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SEISA Girls District Championship

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 9 9
2 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 15 15
3 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 5 29 29
4 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 4 38 38
5 Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff Maroon 40 40
6 London High School London High School Pirates 45 45
7 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 6 48 48
8 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 3 72 72
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 9 Evie Barras '24
Madelyn Oster '24
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 15 Julia Poche '24 [1-8]
Lauren Galligan '25 [1-2, 7-8]
Ceceilia Zinsel '25 [3-6]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 5 4 3 3 5 3 3 4 4 29 Estella Holland '26 [1-8]
Emma Pscenicka '26 [1-5]
Ella Ory '26 [6-8]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 4 7 5 4 3 4 5 5 5 38 Maggie Lob '26 [1-7]
Anna Koveleskie '25 [8]
Ellena Mcguire '25 [1-7]
Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff Maroon 3 4 6 7 7 7 3 3 40 Amariz Rand '27 [1-8]
Yasmeen Djilali '27 [1-2, 7-8]
Hanna Koesters '23 [3-4]
Breanna Kreft '27 [5-6]
London High School London High School Pirates 5 7 7 4 6 4 6 6 45 Tabitha Cervantez '27 [1-8]
Kaylee Coleman '26 [1-2]
Laila Casas '27 [3-4]
Sophia Dickey '27 [5-6]
Alisan Pilehvari '27 [7-8]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 6 6 6 5 6 5 6 7 7 48 Julie Mavor '26
Bryanna Foster '25
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 3 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 72 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Flour Bluff High SchoolFlour Bluff High School Flour Bluff Maroon11111111
London High SchoolLondon High School Pirates22222222
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 133333333
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 244444444
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 355555555
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 466666666
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 577777777
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 688888888
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff Maroon Amariz Rand '27 [1-8] Yasmeen Djilali '27 [1-2, 7-8]
Hanna Koesters '23 [3-4]
Breanna Kreft '27 [5-6]
London High School London High School Pirates Tabitha Cervantez '27 [1-8] Kaylee Coleman '26 [1-2]
Laila Casas '27 [3-4]
Sophia Dickey '27 [5-6]
Alisan Pilehvari '27 [7-8]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 Evie Barras '24 Madelyn Oster '24
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 Julia Poche '24 [1-8] Lauren Galligan '25 [1-2, 7-8]
Ceceilia Zinsel '25 [3-6]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 3 No Show No Show
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 4 Maggie Lob '26 [1-7]
Anna Koveleskie '25 [8]		 Ellena Mcguire '25 [1-7]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 5 Estella Holland '26 [1-8] Emma Pscenicka '26 [1-5]
Ella Ory '26 [6-8]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 6 Julie Mavor '26 Bryanna Foster '25

Conditions — 03/09/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1019.5 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.8 kn
avg  ·  max 16.3 kn
Gusts to 26.2 kn
From N (354°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1019.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Corpus Christi Yacht Club: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.23)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.19 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.42
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+1.11 ± 0.35)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.23 means a rating gap counts about 20% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Corpus Christi Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Corpus Christi Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →