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MBL Freshman/Sophomore Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems 17 10 27
2 Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity 19 12 31
3 Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 24 17 41
4 MBL Coop 1 MBL Coop 1 MBL Coop 1 24 20 44
5 Hingham Hingham Hingham 23 26 49
6 BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 24 43 67
7 Warriors Warriors Warriors 26 46 72
8 Dragons Dragons Dragons 37 36 73
9 MBL Coop 3 MBL Coop 3 MBL Coop 3 46 39 85
10 Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 40 48 88
11 MBL Coop 2 MBL Coop 2 MBL Coop 2 57 34 91
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems 2 1 2 4 8 17 William Macneille '25 [1-4]
Ashton Marnik '26 [5]
Noah Dengler '25 [1-4]
Skyler Marnik '25 [5]
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity 6 3 6 1 3 19 Kaitlin Hynes '25
Avery Thornton '24
Hingham Hingham Hingham 10 6 3 2 2 23
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 1 5 9 3 6 24 Declan Walsh '26 [1-5]
Paul Jeon '25 [1-2, 5]
Laith Diori '25 [3-4]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 5 7 5 6 1 24 Ethan Huang '26 [1-2, 5]
Arthur Do '25 [3-4]
Ray Luo '25 [1-2]
Ashika Reddy '26 [3-5]
MBL Coop 1 MBL Coop 1 MBL Coop 1 8 2 1 8 5 24
Warriors Warriors Warriors 4 9 4 5 4 26
Dragons Dragons Dragons 3 8 7 7 DSQ 37
Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 7 4 8 9 DSQ 40 Theo Topaloff '24 [1-2]
Sarah Lindgren '25 [3-4]
Oliver Zawadzki '25 [5]
Oliver Zawadzki '25 [1-2]
Meg Little '25 [3-4]
Theo Topaloff '24 [5]
MBL Coop 3 MBL Coop 3 MBL Coop 3 9 10 10 10 7 46
MBL Coop 2 MBL Coop 2 MBL Coop 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS 9 57
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems 1 4 1 2 2 10 Michael Lanz '25
Nick Russo '25
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity 3 1 4 3 1 12 Evan Hinchley '25 [1-5]
Kathleen Gallico '25 [1-2]
Nina Lowe '25 [3-5]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 5 5 2 1 4 17 Sarah Xu '26 [1-2]
Thomas Ha '26 [3-5]
Sanjana Jadhav '25 [1-2]
Namitha Devulapalli '25 [3-5]
MBL Coop 1 MBL Coop 1 MBL Coop 1 2 7 3 5 3 20
Hingham Hingham Hingham 6 2 5 6 7 26
MBL Coop 2 MBL Coop 2 MBL Coop 2 10 3 6 4 11 34
Dragons Dragons Dragons 4 10 9 7 6 36
MBL Coop 3 MBL Coop 3 MBL Coop 3 8 6 DNS 8 5 39
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 7 9 8 9 10 43 Scarlett Chan Macrae '26 [1-5]
Caroline Dudzinski '26 [1-2]
Yancheg Zhao '26 [3-5]
Warriors Warriors Warriors 9 8 10 10 9 46
Natick High School Natick High School Redhawks 11 11 7 11 8 48 Sam Lemien '26 [1-2]
Alex Rendall '25 [3-5]
George Dimitrov '26 [1-2]
James Potter '25 [3-5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights11335
DragonsDragons Dragons22446
HinghamHingham Hingham33557
WarriorsWarriors Warriors44668
Natick High SchoolNatick High School Redhawks55779
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Varsity668810
MBL Coop 1MBL Coop 1 MBL Coop 1779911
MBL Coop 2MBL Coop 2 MBL Coop 28810101
MBL Coop 3MBL Coop 3 MBL Coop 39911112
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Varsity1010113
Winchester High SchoolWinchester High School Sachems1111224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights22446
DragonsDragons Dragons33557
HinghamHingham Hingham44668
WarriorsWarriors Warriors55779
Natick High SchoolNatick High School Redhawks668810
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Varsity779911
MBL Coop 1MBL Coop 1 MBL Coop 18810101
MBL Coop 2MBL Coop 2 MBL Coop 29911112
MBL Coop 3MBL Coop 3 MBL Coop 31010113
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Varsity1111224
Winchester High SchoolWinchester High School Sachems11335
School / Team SkipperCrew
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Declan Walsh '26 [1-5] Paul Jeon '25 [1-2, 5]
Laith Diori '25 [3-4]
Knights Scarlett Chan Macrae '26 [1-5] Caroline Dudzinski '26 [1-2]
Yancheg Zhao '26 [3-5]
Natick High School Natick High School Theo Topaloff '24 [1-2]
Sarah Lindgren '25 [3-4]
Oliver Zawadzki '25 [5]		 Oliver Zawadzki '25 [1-2]
Meg Little '25 [3-4]
Theo Topaloff '24 [5]
Redhawks Sam Lemien '26 [1-2]
Alex Rendall '25 [3-5]		 George Dimitrov '26 [1-2]
James Potter '25 [3-5]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Ethan Huang '26 [1-2, 5]
Arthur Do '25 [3-4]		 Ray Luo '25 [1-2]
Ashika Reddy '26 [3-5]
Varsity Sarah Xu '26 [1-2]
Thomas Ha '26 [3-5]		 Sanjana Jadhav '25 [1-2]
Namitha Devulapalli '25 [3-5]
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Kaitlin Hynes '25 Avery Thornton '24
Varsity Evan Hinchley '25 [1-5] Kathleen Gallico '25 [1-2]
Nina Lowe '25 [3-5]
Winchester High School Winchester High School William Macneille '25 [1-4]
Ashton Marnik '26 [5]		 Noah Dengler '25 [1-4]
Skyler Marnik '25 [5]
Sachems Michael Lanz '25 Nick Russo '25

Conditions — 05/06/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1019.4 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.5 kn
Gusts to 20.4 kn
From NW (320°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover20% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1019.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Duxbury: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.32)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Duxbury by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Duxbury, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →