16 94 Felix Susta '27
Dylan Thomas '28
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 16 17 14 6 10 17 17 97 Nicholas Davis '24
Nathan Libby '26
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 17 18 18 16 15 15 6 105 Olivia Jensen '27 [1-7]
Mikenna Dunlap '24 [1-4]
Ashlynn Kopaskey '25 [5-7]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 18 12 16 18 18 18 18 118 Cate Rutter '24
Madison Bivins '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 4 2 2 1 1 2 5 17 Paul Rodrigues Jr '24
Suzie Nguyen '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 5 3 1 3 2 3 4 21 Hunter Wheary '24
Anna Iacobucci '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 2 5 4 4 6 1 3 25 Wylder Smith '27
Duncan Hardy '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 7 1 8 5 5 7 6 39 Elliott Lipp '26
Simone Moss '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 1 7 14 12 3 5 1 43 Eliana Mopper '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Grant Fernandez '27 [3-4]
Amanda Wong '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Will Poynter '27 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 9 3 8 13 4 8 48 Alex Salzberg '25
Michael Wattenbarger '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 8 4 7 10 11 6 2 48 Adelaide Matzky '25
Cameron Kinnear '24
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 6 6 10 6 8 9 12 57 Jackson Mcgrady '26 [1-4]
Gp Keating '27 [5-7]
Millicent Branflick '26 [1-4]
Nicholas Cromartie '27 [5-7]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 11 8 11 7 4 11 13 65 Ryan Stokes '28
Chase Young '28
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 9 13 12 9 9 8 7 67 Felix Susta '27
Nathan Shaw '27
York High School York High School Falcons 10 10 13 2 14 12 16 77 Sophia Lopez '30
Raquel Theriault '26
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 13 11 5 13 12 14 9 77 Lillian Rippel '25
Madeline Ballard '25
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons RAF 12 6 14 7 10 10 78 Thomas Bloys '24
Levi Stillman '25
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 15 DNS 9 11 10 13 11 88 Kieran Mason '26
Tyler Slemp '25
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 12 15 16 16 15 16 15 105 Brett Clemmey '27 [1-5]
Hunter Walton '25 [6-7]
Tyler Sebring '27 [1-2]
Jackson Raymond '27 [3-4]
Meadow Page '26 [5-7]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 14 16 18 15 17 15 17 112 Anna Lenox '28 [1-7]
Rylie Bowen '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Lenox Wakefield '27 [3-4, 7]
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 16 17 15 17 18 18 14 115 Megan Allman '24 [1-7]
Ashlynn Kopaskey '25 [1-4]
Mikenna Dunlap '24 [5-7]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 17 14 17 18 16 17 18 117 Riddick Walton '26 [1-7]
Adrianna Henesey '28 [1-2]
Gavin Palochak '28 [3-4]
Ava Patterson '28 [5-7]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.290+0.29
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 11133557
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 22244668
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 33355779
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 444668810
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 555779911
Frank W. Cox High SchoolFrank W. Cox High School Falcons6688101012
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers7799111113
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators881010121214
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors991111131315
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 110101212141416
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 211111313151517
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 112121414161618
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 21313151517171
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks1414161618182
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 115151717113
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 216161818224
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons171711335
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons181822446

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 12244668
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 23355779
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 344668810
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 455779911
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 56688101012
Frank W. Cox High SchoolFrank W. Cox High School Falcons7799111113
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers881010121214
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators991111131315
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors10101212141416
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 111111313151517
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 212121414161618
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 11313151517171
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 21414161618182
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks15151717113
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 116161818224
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 2171711335
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons181822446
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons1133557
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Bo Angus '25 Bennett Moss '26
Seahorses 1 Wylder Smith '27 Duncan Hardy '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Jordan Viera '24 Brooke Mertz '26
Seahorses 2 Paul Rodrigues Jr '24 Suzie Nguyen '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Madeline Janzen '25 Cherry Phan '25
Seahorses 3 Elliott Lipp '26 Simone Moss '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Nathaniel Bonham '24 Pierson Teer '27
Seahorses 4 Jackson Mcgrady '26 [1-4]
Gp Keating '27 [5-7]		 Millicent Branflick '26 [1-4]
Nicholas Cromartie '27 [5-7]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Laura Smitt '26 Kate Jonson '25
Seahorses 5 Adelaide Matzky '25 Cameron Kinnear '24
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Olivia Jensen '27 [1-7] Mikenna Dunlap '24 [1-4]
Ashlynn Kopaskey '25 [5-7]
Falcons Megan Allman '24 [1-7] Ashlynn Kopaskey '25 [1-4]
Mikenna Dunlap '24 [5-7]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Felix Susta '27 Dylan Thomas '28
Clippers Felix Susta '27 Nathan Shaw '27
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Pierce Brindley '24 [1-7] Josie Brindley '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Daphne Ambrosino '27 [3-4, 7]
Navigators Ryan Stokes '28 Chase Young '28
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Chloe Anderson '24 [1-6]
Caleb Kyle '25 [7]		 Caleb Kyle '25 [1-6]
Chloe Anderson '24 [7]
Warriors Kieran Mason '26 Tyler Slemp '25
Maury High School Maury High School Tucker Mcgrady '26 Gabby Cloe '24
Commodores 1 Lillian Rippel '25 Madeline Ballard '25
Maury High School Maury High School Justina Reynolds '24 Annika Fox '27
Commodores 2 Anna Lenox '28 [1-7] Rylie Bowen '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Lenox Wakefield '27 [3-4, 7]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Sean Trudell '24 Sabrina Casagrande '25
Bulldogs 1 Hunter Wheary '24 Anna Iacobucci '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy James Allgeier '27 [1-7] Jack Poynter '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Marin Soderberg '24 [3-4, 7]
Bulldogs 2 Eliana Mopper '26 [1-2, 5-7]
Grant Fernandez '27 [3-4]		 Amanda Wong '25 [1-2, 5-7]
Will Poynter '27 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Kiana Beachy '24 Emma Horton '25
Oaks Alex Salzberg '25 Michael Wattenbarger '27
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Cam Brewer '24 Evan Harris '24
Islanders 1 Brett Clemmey '27 [1-5]
Hunter Walton '25 [6-7]		 Tyler Sebring '27 [1-2]
Jackson Raymond '27 [3-4]
Meadow Page '26 [5-7]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Cate Rutter '24 Madison Bivins '25
Islanders 2 Riddick Walton '26 [1-7] Adrianna Henesey '28 [1-2]
Gavin Palochak '28 [3-4]
Ava Patterson '28 [5-7]
The Hague School The Hague School Nicholas Davis '24 Nathan Libby '26
Tritons Thomas Bloys '24 Levi Stillman '25
York High School York High School Liam Burke '27 Tyler Compton '29
Falcons Sophia Lopez '30 Raquel Theriault '26

Conditions — 03/16/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1013.1 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.7 kn
avg  ·  max 10.5 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From ENE (67°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover13% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1013.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Kecoughtan: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kecoughtan by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Kecoughtan, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →