MDISA BCSC Tier 2 May Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Gunston Gunston Herons 21 9 30
2 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 13 40 53
3 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 37 16 53
4 Key School Key School Zags 29 MRP 28 MRP 57 MRP
5 Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 36 26 62
6 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 28 35 63
7 Loyola Blakefield Loyola Blakefield Dons 45 26 71
8 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 41 38 79
9 The Tome School The Tome School Titans 30 50 80
10 Towson High School Towson High School Generals 53 37 90
11 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 36 55 91
12 Park School Park School Bruins 53 51 104
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 2 3 2 3 3 13 Cole Ramsey '28
Teagan Leigh '28
Gunston Gunston Herons DNS 1 3 2 2 21 Lizzy Chiochetti '27
Izzy Labrador '28
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 5 4 6 7 6 28 Jared Werner '25
Devin De La Paz '25
Key School Key School Zags 4 2 1 1 1 29 MRP Ethan Purdon '29
Charlotte Lian '29
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 6 6 5 9 4 30 John Arty '29 [1-5]
Hunter Miller '26 [1-2]
Gideon Garber '28 [3-5]
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 3 RDG 9 10 7 36 Sophia Sollock '30
Connor Swift '29
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 10 5 7 4 10 36 Soren Lange '28 [1-2]
Will Nelson '26 [3-5]
Liam Lange '28 [1-2]
Zak Kozlowski '29 [3-5]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 8 8 8 5 8 37 Tomas ... '26
Rory Campbell '27
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 9 9 10 8 5 41 Austin Brelage '30
Sterling Muchnick '29
Loyola Blakefield Loyola Blakefield Dons DNS DNS 4 6 9 45 George Shaeffer '26
Cameron Baummer '27
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 1 DNS DSQ DSQ DSQ 53 Carter Robbins '25 [1-5]
Anna Makovich '26 [1-2]
Emma Borden '25 [3-5]
Park School Park School Bruins 7 7 DSQ DSQ DSQ 53 Sophia Hammond '26 [1-5]
Emma Borden '25 [1-2]
Anna Makovich '26 [3-5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Gunston Gunston Herons 2 1 3 2 1 9 Joseph Mcgeady '27 [1-5]
Nina Johnston '25 [1-2]
Logan Kille '25 [3-5]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 3 4 1 5 3 16 Maram Rihane '28 [1-5]
John ... '26 [1-2]
Zen Corby '26 [3-5]
Loyola Blakefield Loyola Blakefield Dons 4 5 5 8 4 26 Mason Coates '27
Aarav Trivedi '28
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 7 3 7 3 6 26 Marcus Kozlowski '26 [1-5]
Liam Lange '28 [1-2]
Zak Kozlowski '29 [3-5]
Key School Key School Zags 1 2 2 1 2 28 MRP Stuart Wermer '28
Seth Spiegel '30
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 5 8 8 9 5 35 Nicholas Hutchison '27
Makayla Hansen '26
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 6 10 6 4 11 37 Ruby Turner '26
Will Carnell '27
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 8 6 10 7 7 38 Gabriel Roberts '27
Kaden Cotugno '27
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers DNS 9 4 6 8 40 Samuel Wells '27
Grayson Colvin '27
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 11 11 9 10 9 50 Ellie Neikrash '29 [1-5]
Charles Partridge '28 [1-2]
John Mcmonigle '28 [3-5]
Park School Park School Bruins 9 7 11 12 12 51 Eloise Graf '26
Ezra Ebert '26
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 10 12 12 11 10 55 Andrea Balasa '28
Mia Richardson '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals11335
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets22446
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers44669
Key SchoolKey School Zags557710
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders669911
Loyola BlakefieldLoyola Blakefield Dons77101012
Park SchoolPark School Bruins99111113
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks101012121
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints111113132
GunstonGunston Herons33557
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans1212113
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals1313224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals22446
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets33557
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers557710
Key SchoolKey School Zags669911
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders77101012
Loyola BlakefieldLoyola Blakefield Dons99111113
Park SchoolPark School Bruins101012121
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks111113132
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints1212113
GunstonGunston Herons44669
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans1313224
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals11335
School / Team SkipperCrew
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Soren Lange '28 [1-2]
Will Nelson '26 [3-5]
Liam Lange '28 [1-2]
Zak Kozlowski '29 [3-5]
Cardinals Marcus Kozlowski '26 [1-5] Liam Lange '28 [1-2]
Zak Kozlowski '29 [3-5]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Austin Brelage '30 Sterling Muchnick '29
Hornets Gabriel Roberts '27 Kaden Cotugno '27
Gunston Gunston Lizzy Chiochetti '27 Izzy Labrador '28
Herons Joseph Mcgeady '27 [1-5] Nina Johnston '25 [1-2]
Logan Kille '25 [3-5]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Cole Ramsey '28 Teagan Leigh '28
Buccaneers Samuel Wells '27 Grayson Colvin '27
Key School Key School Ethan Purdon '29 Charlotte Lian '29
Zags Stuart Wermer '28 Seth Spiegel '30
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Jared Werner '25 Devin De La Paz '25
Raiders Nicholas Hutchison '27 Makayla Hansen '26
Loyola Blakefield Loyola Blakefield George Shaeffer '26 Cameron Baummer '27
Dons Mason Coates '27 Aarav Trivedi '28
Park School Park School Sophia Hammond '26 [1-5] Emma Borden '25 [1-2]
Anna Makovich '26 [3-5]
Bruins Eloise Graf '26 Ezra Ebert '26
South River High School South River High School Tomas ... '26 Rory Campbell '27
Seahawks Maram Rihane '28 [1-5] John ... '26 [1-2]
Zen Corby '26 [3-5]
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Sophia Sollock '30 Connor Swift '29
Saints Andrea Balasa '28 Mia Richardson '29
The Tome School The Tome School John Arty '29 [1-5] Hunter Miller '26 [1-2]
Gideon Garber '28 [3-5]
Titans Ellie Neikrash '29 [1-5] Charles Partridge '28 [1-2]
John Mcmonigle '28 [3-5]
Towson High School Towson High School Carter Robbins '25 [1-5] Anna Makovich '26 [1-2]
Emma Borden '25 [3-5]
Generals Ruby Turner '26 Will Carnell '27

Conditions — 05/10/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 42%  ·  Pressure 1018.9 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.2 kn
avg  ·  max 10.0 kn
Gusts to 22.7 kn
From WNW (298°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity42% Pressure1018.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Baltimore County Sailing Center: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.42 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Baltimore County Sailing Center by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Baltimore County Sailing Center, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →