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2010 Women's Fall Pcc's

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 34 32 66
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 26 41 67
3 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 52 53 105
4 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 65 48 113
5 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 65 74 139
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 67 79 146
7 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 84 66 150
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 1 3 1 2 1 2 1 5 3 2 1 1 2 26 Hannah Tuson-Turner '11
Hanne Nagatani '13
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 2 5 5 1 4 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 5 34 Sarah Mace '14
Katie Riklin '13
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5 4 4 7 5 2 3 6 2 2 3 5 3 1 52 Carmen Bozina '11
Amy Stuyvesant '13
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 3 5 6 4 7 3 6 5 3 4 7 3 5 4 65 Ashley Hobson '13
Martha Davis '12
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego DNS 3 2 2 3 7 7 3 4 6 5 4 4 7 65 Alicia Bernhard '13
Brooke Sharp '11
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 6 1 6 6 5 4 4 6 5 4 7 6 3 67 Ashley Vincent '12
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 6 7 7 3 4 6 5 7 7 7 6 6 7 6 84
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 1 2 4 3 1 3 1 1 2 3 3 4 3 32 Molly Mckinney '14
Iris Clayter '13
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 4 3 4 3 1 4 5 3 2 3 1 1 1 6 41 Madeline Kennedy '14 [1-14]
Lani Johnson '12 [1-6, 11-14]
Laura Hughes '14 [7-10]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 5 4 6 6 4 3 1 4 5 1 4 2 2 1 48 Kate Andersen '15
Blair Johnston '11
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 2 1 5 2 5 2 7 3 5 2 5 6 5 53 Charlotte Hughes '13
Carly Olenick '13
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 6 7 5 1 7 2 7 2 6 6 6 4 3 4 66 Megan Hayes '13
Sorcha Evenhouse '14
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego DNS 5 7 7 6 6 4 5 4 4 5 6 5 2 74 Marie Mclellan-Heck '11
Jennifer Lyons '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 6 3 2 5 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 79 Angela Gossom '13
Sarah Hanavan '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (35 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley4455667788991010
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows5566778899101044
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal6677889910104455
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters7788991010445566
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins8899101044556677
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego9910104455667788
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings1010445566778899

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley1111121213131414151516161717
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows1212131314141515161617171111
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1313141415151616171711111212
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters1414151516161717111112121313
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins1515161617171111121213131414
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego1616171711111212131314141515
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings1717111112121313141415151616

Conditions — 10/30/2010 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1015.9 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From S (180°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover83% Sunshine6.8 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1015.9 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn · SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Stanford: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.20 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stanford by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (48 labelled days at Stanford).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →