MDISA BCSC April T2 Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 16 18 34
2 Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 29 24 53
3 Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Quakers 24 36 60
4 Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 29 34 63
5 Templeton Academy Templeton Academy Templeton Academy 25 45 70
6 Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 42 MRP 32 MRP 74 MRP
7 Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 55 23 78
8 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 58 37 95
9 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 48 48 96
10 Loyola Blakefield Loyola Blakefield Dons 38 63 101
11 Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 53 56 109
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 3 3 1 5 2 2 16 Caroline (Cc) Carey '28
Eliza Brenia '28
Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Quakers 6 6 6 4 1 1 24 Carter Robbins '25
Anna Makovich '26
Templeton Academy Templeton Academy Templeton Academy 4 2 3 3 7 6 25 Cormac Knight '26
Arabella Laws-Dunn '28
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 2 4 4 6 6 7 29 Amelia Wire '27 [1-6]
Shane Churilla '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sara Corbett '25 [3-4]
Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 7 7 5 1 5 4 29 Mercer Rensberger '28
Karina Schmoyer '29
Loyola Blakefield Loyola Blakefield Dons 5 5 8 7 8 5 38 Sebastian Haber '27
Eli Eib '26
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 1 1 2 DSQ 3 3 42 MRP Gil Glister '28
Seth Spiegel '30
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 10 8 9 9 4 8 48 Brandon Hall '28
Lucille Leigh '28
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 8 10 7 8 11 9 53 Callie Flesch '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Eton Smith '27 [3-4]
Ben Rashkin '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Eve Cintron '26 [3-4]
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 11 11 11 2 9 11 55 Ryan Michael '26
Liam Rivers '25
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 9 9 10 10 10 10 58 Layken Therres '29
Colt Touchton '30
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 2 2 1 3 3 7 18 Will Tweed '28
Parker Lefever-Farino '28
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 3 9 4 2 1 4 23 Jonah Milstone '25
Aarav Trivedi '28
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 4 5 3 8 2 2 24 James Stahl '27
Owen Garland '27
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School Eagles 1 3 2 1 4 1 32 MRP Ethan Purdon '29
Charlotte Lian '29
Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 5 1 11 5 6 6 34 Eliana Arteaga '29
Kailash Hsu '30
Friends School of Baltimore Friends School of Baltimore Quakers 7 4 5 6 5 9 36 Ruby Turner '26
Will Carnell '27
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 8 6 7 4 7 5 37 Annabelle Yurko '29
Owen Myers '29
Templeton Academy Templeton Academy Templeton Academy 6 8 9 9 10 3 45 Olivia Cozette '25 [1-2]
Min Chi Chao '27 [3-6]
Min Chi Chao '27 [1-2]
Georgia Neaderland '26 [3-4]
Olivia Cozette '25 [5-6]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 9 7 6 10 8 8 48 Ryan Stebbins '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Carson Zinkgraf '28 [3-4]
Caleb Carrasco '28 [1-4]
Logan Lahtinen '28 [5-6]
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Bethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron 10 10 8 7 11 10 56 Chloe Cummings '25 [1-6]
Clara Osario '25 [1-4]
Eton Smith '27 [5-6]
Loyola Blakefield Loyola Blakefield Dons 11 11 10 11 9 11 63 Norah Surcel-Debes '28
Connor Swift '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HSBethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron113355
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins224477
Friends School of BaltimoreFriends School of Baltimore Quakers335588
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds447799
Indian Creek SchoolIndian Creek School Eagles55881010
Loyola BlakefieldLoyola Blakefield Dons77991111
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers8810101212
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals99111111
Templeton AcademyTempleton Academy Templeton Academy1010121222
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings11111133
Washington LatinWashington Latin Lions12122244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bethesda Chevy-Chase HSBethesda Chevy-Chase HS Battlin' Baron224477
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins335588
Friends School of BaltimoreFriends School of Baltimore Quakers447799
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds55881010
Indian Creek SchoolIndian Creek School Eagles77991111
Loyola BlakefieldLoyola Blakefield Dons8810101212
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers99111111
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1010121222
Templeton AcademyTempleton Academy Templeton Academy11111133
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings12122244
Washington LatinWashington Latin Lions113355

Conditions — 04/26/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1010.4 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.8 kn
avg  ·  max 12.3 kn
Gusts to 25.9 kn
From WSW (255°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover74% Sunshine4.5 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1010.4 hPa Rain0.42 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Baltimore County Sailing Center: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.13 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Baltimore County Sailing Center by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Baltimore County Sailing Center, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →