Yorktown High School '18
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.46 (fleet 2.36) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 6–4 (60%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 | 1 | 6–4 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (10 matches) the record is 6–4 against 5.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.1). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-18 | DC Sail TR | skipper | 1.12 | 1.17 | 6–4 | 5.9 | +0.05 | 0.0 | 63% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| SSPP Fleet Race | Skipper | B | 6 | 8.3 | 0.66 |
| Phebe Corckran King Memorial Trophy | Skipper | B | 13 | 11.0 | — |
| MDISA Fleet Race | Skipper | B | 8 | 9.5 | — |
| MASSA Spring Silver Fleet Championship | Skipper | B | 16 | 6.2 | 1.24 |
| DC Sail Varsity FR | Skipper | B | 4 | 3.2 | 1.83 |
| DC Sail TR | Skipper | TR | 7 | 71% | — |
| BCSC High School Varsity #1 Spring 2018 | Skipper | B | 7 | 8.0 | — |
| AYC Varsity Fleet Race | Skipper | B | 9 | 8.4 | -1.25 |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| MDISA Varsity Fleet Championship | Skipper | A | 10 | 12.0 | -0.85 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Megan Gimple |  University of Rhode Island |
'22 |
| ISSA | Megan Gimple |  Stonington High School |
'18 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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