Mass States hosted by BU

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Winchester High School Winchester High School Varsity 23 19 42
2 Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 37 20 57
3 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 28 38 66
4 St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Varsity 32 36 68
5 Boston College High School Boston College High School Eagles 37 44 81
6 Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 52 32 84
7 Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen 26 63 89
8 Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity 53 36 89
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Winchester High School Winchester High School Varsity 3 1 2 2 7 5 1 2 23 William Macneille '25
Noah Dengler '25
Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen 2 2 5 6 4 3 3 1 26 Julia Scipione '25
Chris Hoppe '25
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 4 3 3 3 5 1 4 5 28 Ethan Huang '26 [1-6]
Arthur Do '25 [7-8]
Ray Luo '25 [1-6]
Henry Comeau '25 [7-8]
St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Varsity 1 4 8 1 2 7 5 4 32 Jack Morgan '26
Conor Mcgeown '26
Boston College High School Boston College High School Eagles 5 6 1 8 1 8 2 6 37 Hayes Kennedy '24
Jackson D'Ambrosio '24
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 7 7 4 4 3 2 7 3 37 Max Dressel '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Nicolas Regnault '25 [5-6]
Db Murray '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 8 8 6 5 6 6 6 7 52 Dory Russell '24
Mary Lee '25
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity 6 5 7 7 8 4 8 8 53 Zach Bender '24 [1-6]
Isabelle De Fontaine '24 [7-8]
Colin Byrne '24 [1-6]
Avery Thornton '24 [7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Winchester High School Winchester High School Varsity 1 3 3 3 2 3 1 3 19 Karenna Marnik '24
Audra Murray '24
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Fishwagons 3 2 2 6 3 1 2 1 20 Thomas Svencer '26
Ella Benedetto '25
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 2 5 7 5 1 2 6 4 32 Caleb Kohn '25
Tim Nguyen '24
St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Varsity 4 7 4 2 6 5 3 5 36 Jeremiah Mccarthy '26
Robert Yim '25
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity 7 4 1 4 4 7 7 2 36 Kaitlin Hynes '25 [1-6]
Eoghan Kelley '24 [7-8]
Brady Welburn '24 [1-6]
Kathleen Gallico '25 [7-8]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 6 1 5 1 7 6 4 8 38 Thomas Ha '26 [1-4]
Daniel Lu '24 [5-6]
Chloe Chung '25 [7-8]
Daniel Lurye '24 [1-4]
Alex Ng '27 [5-6]
Susanna Bie '25 [7-8]
Boston College High School Boston College High School Eagles 5 6 6 7 5 4 5 6 44 Dean Romano '26
David Daghlian '25
Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 63 Caroline O'Hara '25
Parker Bradyl '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Boston College High SchoolBoston College High School Eagles11111111
Boston Latin SchoolBoston Latin School Wolfpack22222222
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Habormen44444444
Marblehead High SchoolMarblehead High School Fishwagons66666666
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles77777777
St. Johns PrepSt. Johns Prep Varsity88888888
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Varsity99999999
Winchester High SchoolWinchester High School Varsity1010101010101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Boston College High SchoolBoston College High School Eagles11111111
Boston Latin SchoolBoston Latin School Wolfpack22222222
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Habormen44444444
Marblehead High SchoolMarblehead High School Fishwagons66666666
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles77777777
St. Johns PrepSt. Johns Prep Varsity88888888
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Varsity99999999
Winchester High SchoolWinchester High School Varsity1010101010101010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College High School Boston College High School Hayes Kennedy '24 Jackson D'Ambrosio '24
Eagles Dean Romano '26 David Daghlian '25
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Dory Russell '24 Mary Lee '25
Wolfpack Caleb Kohn '25 Tim Nguyen '24
Hingham High School Hingham High School Julia Scipione '25 Chris Hoppe '25
Habormen Caroline O'Hara '25 Parker Bradyl '25
Marblehead High School Marblehead High School Max Dressel '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Nicolas Regnault '25 [5-6]
Db Murray '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Fishwagons Thomas Svencer '26 Ella Benedetto '25
Sharon High School Sharon High School Ethan Huang '26 [1-6]
Arthur Do '25 [7-8]
Ray Luo '25 [1-6]
Henry Comeau '25 [7-8]
Eagles Thomas Ha '26 [1-4]
Daniel Lu '24 [5-6]
Chloe Chung '25 [7-8]
Daniel Lurye '24 [1-4]
Alex Ng '27 [5-6]
Susanna Bie '25 [7-8]
St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Jack Morgan '26 Conor Mcgeown '26
Varsity Jeremiah Mccarthy '26 Robert Yim '25
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Zach Bender '24 [1-6]
Isabelle De Fontaine '24 [7-8]
Colin Byrne '24 [1-6]
Avery Thornton '24 [7-8]
Varsity Kaitlin Hynes '25 [1-6]
Eoghan Kelley '24 [7-8]
Brady Welburn '24 [1-6]
Kathleen Gallico '25 [7-8]
Winchester High School Winchester High School William Macneille '25 Noah Dengler '25
Varsity Karenna Marnik '24 Audra Murray '24

Conditions — 05/20/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1017.6 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.2 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From E (86°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover79% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1017.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn · S 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Boston University Sailing Pavilion: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.18 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston University Sailing Pavilion by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Boston University Sailing Pavilion, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →