Darien High School '25
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 27.24 percentile among ISSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.115 rating points from 15 races with rated skippers. Few races, so the estimate stays near the middle.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | Darien High School | 1.90 | 84.26 | 83.33 | 1 of 3 | 15 | Team page |
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keelboat | 1.01 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 1 | Spring 2025 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.47 (fleet 2.44) | 101 of 231 | −0.04 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 15–23 (39%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 2 | 3–11 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 2 | 5–5 | — |
| Spring 2023 | 1 | 7–7 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 5 graded regattas (38 matches) the record is 15–23 against 16.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.3). 2 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 3 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 15 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | skipper | 1.95 | -1.74 | 1–8 | 5.5 | −3.68 | 8.0 | >99% |
| 2025-04-30 | FCSL 2025 Gold Cup | skipper | 1.75 | 3.98 | 2–3 | 0.6 | +2.23 | 2.0 | 10% |
| 2024-05-01 | FCSL Gold Cup | skipper | 1.86 | -0.62 | 1–4 | 2.6 | −2.48 | 2.2 | 99% |
| 2024-04-30 | FCSL Silver Cup | skipper | 1.84 | 1.50 | 4–1 | 4.1 | −0.34 | 0.0 | 88% |
| 2023-05-06 | NESSA Team Racing Tournament(Terk Trophy) | skipper | 1.42 | 2.95 | 7–7 | 3.5 | +1.53 | 3.1 | 3% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | Skipper | TR | 9 | 11% | — |
| NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Groton, CT | Skipper | A | 7 | 4.0 | 3.31 |
| FCSL 2025 Gold Cup | Skipper | TR | 5 | 40% | — |
| CT States | Skipper | A | 7 | 7.3 | 1.15 |
| 2025 FCSL Match Racing Championship Keelboat | Skipper | A | 1 | 2.0 | — |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Groton, CT | Skipper | A | 4 | 3.8 | 2.47 |
| FCSL Silver Cup | Skipper | TR | 5 | 80% | — |
| FCSL Gold Cup | Skipper | TR | 5 | 20% | — |
| 2024 Phebe Corckran King Memorial Trophy | Skipper | A | 17 | 9.6 | 0.28 |
| 2024 NESSA Fleet Racing Championship (O'Day) | Skipper | B | 4 | 10.0 | 0.29 |
| 2024 CT State Championships | Skipper | B | 8 | 6.0 | 0.66 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Roy Williams Invitational Regatta | Skipper | A | 4 | 8.5 | -0.14 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| O'Day Qualifier - Lakevile, CT | Crew | A | 8 | 6.8 | -0.24 |
| NESSA Fleet Racing Championship (O'Day Trophy) | Crew | B | 2 | 10.0 | +0.12 |
| NESSA Team Racing Tournament(Terk Trophy) | Skipper | TR | 14 | 50% | — |
| CT State Invitational - 2023 | Crew | B | 5 | 4.2 | -0.29 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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