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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 37 20 57
2 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 29 33 62
3 Yale University Yale University Elis 36 50 86
4 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 59 40 99
5 Brown University Brown University Bears 61 47 108
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 47 65 112
7 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 37 81 118
8 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 43 77 120
9 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 96 50 146
10 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 97 65 162
11 Boston University Boston University Terriers 92 78 170
12 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 106 65 171
13 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 82 101 183
14 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 70 117 187
15 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 91 97 188
16 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 109 95 204
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 3 8 2 1 6 4 2 3 29 Maggie Shea '11
Kelly Arabia '10
Yale University Yale University Elis 7 1 6 2 1 1 13 5 36 Sarah Lihan '10
Elizabeth Brim '11
Boston College Boston College Eagles 4 3 7 7 3 5 6 2 37 Emily Maxwell '11
Elizabeth Dudley '11
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 5 2 3 6 5 8 4 4 37 Amy Hawkins '12
Missy Hudspeth '10
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 6 6 4 4 2 9 3 9 43 Rebecca Dellenbaugh '10 [1-8]
Rachel Moncton '12 [1-2, 7-8]
Madilyn Gamble '13 [3-6]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 12 4 5 3 9 3 10 1 47 Catherine Swanson '11 [1-8]
Margaret Rew '11 [1-6]
Reeves Bright '12 [7-8]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 8 12 8 14 4 2 5 6 59 Elizabeth Powers '10
Marie Appel '12
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 14 1 13 7 7 11 7 61 Emily Dellenbaugh '12
Elizabeth Barry '11
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 5 11 9 15 12 1 15 70 Jennifer Proctor '11
Margaret Woodbridge '10
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 10 10 9 8 DSQ 6 12 10 82 Haley Powell '13
Bianca Rom '13
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 11 11 13 11 12 10 7 16 91 Charlotte Williamson '15
Phoebe Sprague '11
Boston University Boston University Terriers 13 7 14 5 8 DNF 14 14 92 Caroline Wilhelm '11 [1-8]
Elizabeth Santovasi '11 [1-2, 5-8]
Sarah Manning '16 [3-4]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 9 13 12 10 10 13 16 13 96 Corey Hall '12
Caroline Warren '12
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 14 9 DNF 12 11 14 8 12 97 Jamie Curran '11
Rachel Licht '10
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 15 15 10 15 14 11 15 11 106 Kimberly Kaull '13 [1-8]
Ellie O'Brien '12 [1-2, 7-8]
Emily Augello '12 [3-6]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal DNF 16 15 16 13 15 9 8 109 Hannah Burroughs '11
Margaret Hayden '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 1 1 3 2 5 1 4 20 Anne Haeger '12
Emily Massa '12
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 6 2 10 2 4 4 4 1 33 Elizabeth Whipple '12 [1-8]
Claire Sacco '13 [1-4]
Katrina Salk '11 [5-8]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 1 DNF RDG 4 3 6 2 2 40 Emily Lambert '12
Alexandra Jumper '12
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 5 5 7 9 8 5 6 47 Charlotte Lipschitz '10
Margot Elmaleh '12
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 3 2 6 16 1 11 7 50 Kathryn Metscher '10
Cristy Jamison '11
Yale University Yale University Elis 11 6 3 1 7 3 8 11 50 Claire Dennis '13 [1-4]
Genoa Warner '12 [5-8]
Heather May '13 [1-4]
Stephanie Schuyler '12 [5-8]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 9 7 14 5 6 2 12 10 65 Alexandra Arntsen '12 [1-8]
Emily Augello '12 [1-2]
Amanda Donohue '13 [3-4]
Alyssa Maynard '11 [5-8]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 10 8 6 8 5 10 15 3 65 Katii Gullick '12
Jillian Reddy '11
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 14 11 7 13 1 7 7 5 65 Margaret Tautz '12 [1-8]
Sally Levinson '11 [1-2, 5-8]
Meghan Pesch '11 [3-4]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 12 9 14 8 12 3 14 77 Chandler Salisbury '13
Stephanie Gagnon '10
Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 9 8 12 10 15 9 8 78 Brendan Cook '16
Fiona Gordon '12
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 8 4 4 10 13 11 14 RAF 81 Bethany Leonard '11
Emily Anderson '10
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 12 DNF 13 11 11 16 6 9 95 Katherine Lund '13 [1-2, 5-8]
Megan Grove '10 [3-4]
Megan Grove '10 [1-2, 5-8]
Katie Riklin '13 [3-4]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 16 10 12 9 14 14 10 12 97 Katherine Mcneil '12 [1-8]
Caitlin Beach '10 [1-2, 5-8]
Jane Koopman '10 [3-4]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 13 13 11 15 12 9 13 15 101 Emerald Epke '11
Chelsea Maguire '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 15 14 15 16 15 13 16 13 117 Ellen Kintz '13
Elise Maher '11
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (43 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11335577
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22161614141212
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears33557799
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears442216161414
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars5577991111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears6644221616
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels779911111313
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green88664422
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson99111113131515
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers1010886644
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams11111313151511
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks121210108866
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal131315151133
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos14141212101088
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1515113355
Yale UniversityYale University Elis1616141412121010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22446688
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11151513131111
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears4466881010
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears331115151313
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars668810101212
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears5533111515
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels88101012121414
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green77553311
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson1010121214141616
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers99775533
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams12121414161622
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1111997755
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal141416162244
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131311119977
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1616224466
Yale UniversityYale University Elis15151313111199
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Emily Maxwell '11 Elizabeth Dudley '11
Eagles Anne Haeger '12 Emily Massa '12
Boston University Boston University Caroline Wilhelm '11 [1-8] Elizabeth Santovasi '11 [1-2, 5-8]
Sarah Manning '16 [3-4]
Terriers Brendan Cook '16 Fiona Gordon '12
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Charlotte Williamson '15 Phoebe Sprague '11
Polar Bears Katherine Mcneil '12 [1-8] Caitlin Beach '10 [1-2, 5-8]
Jane Koopman '10 [3-4]
Brown University Brown University Emily Dellenbaugh '12 Elizabeth Barry '11
Bears Charlotte Lipschitz '10 Margot Elmaleh '12
College of Charleston College of Charleston Corey Hall '12 Caroline Warren '12
Cougars Kathryn Metscher '10 Cristy Jamison '11
Connecticut College Connecticut College Maggie Shea '11 Kelly Arabia '10
Camels Elizabeth Whipple '12 [1-8] Claire Sacco '13 [1-4]
Katrina Salk '11 [5-8]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Rebecca Dellenbaugh '10 [1-8] Rachel Moncton '12 [1-2, 7-8]
Madilyn Gamble '13 [3-6]
Big Green Chandler Salisbury '13 Stephanie Gagnon '10
Harvard University Harvard University Elizabeth Powers '10 Marie Appel '12
Crimson Emily Lambert '12 Alexandra Jumper '12
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Jamie Curran '11 Rachel Licht '10
Beavers Katii Gullick '12 Jillian Reddy '11
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Haley Powell '13 Bianca Rom '13
Hawks Emerald Epke '11 Chelsea Maguire '13
Stanford University Stanford University Hannah Burroughs '11 Margaret Hayden '12
Cardinal Katherine Lund '13 [1-2, 5-8]
Megan Grove '10 [3-4]		 Megan Grove '10 [1-2, 5-8]
Katie Riklin '13 [3-4]
Tufts University Tufts University Catherine Swanson '11 [1-8] Margaret Rew '11 [1-6]
Reeves Bright '12 [7-8]
Jumbos Margaret Tautz '12 [1-8] Sally Levinson '11 [1-2, 5-8]
Meghan Pesch '11 [3-4]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Jennifer Proctor '11 Margaret Woodbridge '10
Bears Ellen Kintz '13 Elise Maher '11
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Amy Hawkins '12 Missy Hudspeth '10
Rams Bethany Leonard '11 Emily Anderson '10
University of Vermont University of Vermont Kimberly Kaull '13 [1-8] Ellie O'Brien '12 [1-2, 7-8]
Emily Augello '12 [3-6]
Catamounts Alexandra Arntsen '12 [1-8] Emily Augello '12 [1-2]
Amanda Donohue '13 [3-4]
Alyssa Maynard '11 [5-8]
Yale University Yale University Sarah Lihan '10 Elizabeth Brim '11
Elis Claire Dennis '13 [1-4]
Genoa Warner '12 [5-8]		 Heather May '13 [1-4]
Stephanie Schuyler '12 [5-8]

Conditions — 10/31/2009 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1011.3 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.1 kn
avg  ·  max 17.1 kn
Gusts to 33.0 kn
From SSW (199°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover48% Sunshine6.2 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1011.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 16 kn* · N 3 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Harvard: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Harvard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (59 labelled days at Harvard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →