Invite #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 13 16 29
2 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 20 13 33
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 20 22 42
4 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 25 19 44
5 Providence College Providence College Friars 21 24 45
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 39 34 73
7 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 44 43 87
8 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 38 55 93
9 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 59 46 105
10 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 51 66 117
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 1 3 2 2 1 13 Henry Blanchette '13
Stephen Janick '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 4 2 5 3 5 20 Matthew Schon '11
Nicole Ioannilli '13
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 6 1 4 4 3 20 Jessica Claflin '13
Brandon Kaufmann '12
Providence College Providence College Friars 3 5 5 1 5 2 21 Kevin Cassidy '11
Alex Cachecho '12
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 5 2 4 7 1 6 25 Christopher Simeone '10
Eleanor Leonard '13
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 8 7 9 3 7 4 38 Anna Morton '13
Ann Stallings '12
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 7 3 6 6 8 9 39 Daniel Kohanna '12
Becker Awqatty '14
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 6 8 8 8 6 8 44 Myles Potters '12
Yi Hui Lin '13
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 10 9 7 9 9 7 51 Marine Jaspers '11
Evan Henry '14
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 9 10 10 10 10 10 59 Steven Apperle '12
Gregory Henkelman '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 1 4 3 1 2 13 Eric Decesar '11
Hayley Blundell '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 2 3 1 4 1 16 Renã©E Gagnã© '12
Midori Tanaka '12
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 3 3 1 4 3 5 19 John Giuliano '11
Peter Giuliano '10
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 6 5 2 5 3 22 Arthur Warren '12
Christopher Gill '12
Providence College Providence College Friars 4 4 2 5 2 7 24 Scott Brokaw '10
Michael Maggio '12
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 5 7 6 6 4 34 David Markham '12
Angela Lukstein '11
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 8 7 8 7 7 6 43 Noah Citron '12
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 7 8 6 8 8 9 46 Sam Bainbridge '13
Mary Herman '13
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue DNS 9 9 9 9 8 55 Mark Maclay '12 [1-2]
Emilie Futterman '12 [3-6]
Emilie Futterman '12 [1-2]
Mark Maclay '12 [3-6]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 66 Marine Jaspers '11
Evan Henry '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2222242422
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies11441919
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats202022222424
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds22552020
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies4419192121
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars191921212323
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks2121232311
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos5520202222
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue23231144
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals24242255

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears23231144
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies22552020
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats2121232311
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds4419192121
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies5520202222
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars202022222424
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks2222242422
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos191921212323
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue24242255
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals11441919

Conditions — 11/01/2009 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1018.7 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 13.8 kn
From NNW (334°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine1.3 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1018.7 hPa Rain0.07 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Providence: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.17)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.30
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.37 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.17 means a rating gap counts about 15% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Providence by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Providence, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →