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NWISA Fleet Race Champs BRONZE

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bothell Bothell Bothell 11 13 24
2 Black Hills Black Hills Black Hills 24 17 41
3 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 18 27 45
4 Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 18 29 47
5 Bremerton High School Bremerton High School Knights 38 33 71
6 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 36 42 78
7 Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 38 49 87
8 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 50 37 87
9 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 46 55 101
10 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 64 49 113
11 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 67 62 129
12 Green Green Green 78 77 155
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Bothell Bothell Bothell 1 1 5 2 1 1 11
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 4 4 1 4 2 3 18 Vadim Hettena '24
Brolin Boelts '26
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 5 2 4 1 4 2 18 Theodore Dodd '27
Eloise Hererra '27
Black Hills Black Hills Black Hills 3 6 2 5 3 5 24 Alex Weed '26
Lilly Bellmer '27
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 2 5 8 8 6 7 36 Charlie Yando '28
Henry Fournier '28
Bremerton High School Bremerton High School Knights 6 10 3 3 8 8 38 Victor Gehring '26
Lark Tergeson '28
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 10 3 7 9 5 4 38 Siri Biswas '28
Olivia Tuttle '28
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 7 8 9 7 9 6 46 Grant Nienhuis '26 [1-6]
Emri Vincent '26 [1-2]
Callie Carlson '24 [3-4]
Kaitlin Metz '27 [5-6]
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 11 11 6 6 7 9 50 Finn Scheyer '28
Hans Scheyer '24
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 9 9 10 10 DNS DNS 64 Chase Johnson '27 [1-6]
Juniper Reiss-Landreau '27 [1-2]
Emri Vincent '26 [3-6]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 8 7 DNS DNS DNS DNS 67 Owen Ploe '24
Gabrielle Jelic '27
Green Green Green DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 78
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Bothell Bothell Bothell 3 1 3 2 3 1 13
Black Hills Black Hills Black Hills 4 4 1 1 1 6 17 Maddox Gorrum '25
No Show
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 8 7 2 3 2 5 27 Liam '24
No Show
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 1 2 6 6 7 7 29 Jackson Maestas '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Oliver Laskowski '26 [3-4]
Oliver Laskowski '26 [1-2]
Olin Brinkley '27 [3-6]
Bremerton High School Bremerton High School Knights 7 8 4 5 5 4 33 Avery Lawley '25
Kaisen Olkonen '27
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 11 6 9 4 4 3 37 Finn Scheyer '28
Hans Scheyer '24
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 9 11 7 7 6 2 42 Alex Cain '28
Brody Colbert '27
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 2 3 5 DNS DNS DNS 49 Adi Vannice '28
Clare Hopkins '28
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 6 9 10 8 8 8 49 Will Prewitt '27 [1-6]
Emri Vincent '26 [1-2]
Juniper Reiss-Landreau '27 [3-6]
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 10 10 8 9 9 9 55 Callie Carlson '24
Anika Nienhuis '28
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 5 5 DNS DNS DNS DNS 62 Payton Mcphail '24
Nick Heinzelman '24
Green Green Green DNS 12 DNS DNS DNS DNS 77
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks414143435151
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans5555535333
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers1124244242
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Bayhawks505054545858
Black HillsBlack Hills Black Hills5454585811
BothellBothell Bothell434351515555
Bremerton High SchoolBremerton High School Knights515155555353
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars5353334141
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides242442425050
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats424250505454
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears5858112424
GreenGreen Green3341414343

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks424250505454
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans5858112424
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers3341414343
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Bayhawks515155555353
Black HillsBlack Hills Black Hills5555535333
BothellBothell Bothell505054545858
Bremerton High SchoolBremerton High School Knights5454585811
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars1124244242
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides414143435151
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats434351515555
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears5353334141
GreenGreen Green242442425050

Conditions — 05/04/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 87%  ·  Pressure 1000.5 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From WNW (282°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity87% Pressure1000.5 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn · SE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Anacortes: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.52 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Anacortes by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Anacortes, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →