NWISA Ranking Regatta #3 SILVER

HostGig Harbor
Date04/13/2024
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#		School	Team	A	B	TOT
1		Benson Polytechnic High School (OR)	Techsters	34	29	63
2		Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	44	21	65
3		Ingraham High School	Rams	16	54	70
4		Olympia High School	Bears 2	47	31	78
5		Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions	74	26	100
6		Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	61	42	103
7		Olympia High School	Bears 1	40	64	104
8		Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	51	56	107
9		Sehome High School	Mariners	47	65	112
10		Lakeridge High School (OR)	Lake Ridge	59	61	120
11		Hood River Valley High School	Eagles	111	20	131
12		Anacortes High School	Seahawks	34	106	140
13		Spring Street International School	Green	64	76	140
14		Gig Harbor High School	Tides	58	87	145
15		Bellingham High School	Bayhawks 1	79	95	174
16		Lincoln High School (OR)	Cardinals	83	107	190
17		Capital High School	Cougars	109	82	191
18		Bremerton High School	Knights	108	84	192
19	$Science and Math Institute$	Science and Math Institute	SAMI	93	106	199
20		Bellingham High School	Bayhawks 2	108	93	201
21		Olympia High School	Bears 3	88	115	203
22		Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	99	113	212
23		Port Angeles High School	Roughriders	123	120	243

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
	Ingraham High School	Rams	3	1	5	3	1	3	16	Max Hanson '25 Zev Fort '25
	Benson Polytechnic High School (OR)	Techsters	1	7	8	2	RDG	10	34	Henry Tuttle '26 Alex Tharp '26
	Anacortes High School	Seahawks	10	6	9	5	2	2	34	Allison Lehmann '26 Amelia Burrus '24
	Olympia High School	Bears 1	8	5	20	1	5	1	40	Esther Ireland '25 Kaden Kim '27
	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	7	15	4	6	BYE	5	44	Joseph Tappen '25 Carson Domansky '26
	Olympia High School	Bears 2	2	10	11	4	11	9	47	Liam Power '25 Caleigh Mingay '26
	Sehome High School	Mariners	20	8	3	8	4	4	47	Bella Norwood '26 Sofia Brown Patricio '24
	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	9	14	1	7	13	7	51	Suraj Siddaiah '26 Emma Jackson '26
	Gig Harbor High School	Tides	11	2	14	13	6	12	58	Nico Konyk '25 [1-2, 5] Tru Jackson '27 [3-4] Bailey Rainbolt '26 [6] Kel Cowart '25 [1-5] Cameron Siegert '27 [6]
	Lakeridge High School (OR)	Lake Ridge	6	4	12	9	7	21	59	Braden Voelkel '26 Eleanor Crandall '25
	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	4	3	7	19	8	20	61	Daniel Chapman '27 [1-5] Owen Ploe '24 [6] Charlotte Cheng-Sun '26 [1-5] Gabrielle Jelic '27 [6]
	Spring Street International School	Green	14	9	10	20	3	8	64	Oliver Oswald '25 No Show
	Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions	5	11	2	17	DNS	15	74	Genevieve Davis '26 Aspen Merrill '25
	Bellingham High School	Bayhawks 1	13	13	6	16	9	22	79	August Montiel '25 [1-4] Oz Resnick '25 [5-6] Aiofe Tamminga '27 [1-2, 5-6] Errol Noet '27 [3-4]
	Lincoln High School (OR)	Cardinals	17	18	16	11	10	11	83	Andrew Dolle '25 Jocelyn Emery '26
	Olympia High School	Bears 3	19	16	13	14	20	6	88	Maddox Gorum '25
$Science and Math Institute$	Science and Math Institute	SAMI	16	12	18	12	21	14	93	Oona Lacey '27 Brody Colbert '27
	Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	21	22	17	10	12	17	99	Hannah Mcreynolds '24 [1-6] Callie Carlson '24 [1-5] Emri Vincent '26 [6]
	Bremerton High School	Knights	15	20	21	18	16	18	108	Victor Gehring '26 Lark Tergeson '28
	Bellingham High School	Bayhawks 2	22	21	19	15	15	16	108	Finn Scheyer '28 Hans Scheyer '24
	Capital High School	Cougars	12	17	23	21	17	19	109	Siri Biswas '28
	Hood River Valley High School	Eagles	18	19	15	22	14	23	111	Montenson Leif '24 No Show
	Port Angeles High School	Roughriders	23	23	22	DNF	18	13	123	Caelan Prater '27 [1-6] Keira Andersen '28 [1-2] Sutton Desser '28 [3-4] William Weidenhoeft '28 [5-6]

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
	Hood River Valley High School	Eagles	2	3	8	2	3	2	20	Liam Boettcher '24 No Show
	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	1	1	2	5	11	1	21	Nelson Dorsey '26 [1-6] Talia Esarey '24 [1-2, 5-6] Beckett Ladenburg '27 [3-4]
	Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions	5	4	1	3	8	5	26	Genie Greenfield '26 [1-4] Camryn Lee '27 [5-6] No Show [1-4] Brent Hu '25 [5-6]
	Benson Polytechnic High School (OR)	Techsters	4	6	5	4	4	6	29	Oliver Fogarty '25 Noah Johnson-Green '28
	Olympia High School	Bears 2	6	2	3	1	12	7	31	Liam Taylor '25 Cate Griffith '27
	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 3	3	5	19	10	1	4	42	Daniella Cheng-Sun '28 [1-6] Atlas Montgomery '27 [1-2] Gabrielle Jelic '27 [3-4] Charlotte Cheng-Sun '26 [5-6]
	Ingraham High School	Rams	7	10	15	8	5	9	54	Jackson Maestas '23 Nathan Pease '24
	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	10	9	20	12	2	3	56	Gretchen Fiscus '26 [1-6] Ella Baker '27 [1-2, 5-6] Payton Mcphail '24 [3-4]
	Lakeridge High School (OR)	Lake Ridge	16	8	11	6	10	10	61	Angelo Fasulo '27 Patrick Loudermilk '27
	Olympia High School	Bears 1	9	7	4	7	19	18	64	Simone Reck '27 Faye Hervieux '26
	Sehome High School	Mariners	12	11	6	14	7	15	65	Hans Vondrell '26 [1-6] Atticus Andress '26 [1-2, 5-6] Campbell Hickey '27 [3-4]
	Spring Street International School	Green	14	12	22	11	9	8	76	Matilda Twigg '25 No Show
	Capital High School	Cougars	13	15	13	9	15	17	82	Cameron Leclair '27 Brolin Boelts '26
	Bremerton High School	Knights	15	16	10	16	6	21	84	Avery Lawley '25 [1-4] Kaisen Olkonen '27 [5-6] Kaisen Olkonen '27 [1-4] Avery Lawley '25 [5-6]
	Gig Harbor High School	Tides	11	17	12	17	17	13	87	Tristian Filyes '28 [1-5] Charlie Yando '28 [6] Charlie Yando '28 [1-5] Tristian Filyes '28 [6]
	Bellingham High School	Bayhawks 2	8	18	21	22	13	11	93	Nate North '24 Frank Purpura '24
	Bellingham High School	Bayhawks 1	18	14	14	21	16	12	95	Tyce Little '26 [1-6] Oz Resnick '25 [1-4] Errol Noet '27 [5-6]
	Anacortes High School	Seahawks	19	20	17	20	14	16	106	Chase Johnson '27 [1-6] Juniper Reiss-Landreau '27 [1-2, 5-6] Emri Vincent '26 [3-4]
$Science and Math Institute$	Science and Math Institute	SAMI	20	22	9	15	RDG	22	106	No Show Alex Cain '28
	Lincoln High School (OR)	Cardinals	22	13	16	18	18	20	107	Denali Kenney '27 Jake Karnstein '24
	Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	21	23	7	19	20	23	113	Will Prewitt '27 [1-4] Callie Carlson '24 [5-6] Kaitlin Metz '27 [1-4]
	Olympia High School	Bears 3	17	21	RAF	13	21	19	115	Jadon Ireland '28
	Port Angeles High School	Roughriders	DNS	19	18	23	22	14	120	Teig Carlson '28 [1-6] William Weidenhoeft '28 [1-2] Keira Andersen '28 [3-4] Sutton Desser '28 [5-6]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.140+0.14

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

	Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
	Anacortes High School Seahawks	99	99	19	19	98	98
	Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	17	17	37	37	14	14
	Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	19	19	98	98	15	15
	Bainbridge High School Spartans 3	37	37	14	14
	Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions	98	98	15	15	127	127
	Bellingham High School Bayhawks 1	14	14			62	62
	Bellingham High School Bayhawks 2	15	15	127	127	115	115
	Benson Polytechnic High School (OR) Techsters			62	62	63	63
	Bremerton High School Knights	127	127	115	115	4	4
	Capital High School Cougars	62	62	63	63
	Gig Harbor High School Tides	115	115	4	4
	Hood River Valley High School Eagles	63	63			100	100
	Ingraham High School Rams	4	4			82	82
	Lakeridge High School (OR) Lake Ridge			100	100	83	83
	Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals			82	82	84	84
	Oak Harbor High School Wildcats	100	100	83	83	156	156
	Olympia High School Bears 1	82	82	84	84	61	61
	Olympia High School Bears 2	83	83	156	156	13	13
	Olympia High School Bears 3	84	84	61	61	16	16
	Port Angeles High School Roughriders	156	156	13	13	99	99
$Science and Math Institute$	Science and Math Institute SAMI	61	61	16	16	17	17
	Sehome High School Mariners	13	13	99	99	19	19
	Spring Street International School Green	16	16	17	17	37	37

Division B

	Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
	Anacortes High School Seahawks	17	17	37	37	14	14
	Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	19	19	98	98	15	15
	Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	37	37	14	14
	Bainbridge High School Spartans 3	98	98	15	15	127	127
	Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions	14	14			62	62
	Bellingham High School Bayhawks 1	15	15	127	127	115	115
	Bellingham High School Bayhawks 2			62	62	63	63
	Benson Polytechnic High School (OR) Techsters	127	127	115	115	4	4
	Bremerton High School Knights	62	62	63	63
	Capital High School Cougars	115	115	4	4
	Gig Harbor High School Tides	63	63			100	100
	Hood River Valley High School Eagles	4	4			82	82
	Ingraham High School Rams			100	100	83	83
	Lakeridge High School (OR) Lake Ridge			82	82	84	84
	Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals	100	100	83	83	156	156
	Oak Harbor High School Wildcats	82	82	84	84	61	61
	Olympia High School Bears 1	83	83	156	156	13	13
	Olympia High School Bears 2	84	84	61	61	16	16
	Olympia High School Bears 3	156	156	13	13	99	99
	Port Angeles High School Roughriders	61	61	16	16	17	17
$Science and Math Institute$	Science and Math Institute SAMI	13	13	99	99	19	19
	Sehome High School Mariners	16	16	17	17	37	37
	Spring Street International School Green	99	99	19	19	98	98

	School / Team	Skipper	Crew
	Anacortes High School	Allison Lehmann '26	Amelia Burrus '24
	Seahawks	Chase Johnson '27 [1-6]	Juniper Reiss-Landreau '27 [1-2, 5-6] Emri Vincent '26 [3-4]
	Bainbridge High School	Joseph Tappen '25	Carson Domansky '26
	Spartans 1	Nelson Dorsey '26 [1-6]	Talia Esarey '24 [1-2, 5-6] Beckett Ladenburg '27 [3-4]
	Bainbridge High School	Suraj Siddaiah '26	Emma Jackson '26
	Spartans 2	Gretchen Fiscus '26 [1-6]	Ella Baker '27 [1-2, 5-6] Payton Mcphail '24 [3-4]
	Bainbridge High School	Daniel Chapman '27 [1-5] Owen Ploe '24 [6]	Charlotte Cheng-Sun '26 [1-5] Gabrielle Jelic '27 [6]
	Spartans 3	Daniella Cheng-Sun '28 [1-6]	Atlas Montgomery '27 [1-2] Gabrielle Jelic '27 [3-4] Charlotte Cheng-Sun '26 [5-6]
	Bellarmine Preparatory School	Genevieve Davis '26	Aspen Merrill '25
	Lions	Genie Greenfield '26 [1-4] Camryn Lee '27 [5-6]	No Show [1-4] Brent Hu '25 [5-6]
	Bellingham High School	August Montiel '25 [1-4] Oz Resnick '25 [5-6]	Aiofe Tamminga '27 [1-2, 5-6] Errol Noet '27 [3-4]
	Bayhawks 1	Tyce Little '26 [1-6]	Oz Resnick '25 [1-4] Errol Noet '27 [5-6]
	Bellingham High School	Finn Scheyer '28	Hans Scheyer '24
	Bayhawks 2	Nate North '24	Frank Purpura '24
	Benson Polytechnic High School (OR)	Henry Tuttle '26	Alex Tharp '26
	Techsters	Oliver Fogarty '25	Noah Johnson-Green '28
	Bremerton High School	Victor Gehring '26	Lark Tergeson '28
	Knights	Avery Lawley '25 [1-4] Kaisen Olkonen '27 [5-6]	Kaisen Olkonen '27 [1-4] Avery Lawley '25 [5-6]
	Capital High School	Siri Biswas '28
	Cougars	Cameron Leclair '27	Brolin Boelts '26
	Gig Harbor High School	Nico Konyk '25 [1-2, 5] Tru Jackson '27 [3-4] Bailey Rainbolt '26 [6]	Kel Cowart '25 [1-5] Cameron Siegert '27 [6]
	Tides	Tristian Filyes '28 [1-5] Charlie Yando '28 [6]	Charlie Yando '28 [1-5] Tristian Filyes '28 [6]
	Hood River Valley High School	Montenson Leif '24	No Show
	Eagles	Liam Boettcher '24	No Show
	Ingraham High School	Max Hanson '25	Zev Fort '25
	Rams	Jackson Maestas '23	Nathan Pease '24
	Lakeridge High School (OR)	Braden Voelkel '26	Eleanor Crandall '25
	Lake Ridge	Angelo Fasulo '27	Patrick Loudermilk '27
	Lincoln High School (OR)	Andrew Dolle '25	Jocelyn Emery '26
	Cardinals	Denali Kenney '27	Jake Karnstein '24
	Oak Harbor High School	Hannah Mcreynolds '24 [1-6]	Callie Carlson '24 [1-5] Emri Vincent '26 [6]
	Wildcats	Will Prewitt '27 [1-4] Callie Carlson '24 [5-6]	Kaitlin Metz '27 [1-4]
	Olympia High School	Esther Ireland '25	Kaden Kim '27
	Bears 1	Simone Reck '27	Faye Hervieux '26
	Olympia High School	Liam Power '25	Caleigh Mingay '26
	Bears 2	Liam Taylor '25	Cate Griffith '27
	Olympia High School	Maddox Gorum '25
	Bears 3	Jadon Ireland '28
	Port Angeles High School	Caelan Prater '27 [1-6]	Keira Andersen '28 [1-2] Sutton Desser '28 [3-4] William Weidenhoeft '28 [5-6]
	Roughriders	Teig Carlson '28 [1-6]	William Weidenhoeft '28 [1-2] Keira Andersen '28 [3-4] Sutton Desser '28 [5-6]
$Science and Math Institute$	Science and Math Institute	Oona Lacey '27	Brody Colbert '27
$Science and Math Institute$	SAMI	No Show	Alex Cain '28
	Sehome High School	Bella Norwood '26	Sofia Brown Patricio '24
	Mariners	Hans Vondrell '26 [1-6]	Atticus Andress '26 [1-2, 5-6] Campbell Hickey '27 [3-4]
	Spring Street International School	Oliver Oswald '25	No Show
	Green	Matilda Twigg '25	No Show

Conditions — 04/13/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 57% · Pressure 1012.9 hPa

Temperature

57°F

↑ 62°F ↓ 46°F

Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

6.6 kn

avg · max 7.6 kn

Gusts to 19.4 kn

From NNE (31°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover59% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1012.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · N 6 kn (scorer’s report)

In this breeze at Gig Harbor: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)

Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.

Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.03

Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Gig Harbor by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Gig Harbor, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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