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O'Day Qualifier - Lakevile, CT

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Bearcats 14 18 32
2 Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Varsity 21 19 40
3 Darien High School Darien High School Varsity 54 25 79
4 Staples High School Staples High School Varsity 46 44 90
5 Salisbury School Salisbury School Knights 45 51 96
6 Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 48 52 100
7 Greenwich Country Day School Greenwich Country Day School Tigers 50 52 102
8 Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars 60 56 116
9 St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Varsity 51 78 129
10 BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 61 68 129
11 Nantucket High School Nantucket High School Nantucket Whalers 78 69 147
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Bearcats 1 1 1 1 3 1 4 2 14 Samara Walshe '25 [1-6]
Fynn Olsen '25 [7-8]
Lucy Jervis '23 [1-6]
Kate Moran '23 [7-8]
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Varsity 4 3 3 3 1 2 2 3 21 Helena Borcherding '26 [1-8]
Katheryn Mcgranahan '25 [1-6]
Lillie Foster '25 [7-8]
Salisbury School Salisbury School Knights 6 5 5 5 10 5 3 6 45 Oliver Puris '24
Henry Brislin '26
Staples High School Staples High School Varsity 10 2 7 10 6 9 1 1 46 Alan Becker '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Tucker Peters '24 [3-4]
Caitlyn Schwartz '24 [1-2, 5-8]
Claire Harris '26 [3-4]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 3 10 2 2 5 11 7 8 48 Anabelle Woodworth '24
Kate Lavallee '25
Greenwich Country Day School Greenwich Country Day School Tigers 9 6 8 7 2 3 6 9 50 Tucker Rose '24
Caroline Leicht '23
St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Varsity 2 9 4 9 7 6 10 4 51 Jack Morgan '26
Jeremiah Mccarthy '26
Darien High School Darien High School Varsity 5 7 6 8 4 8 9 7 54 Conrad Straden '24
Maxwell Connor '25
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars 8 8 9 6 9 4 5 11 60 Kip Pearce '24
Holden Buchbinder '26
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 7 4 11 11 8 7 8 5 61 Max Boni '23
Paul Jeon '25
Nantucket High School Nantucket High School Nantucket Whalers 11 11 10 4 11 10 11 10 78 Rory Murray '25
Alice O'Banion '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Bearcats 4 1 1 1 3 6 1 1 18 Pierce Olsen '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Caleb Kinnear '25 [5-6]
Phoebe Hackett '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Varsity 2 2 3 3 1 1 5 2 19 Callie Hammond '25 [1-8]
Kit Harned '23 [1-6]
Grayson Stengel '23 [7-8]
Darien High School Darien High School Varsity 5 3 2 2 6 2 2 3 25 David Brown '24
Ryan Hoffman '24
Staples High School Staples High School Varsity 1 4 4 8 7 7 7 6 44 Witt Lindau '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Bennett Lindau '25 [3-4]
Camryn Harris '24 [1-2, 5-8]
Dania Hemdan '24 [3-4]
Salisbury School Salisbury School Knights 7 5 7 10 5 4 4 9 51 Harry Hubbard '25
Gavin Leavy '26
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 3 8 8 9 2 11 6 5 52 Bradley Kirkpatrick '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Cameron Cooleen '26 [3-4]
Anthony Demartino '24 [1-2]
Isabella Brenner '24 [3-8]
Greenwich Country Day School Greenwich Country Day School Tigers 6 10 5 6 9 5 3 8 52 Owen Chickering '25
Charlie Clark '25
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars DNF 9 10 5 4 3 9 4 56 Julia Brighton '23
Cecilia Priest '24
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 10 6 9 7 10 9 10 7 68 Alexandra Adams '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Declan Walsh '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Kate Adams '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Diba Demir '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Nantucket High School Nantucket High School Nantucket Whalers 8 7 6 4 DSQ 8 DNS DNS 69 Sadie Paterson '26
Clementine Kelly '26
St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Varsity 9 11 11 11 8 10 8 10 78 Edward Goodrich '26 [1-4]
Leo Giard '25 [5-8]
Robert Yim '25 [1-4]
Finn Debiase '26 [5-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights779911111313
Choate Rosemary HallChoate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars88101012121414
Darien High SchoolDarien High School Varsity99111113131515
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons1010121214141616
Greenwich AcademyGreenwich Academy Varsity1111131315151717
Greenwich Country Day SchoolGreenwich Country Day School Tigers12121414161677
Nantucket High SchoolNantucket High School Nantucket Whalers13131515171788
Salisbury SchoolSalisbury School Knights141416167799
St. Johns PrepSt. Johns Prep Varsity15151717881010
Staples High SchoolStaples High School Varsity161677991111
The Hotchkiss SchoolThe Hotchkiss School Bearcats17178810101212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights88101012121414
Choate Rosemary HallChoate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars99111113131515
Darien High SchoolDarien High School Varsity1010121214141616
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons1111131315151717
Greenwich AcademyGreenwich Academy Varsity12121414161677
Greenwich Country Day SchoolGreenwich Country Day School Tigers13131515171788
Nantucket High SchoolNantucket High School Nantucket Whalers141416167799
Salisbury SchoolSalisbury School Knights15151717881010
St. Johns PrepSt. Johns Prep Varsity161677991111
Staples High SchoolStaples High School Varsity17178810101212
The Hotchkiss SchoolThe Hotchkiss School Bearcats779911111313
School / Team SkipperCrew
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Max Boni '23 Paul Jeon '25
Knights Alexandra Adams '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Declan Walsh '26 [3-4, 7-8]		 Kate Adams '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Diba Demir '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Kip Pearce '24 Holden Buchbinder '26
Wild Boars Julia Brighton '23 Cecilia Priest '24
Darien High School Darien High School Conrad Straden '24 Maxwell Connor '25
Varsity David Brown '24 Ryan Hoffman '24
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Anabelle Woodworth '24 Kate Lavallee '25
Falcons Bradley Kirkpatrick '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Cameron Cooleen '26 [3-4]		 Anthony Demartino '24 [1-2]
Isabella Brenner '24 [3-8]
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Helena Borcherding '26 [1-8] Katheryn Mcgranahan '25 [1-6]
Lillie Foster '25 [7-8]
Varsity Callie Hammond '25 [1-8] Kit Harned '23 [1-6]
Grayson Stengel '23 [7-8]
Greenwich Country Day School Greenwich Country Day School Tucker Rose '24 Caroline Leicht '23
Tigers Owen Chickering '25 Charlie Clark '25
Nantucket High School Nantucket High School Rory Murray '25 Alice O'Banion '24
Nantucket Whalers Sadie Paterson '26 Clementine Kelly '26
Salisbury School Salisbury School Oliver Puris '24 Henry Brislin '26
Knights Harry Hubbard '25 Gavin Leavy '26
St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Jack Morgan '26 Jeremiah Mccarthy '26
Varsity Edward Goodrich '26 [1-4]
Leo Giard '25 [5-8]		 Robert Yim '25 [1-4]
Finn Debiase '26 [5-8]
Staples High School Staples High School Alan Becker '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Tucker Peters '24 [3-4]		 Caitlyn Schwartz '24 [1-2, 5-8]
Claire Harris '26 [3-4]
Varsity Witt Lindau '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Bennett Lindau '25 [3-4]		 Camryn Harris '24 [1-2, 5-8]
Dania Hemdan '24 [3-4]
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Samara Walshe '25 [1-6]
Fynn Olsen '25 [7-8]		 Lucy Jervis '23 [1-6]
Kate Moran '23 [7-8]
Bearcats Pierce Olsen '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Caleb Kinnear '25 [5-6]		 Phoebe Hackett '24 [1-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 05/13/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 38%  ·  Pressure 1016.6 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.7 kn
avg  ·  max 10.0 kn
Gusts to 24.7 kn
From NW (324°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity38% Pressure1016.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at The Hotchkiss: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at The Hotchkiss by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at The Hotchkiss, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →