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MBL Freshman Sophomore Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 19 14 33
2 Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 11 22 33
3 Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets 19 25 44
4 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 23 21 44
5 Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen 32 21 53
6 Sharon High School Sharon High School JV 29 29 58
7 Brookline High Brookline High Varsity 42 39 81
8 Brookline High Brookline High Warriors 44 45 89
9 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL 51 54 105
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 2 1 3 1 2 2 11 Olivia Gleason '26
Clara Destenaves '27
Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 1 6 4 2 1 5 19 Ethan Huang '26
Alex Ng '27
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets 3 2 2 3 6 3 19 Nicholas Bock '27
Logan Lunt '27
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 5 3 6 4 4 1 23 Nathan Pitha '27
Josh Raikman '27
Sharon High School Sharon High School JV 4 5 1 7 5 7 29 Maia Muzio '27 [1-2]
Rachel Wen '27 [3-6]
Thomas Zhang '26 [1-2]
Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen 6 7 5 5 3 6 32 Logan De Laar '26 [1-6]
Maddie Cleary '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Carter Driggs '28 [3-4]
Brookline High Brookline High Varsity 7 4 7 6 9 9 42 Charles Hewitt '26
Ben Hagan '27
Brookline High Brookline High Warriors 9 8 8 8 7 4 44 Aarav Jadhav '26
Ryan Beach '26
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL 8 9 9 9 8 8 51 Abe Lincoln '26
Abigail Weekly '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 1 1 2 1 8 1 14 Thomas Zhang '26
Ashika Reddy '26
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 2 4 1 6 2 6 21 Sarah Xu '26
Ewan Zhang '27
Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen 3 2 3 5 6 2 21 Nora Synnott '27 [1-6]
Sally Egan '27 [1-4]
Carter Driggs '28 [5-6]
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 5 3 5 3 3 3 22 Anya Schabort '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Patrick Warren '27 [3-4]
Patrick Warren '27 [1-2]
Will Skypeck '26 [3-6]
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets 4 8 4 4 1 4 25 Grey Brooks '27
Thaddeus Bardsley '27
Sharon High School Sharon High School JV 6 5 6 2 5 5 29 Ari Shrabstein '27
Dylan Yankov '27
Brookline High Brookline High Varsity 7 6 7 8 4 7 39 Hanna Kim '27
Safiya Chander '27
Brookline High Brookline High Warriors 8 7 8 7 7 8 45 Emerson Saunders '27
Shailee Allon '27
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA MBL 9 9 9 9 9 9 54 No Name '15
No Name '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Brookline HighBrookline High Varsity113355
Brookline HighBrookline High Warriors224466
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons335577
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Habormen446688
Manchester/Essex RHSManchester/Essex RHS Hornets557799
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles779922
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School JV881133
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Varsity668811
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA MBL992244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Brookline HighBrookline High Varsity224466
Brookline HighBrookline High Warriors335577
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons446688
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Habormen557799
Manchester/Essex RHSManchester/Essex RHS Hornets668811
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles881133
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School JV992244
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Varsity779922
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA MBL113355

Conditions — 05/04/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1027.9 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From ENE (57°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover96% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1027.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Sharon: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.23 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sharon by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Sharon, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →