Sharon High School '26
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.12 (fleet 0.16) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.02 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 6–7 (46%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 6–7 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (13 matches) the record is 6–7 against 5.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.7). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | MBL Team Race Tournament | skipper | 0.31 | -0.11 | 2–4 | 2.4 | −0.41 | 0.1 | 78% |
| 2026-04-12 | Linda Juliano Girls TR Tourney '26 | skipper | 0.37 | 1.35 | 4–3 | 2.9 | +0.98 | 0.6 | 29% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| MBL Team Race Tournament | Skipper | TR | 8 | 25% | — |
| Linda Juliano Girls TR Tourney '26 | Skipper | TR | 7 | 57% | — |
| Donald Green Regatta 26 | Skipper | A | 3 | 11.3 | 0.13 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Duxbury Bay Maritime School Invitational | Skipper | B | 3 | 9.7 | 0.39 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA Herreshoff Qualifier - Hingham | Skipper | A | 4 | 9.5 | -1.05 |
| MBL Fleet Race Invitational | Skipper | B | 2 | 3.0 | -0.32 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Duxbury Bay Maritime School Fall Invitational | Skipper | B | 4 | 7.0 | 0.61 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| MBL Freshman Sophomore Regatta | Skipper | B | 6 | 3.5 | 0.99 |
| JV Fleet Race Invitational | Skipper | A | 7 | 5.3 | 0.05 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA Fall FunFest (Gleekman Trophy) | Skipper | B | 3 | 12.0 | -0.01 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| MBL Freshman/Sophomore Regatta | Skipper | B | 2 | 5.0 | — |
| JV Fleet Race - TA Invitational | Skipper | B | 6 | 7.0 | -0.37 |
| Donald Greene Regatta '23 | Skipper | B | 2 | 12.0 | 0.06 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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