Aspen Merrill

Rating History

Crew Rating

Career: 92.53 percentile of ICSA crews

Includes linked high school and college seasons.

1.001.251.501.752.002.252.502.75W. Embick (7 races): +0.45W. EmbickN. Konyk (2 races): +0.01N. KonykFall 2022: rating 2.03Fall 2022Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolW. Embick (4 races): -0.43W. EmbickH. Welch (5 races): +0.09H. WelchC. Harrison (4 races): +0.07Spring 2023: rating 1.64Spring 2023Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolB. Hu (10 races): +0.37B. HuW. Embick (6 races): -0.07W. EmbickG. Davis (7 races): +0.02Spring 2024: rating 2.25Spring 2024Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolW. Embick (5 races): +0.30W. EmbickG. Davis (11 races): +0.21G. DavisFall 2024: rating 1.73Fall 2024Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolW. Embick (10 races): +0.21W. EmbickS. Vasko (9 races): +0.21S. VaskoG. Davis (2 races): -0.12Spring 2025: rating 1.92Spring 2025Bellarmine Preparatory School
▲ boats did better with this crew than with the skipper's usual crews▼ worseArrow length = size of the push, in rating points
Season Team Rating Range League
percentile
Team
percentile
On team Races Team page
Spring 2025 Bellarmine Preparatory School 1.92 Rating 1.92; 90% range -0.8 to 4.7; team skipper average 0.41 61.51 95.00 1 of 10 23 Team page
Fall 2024 Bellarmine Preparatory School 1.73 Rating 1.73; 90% range -0.6 to 4.0; team skipper average 0.77 58.98 83.33 1 of 3 16 Team page
Spring 2024 Bellarmine Preparatory School 2.25 Rating 2.25; 90% range -0.3 to 4.8; team skipper average 0.70 67.80 90.00 1 of 5 13 Team page
Spring 2023 Bellarmine Preparatory School 1.64 Rating 1.64; 90% range -1.0 to 4.3; team skipper average 0.50 52.61 91.67 1 of 6 10 Team page
Fall 2022 Bellarmine Preparatory School 2.03 Rating 2.03; 90% range -0.5 to 4.5; team skipper average 0.66 61.14 87.50 1 of 4 9 Team page

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
0.10 (fleet 0.17) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) −0.00 ± 0.18
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 1–1 (50%)
as crew 12–17 (41%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 20251—1–4
Spring 20241—3–1
Spring 20231—8–6
Spring 202211–10–6

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 4 graded regattas (29 matches) the record is 12–17 against 16.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−4.9). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 3 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 7 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2025-04-26NWISA Team Race Championshipscrew0.94-0.671–42.2−1.611.096%
2024-04-20Open Team Race Qualifiercrew1.580.883–13.3−0.700.187%
2023-05-20NWISA Open Team Race Champscrew0.770.718–68.2−0.060.065%
2022-04-30Silver Division Team Racing Championshipcrew0.34-2.670–63.2≤−3.005.8>99%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2022 Team page Season
Silver Division Team Racing Championship Crew TR 11 27% —
NWISA Combined Division Gold Crew A 2 27.5 —
Islands Cup-Silver Crew B 9 3.1 —

Linked Profiles

League Name School Year
ICSA Aspen Merrill Oregon State UniversityOregon State University '29
ISSA Aspen Merrill Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School '25
ISSA Aspen Merrill Unregistered-NWISAUnregistered-NWISA '25
ISSA Aspen Merrill Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy '25

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →

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