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VISA Maury Fleet Race

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 42
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 83
3 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 126
4 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 129
5 Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 190
6 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 204
7 York High School York High School Falcons 213
8 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 223
9 The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 240
10 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 293
11 Heritage High School - VA Heritage High School - VA Heritage - VA 315
12 Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 365
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 A 2 3 2 1 1 1 2 2 14 Parker Moore '25
Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses A 1 1 1 2 2 2 6 1 16 Bo Angus '25 [1-8]
Bennett Moss '26 [1-5]
Pierson Teer '27 [6-8]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 B 6 2 3 4 4 5 1 3 28 Pierce Brindley '24 [1-8]
Josie Brindley '26 [1-7]
Leila Pfrang '25 [8]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 A 4 4 4 3 3 4 8 5 35 Charlie Moore '27
Sarah Moore '29
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 A 3 8 15 10 9 3 4 8 60 Tucker Mcgrady '26
Lenox Wakefield '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses B 7 12 14 7 5 6 7 9 67 Jackson Mcgrady '26 [1-8]
Simone Moss '25 [1-5]
Millicent Branflick '26 [6-8]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 B 9 11 7 12 8 12 3 7 69 Emily Priest '25 [1-8]
Annika Fox '27 [1-6]
Caspian Collett '25 [7-8]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders A 18 6 10 6 6 8 5 12 71 Cam Brewer '24 [1-8]
Riddick Walton '26 [1-2]
Jackson Raymond '27 [3-8]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors A RAF 5 6 13 7 13 12 4 85 Chloe Anderson '24 [1-8]
Pierson Teer '27 [1]
Caleb Kyle '25 [2-8]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers A 16 16 5 5 13 11 10 13 89 Felix Susta '27
Nathan Shaw '27
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 B 11 7 9 11 15 16 16 6 91 Ryan Stokes '28
Alessandra Henesey '27
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons A 5 9 13 9 19 14 13 17 99 Nicholas Davis '24
Nathan Libby '26
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers B 13 10 11 14 10 21 9 RDG 101 Sophia Lopez '30 [1-7]
Raquel Theriault '26 [8]
Raquel Theriault '26 [1-7]
Sophia Lopez '30 [8]
York High School York High School Falcons B 8 17 16 18 11 9 RDG 10 102 Grayson Kelly '27
Dylan Thomas '28
York High School York High School Falcons A 14 18 8 8 14 20 18 11 111 Liam Burke '27
Tyler Compton '29
Heritage High School - VA Heritage High School - VA Heritage - VA A 12 13 12 DNF 17 7 11 18 115 Angelo Bellecci '25
Mikenna Dunlap '24
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors B 10 15 18 15 12 15 20 14 119 Kieran Mason '26
Tyler Slemp '25
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 A 15 14 17 19 20 18 15 15 133 Gabby Cloe '24 [1-8]
Colin Moorhouse '27 [1-6]
Rylie Bowen '27 [7-8]
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons B 17 20 21 16 18 19 14 16 141 Justina Reynolds '24
Thomas Bloys '24
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders B 21 21 20 20 22 10 19 19 152 Cate Rutter '24 [1-2]
Brett Clemmey '27 [3-8]
Brett Clemmey '27 [1-2]
Cate Rutter '24 [3-8]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 B 20 22 22 21 21 17 17 20 160 Lillian Rippel '25 [1-8]
Rylie Bowen '27 [1-4]
Anna Lenox '28 [5-8]
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons A 19 19 19 17 16 DNS DNS DNS 165 Olivia Jensen '27
Megan Allman '24
Heritage High School - VA Heritage High School - VA Heritage - VA B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 200 No Show
No Show
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 200 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses11111111
Frank W. Cox High SchoolFrank W. Cox High School Falcons22222222
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers33333333
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 144444444
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 255555555
Heritage High School - VAHeritage High School - VA Heritage - VA1010101010101010
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors66666666
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 177777777
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 288888888
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders99999999
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons1111111111111111
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons1212121212121212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses1919191919191919
Frank W. Cox High SchoolFrank W. Cox High School Falcons2020202020202020
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers2121212121212121
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 12222222222222222
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 22323232323232323
Heritage High School - VAHeritage High School - VA Heritage - VA3434343434343434
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors2424242424242424
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 13131313131313131
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 23232323232323232
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders3333333333333333
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons3535353535353535
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons3636363636363636
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Bo Angus '25 [1-8] Bennett Moss '26 [1-5]
Pierson Teer '27 [6-8]
Seahorses Jackson Mcgrady '26 [1-8] Simone Moss '25 [1-5]
Millicent Branflick '26 [6-8]
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Olivia Jensen '27 Megan Allman '24
Falcons No Show No Show
Grafton High School Grafton High School Felix Susta '27 Nathan Shaw '27
Clippers Sophia Lopez '30 [1-7]
Raquel Theriault '26 [8]		 Raquel Theriault '26 [1-7]
Sophia Lopez '30 [8]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Parker Moore '25 Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Navigators 1 Pierce Brindley '24 [1-8] Josie Brindley '26 [1-7]
Leila Pfrang '25 [8]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Charlie Moore '27 Sarah Moore '29
Navigators 2 Ryan Stokes '28 Alessandra Henesey '27
Heritage High School - VA Heritage High School - VA Angelo Bellecci '25 Mikenna Dunlap '24
Heritage - VA No Show No Show
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Chloe Anderson '24 [1-8] Pierson Teer '27 [1]
Caleb Kyle '25 [2-8]
Warriors Kieran Mason '26 Tyler Slemp '25
Maury High School Maury High School Tucker Mcgrady '26 Lenox Wakefield '27
Commodores 1 Emily Priest '25 [1-8] Annika Fox '27 [1-6]
Caspian Collett '25 [7-8]
Maury High School Maury High School Gabby Cloe '24 [1-8] Colin Moorhouse '27 [1-6]
Rylie Bowen '27 [7-8]
Commodores 2 Lillian Rippel '25 [1-8] Rylie Bowen '27 [1-4]
Anna Lenox '28 [5-8]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Cam Brewer '24 [1-8] Riddick Walton '26 [1-2]
Jackson Raymond '27 [3-8]
Islanders Cate Rutter '24 [1-2]
Brett Clemmey '27 [3-8]		 Brett Clemmey '27 [1-2]
Cate Rutter '24 [3-8]
The Hague School The Hague School Nicholas Davis '24 Nathan Libby '26
Tritons Justina Reynolds '24 Thomas Bloys '24
York High School York High School Liam Burke '27 Tyler Compton '29
Falcons Grayson Kelly '27 Dylan Thomas '28

Conditions — 03/09/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 89%  ·  Pressure 1011.8 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.9 kn
avg  ·  max 17.0 kn
Gusts to 28.6 kn
From SE (141°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity89% Pressure1011.8 hPa Rain0.42 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Maury: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.34 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Maury by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Maury, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →