Daniel Lu

Rating History

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Keelboat0.45unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active)2Spring 2024

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
0.73 (fleet 1.09) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.06 ± 0.18
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 11–6 (65%)
as crew 3–4 (43%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 2024311–63–4

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 3 graded regattas (24 matches) the record is 14–10 against 8.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+5.2). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2024-05-18NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy)skipper1.091.792–31.4+0.700.244%
2024-05-11MBL Team Race Tournamentskipper0.902.699–35.2+1.793.73%
2024-04-06Dorchester Bay Super Saturdaycrew0.411.213–42.1+0.800.436%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2024 Team page Season
Sharon Invitational Fleet Race Regatta Skipper B 6 5.5 1.32
NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) Skipper TR 9 33% —
NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Quincy, MA Skipper A 4 6.5 0.41
MBL Team Race Tournament Skipper TR 12 75% —
Mass States hosted by BU Skipper B 2 6.5 -0.63
Keelboat Kickoff Keelboat Skipper A 4 13.0 -0.66
Dorchester Bay Super Saturday Crew TR 7 43% —
420 B - 2024 Zimba MBL Championship Skipper A 5 6.6 1.07
Fall 2023 Team page Season
Roy Williams Invitational Regatta Skipper A 2 15.0 -2.00
NESSA Fall FunFest (Gleekman Trophy) Skipper A 4 8.8 0.76
Duxbury Bay Maritime School Fall Invitational Skipper A 5 8.6 0.50
ARNOLD BROWN REGATTA Skipper A 4 6.2 0.90
Spring 2023 Team page Season
Sharon Invitational Skipper A 2 14.0 -0.76
JV Fleet Race - TA Invitational Skipper A 6 2.2 2.51
Donald Greene Regatta '23 Skipper A 3 11.0 0.29
Spring 2022 Team page Season
2022 Sharon Invitational Skipper B 2 6.5 1.06

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →

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