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JV Fleet Race - TA Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 18 7 25
2 Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 13 23 36
3 Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Little Hawks 39 32 71
4 Sharon High School Sharon High School JV 34 42 76
5 Old Rochester RHS Old Rochester RHS Bulldogs 57 MRP 52 MRP 109 MRP
6 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - JV 1 63 MRP 49 MRP 112 MRP
7 Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 1 58 62 120
8 St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Lions 66 MRP 60 MRP 126 MRP
9 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - JV 2 73 MRP 55 MRP 128 MRP
10 BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 1 52 MRP 88 MRP 140 MRP
11 Redhawks 1 Redhawks 1 Redhawks 1 72 73 145
12 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - JV 3 73 MRP 82 MRP 155 MRP
13 BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 2 88 MRP 71 MRP 159 MRP
14 Redhawks 2 Redhawks 2 Redhawks 2 83 84 167
15 Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 2 98 MRP 100 MRP 198 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 4 3 2 1 1 2 13 Daniel Lu '24
Daniel Lurye '24
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 7 2 3 2 3 1 18 Ike Schutz '25
Andrew Selian '23
Sharon High School Sharon High School JV 9 5 6 3 4 7 34 Chloe Chung '25
Niketh Annereddy '24
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Little Hawks 5 9 1 11 10 3 39 Kaiden Holt '27 [1-6]
Chloe Donavan '28 [1-4]
Tucker Cundiff '28 [5-6]
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 1 3 1 4 7 11 6 52 MRP No Show
No Show
Old Rochester RHS Old Rochester RHS Bulldogs 2 8 8 6 5 8 57 MRP No Show
No Show
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 1 13 11 9 9 7 9 58 Molly O'Brien '26
Frederick Simpson '24
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - JV 1 1 4 DSQ DSQ 2 4 63 MRP No Show
No Show
St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Lions 6 6 10 8 6 10 66 MRP No Show
No Show
Redhawks 1 Redhawks 1 Redhawks 1 11 14 14 12 9 12 72
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - JV 2 8 10 12 10 8 5 73 MRP No Show
No Show
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - JV 3 10 7 5 5 13 13 73 MRP No Show
No Show
Redhawks 2 Redhawks 2 Redhawks 2 15 OCS 11 13 14 14 83
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 2 12 13 7 4 DNS DNS 88 MRP No Show
No Show
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 2 14 12 13 DSQ 12 11 98 MRP No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 1 1 1 1 1 2 7 Amelon Rule '26
Zachary Quintal '25
Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 3 3 2 2 4 9 23 Ethan Huang '26
Ray Luo '25
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Little Hawks 4 6 7 7 3 5 32 Laine Jasen '28 [1-6]
Sara Zhong '28 [1-4]
Chloe Donavan '28 [5-6]
Sharon High School Sharon High School JV 6 8 3 6 8 11 42 Sarah Xu '26
Henry Comeau '25
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - JV 1 2 7 6 4 7 3 49 MRP No Show
No Show
Old Rochester RHS Old Rochester RHS Bulldogs 8 9 4 5 5 1 52 MRP No Show
No Show
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - JV 2 7 4 5 3 6 10 55 MRP No Show
No Show
St. John Paul II School St. John Paul II School Lions 5 5 12 12 2 4 60 MRP No Show
No Show
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 1 10 10 14 11 11 6 62 Andrew Parkes '25
Liam Boukris '24
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 2 9 2 10 8 14 8 71 MRP No Show
No Show
Redhawks 1 Redhawks 1 Redhawks 1 15 12 13 9 10 14 73
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - JV 3 13 11 9 13 9 7 82 MRP No Show
No Show
Redhawks 2 Redhawks 2 Redhawks 2 11 14 15 14 15 15 84
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 1 12 13 8 10 13 12 88 MRP No Show
No Show
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 2 14 15 11 15 12 13 100 MRP No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 1111111
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 2222222
Cape Cod AcademyCape Cod Academy Little Hawks444444
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs 1555555
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs 2666666
Redhawks 1Redhawks 1 Redhawks 1777777
Redhawks 2Redhawks 2 Redhawks 2161616161616
Old Rochester RHSOld Rochester RHS Bulldogs888888
St. John Paul II SchoolSt. John Paul II School Lions121212121212
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School JV999999
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Varsity333333
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons111111111111
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves - JV 1131313131313
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves - JV 2141414141414
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves - JV 3151515151515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 1111111
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 2222222
Cape Cod AcademyCape Cod Academy Little Hawks444444
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs 1555555
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs 2666666
Redhawks 1Redhawks 1 Redhawks 1777777
Redhawks 2Redhawks 2 Redhawks 2161616161616
Old Rochester RHSOld Rochester RHS Bulldogs888888
St. John Paul II SchoolSt. John Paul II School Lions121212121212
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School JV999999
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Varsity333333
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons111111111111
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves - JV 1131313131313
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves - JV 2141414141414
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves - JV 3151515151515

Conditions — 04/15/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1015.2 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 16.3 kn
From SSW (194°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover93% Sunshine8.6 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1015.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tabor Academy - Sippican Harbor: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tabor Academy - Sippican Harbor by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Tabor Academy - Sippican Harbor: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →