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NJISA 2024 TR Spring Series 3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 11 6 17
2 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 23 9 32
3 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 12 22 34
4 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 14 26 40
5 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 23 21 44
6 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 20 25 45
7 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 29 28 57
8 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 39 19 58
9 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 21 41 62
10 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 49 31 80
11 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 38 44 82
12 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 5 40 43 83
13 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 45 49 94
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 4 1 1 5 11 Jude Ryon '27 [1-4]
Belle Placa '25 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 1 7 2 2 12 Christopher Small '26 [1-4]
Luke Pennisi '24 [1-2]
Alton Deoliveria '26 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 2 8 3 1 14 Cole Buczkowski '27 [1-4]
Kyle Lombardino '25 [1-2]
Matthew Dupree '25 [3-4]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 7 4 5 4 20 Liam Marcell '26 [1-4]
Annabelle Arcuri '27 [1-2]
Gianna Deresz '27 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 5 9 4 3 21 Jules Buczkowski '26
Donald Johnston '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 3 3 10 7 23 Gannon Botwinick '27 [1-4]
Erin Little '24 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 8 2 7 6 23 James Kopack '24
Caroline Felser '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 6 6 8 9 29 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Daniel Stephan '24
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 9 12 9 8 38 Ella Demand '24
Maryn Demand '27
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 11 10 6 12 39 Lewis Forrest '25
Sophia Behar '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 5 12 5 13 10 40 Matthew Moses '24
Seth Santos '27
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 10 11 11 13 45 Izzy Bornebusch '25 [1-4]
Vanessa Mccartin '26 [1-2]
Samantha Goldberg '26 [3-4]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 13 13 12 11 49 Allison Beisel '24
Greta Senft '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 2 2 1 1 6 Belle Placa '25
Noah Tallman '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 4 1 2 2 9 Erin Little '24
No Show
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 3 8 7 19 Dylan Pagonis '26
Julien Wong '27
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 8 4 5 4 21 Cameron Hart '27
Nicholas Fatigate '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 10 5 4 3 22 Luke Pennisi '24
Christopher Badenhausen '26
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 3 7 9 6 25 Grace Ciak '26 [1-2]
Nicole Small '27 [3-4]
Scarlett Colman '26 [1-2]
Oliver Roske '27 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 9 6 6 5 26 Kyle Lombardino '25 [1-4]
Matthew Dupree '25 [1-2]
Dylan Thomas '27 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 7 8 3 10 28 Greyson Colman '25
Aidan Kenney '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 6 9 7 9 31 Caroline Duffy '25 [1-4]
Julianna Walsh '24 [1-2]
Ava Santamaria '26 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 5 12 12 12 41 Andrew Dinger '24
Erick Shi '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 5 11 13 11 8 43 John Mcnamara '27 [1-2]
Christopher Quincannon '27 [3-4]
Daniel Kuzloski '25 [1-2]
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 12 11 10 11 44 Lilly Keenan '27
Emily Bell '27
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 13 10 13 13 49 Sophia Galiano '26 [1-4]
Evelyn Magee '26 [1-2]
Prato Victoria '26 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 11111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 22222
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 33333
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 44444
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 55555
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 16666
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 27777
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers9999
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 110101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 211111111
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians12121212
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 113131313
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 214141414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 11111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 22222
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 33333
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 44444
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 55555
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 16666
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 27777
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers9999
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 110101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 211111111
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians12121212
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 113131313
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 214141414
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Christopher Small '26 [1-4] Luke Pennisi '24 [1-2]
Alton Deoliveria '26 [3-4]
Colts 1 Luke Pennisi '24 Christopher Badenhausen '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Cole Buczkowski '27 [1-4] Kyle Lombardino '25 [1-2]
Matthew Dupree '25 [3-4]
Colts 2 Kyle Lombardino '25 [1-4] Matthew Dupree '25 [1-2]
Dylan Thomas '27 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Mitchell Hnatt '24 Daniel Stephan '24
Colts 3 Greyson Colman '25 Aidan Kenney '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Jules Buczkowski '26 Donald Johnston '25
Colts 4 Andrew Dinger '24 Erick Shi '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Matthew Moses '24 Seth Santos '27
Colts 5 John Mcnamara '27 [1-2]
Christopher Quincannon '27 [3-4]		 Daniel Kuzloski '25 [1-2]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School James Kopack '24 Caroline Felser '24
Griffins 1 Cameron Hart '27 Nicholas Fatigate '24
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Liam Marcell '26 [1-4] Annabelle Arcuri '27 [1-2]
Gianna Deresz '27 [3-4]
Griffins 2 Grace Ciak '26 [1-2]
Nicole Small '27 [3-4]		 Scarlett Colman '26 [1-2]
Oliver Roske '27 [3-4]
Ranney School Ranney School Lewis Forrest '25 Sophia Behar '25
Panthers Dylan Pagonis '26 Julien Wong '27
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Jude Ryon '27 [1-4] Belle Placa '25 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Rams 1 Belle Placa '25 Noah Tallman '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Gannon Botwinick '27 [1-4] Erin Little '24 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Rams 2 Erin Little '24 No Show
Toms River South Toms River South Ella Demand '24 Maryn Demand '27
Indians Lilly Keenan '27 Emily Bell '27
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Allison Beisel '24 Greta Senft '24
Monarchs 1 Caroline Duffy '25 [1-4] Julianna Walsh '24 [1-2]
Ava Santamaria '26 [3-4]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Izzy Bornebusch '25 [1-4] Vanessa Mccartin '26 [1-2]
Samantha Goldberg '26 [3-4]
Monarchs 2 Sophia Galiano '26 [1-4] Evelyn Magee '26 [1-2]
Prato Victoria '26 [3-4]

Conditions — 04/17/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1019.7 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From ESE (120°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1019.7 hPa Rain0.09 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Southern Regional: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.13)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Regional by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Southern Regional, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →