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Dave Perry Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 34 35 69
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 51 22 73
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 39 39 78
4 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 40 43 83
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 28 70 98
6 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 75 62 137
7 Tufts University Tufts University Tufts University 79 60 139
8 Boston University Boston University Terriers 71 79 150
9 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 92 120 212
10 Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 121 113 234
11 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 136 113 249
12 Yale University Yale University Elis 127 123 250
13 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 147 148 295
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 1 1 1 4 4 6 5 2 1 2 28 William Hutchings '13
Reeves Bright '12
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 7 2 2 1 5 1 3 5 4 1 34 Mark Towill '11
Ashley Noble '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 4 2 4 3 3 1 3 8 3 5 3 39 Andrew Meleny '13
Mackenzie Loy '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 3 5 5 2 2 7 1 1 6 6 40 Rob Struckett '12 [1-11]
Tatyana Camejo '11 [1-4, 9-11]
Emily Billing '13 [5-8]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 6 8 3 6 6 7 2 2 4 3 4 51 Quentin Chafee '11
Kristina Landsvik '12
Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 6 6 9 8 9 4 4 6 7 5 71 Tripp Cashel '11 [1-11]
Jacqueline Conese '12 [1-6]
Lalitha Kumaresan '13 [7-8]
Paul Perry '11 [9-10]
Alejandra Higgins '13 [11]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 5 5 8 4 5 6 9 6 9 11 7 75 Max Rollins '12 [1-6]
Stephen Sweriduk '12 [7-11]
Katherine Andril '13 [1-6]
Tufts University Tufts University Tufts University 9 9 7 8 7 3 5 7 8 8 8 79 Charles Proctor '14 [1-11]
Mara Porter '14 [1-2]
Sara Makaretz '14 [3-6]
Charlotte Welbourn '13 [7-11]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 8 4 10 7 9 8 8 9 10 10 9 92 Bryan Lilley '12
Whitney Washburn '14
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 11 13 9 10 DNF DNS 10 10 11 9 10 121 Alex Hering '13
Chelsea Abbenante '14
Yale University Yale University Elis 10 10 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 7 2 DNS 127 Nathan Stevens '11 [1-11]
Senem Cilingiroglu '13 [1-8, 11]
Sinead O'Brien '13 [9-10]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 12 11 11 12 DNF 10 DNS DNS 12 12 DNS 136 Natalie Fohl '11 [1-8, 11]
Bogdan Istrate '13 [9-10]
Joshua Bullen '13 [1-8, 11]
Evan Henry '14 [9-10]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals DNS 12 12 11 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNF DNF DNS 147 Dylan Keegan '14
Frances Williams '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 1 4 2 2 1 1 4 3 1 1 22 Hunter Mumma '12
Taylor Maguire '12
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 4 1 4 5 2 4 1 1 6 6 35 Nikolas Osvalds '11
Sarah Ebert '12
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 3 3 2 3 4 3 6 2 2 8 3 39 T. Max Bulger '13
Amelia Quinn '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 6 2 3 1 1 5 3 6 5 7 4 43 Andrew Kurzrok '11
Alexa Chu '11
Tufts University Tufts University Tufts University 5 9 5 6 6 4 2 7 7 2 7 60 Daniel Slate '11
Victor Ansart '14
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 4 7 9 5 3 8 7 3 4 4 8 62 Timothy Clark '13
Iraz Korezlioglu '11
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 8 5 7 7 8 6 8 5 6 5 5 70 Albert Nichols '13 [1-11]
Charlotte Welbourn '13 [1-6]
Sara Makaretz '14 [7-11]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 6 DNF 10 7 7 5 10 8 3 2 79 Trevor Burd '12 [1-11]
Alejandra Higgins '13 [1-8]
Paul Perry '11 [9-11]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 9 8 8 8 9 11 9 9 DNS DNS DNS 113 Bogdan Istrate '13
Evan Henry '14
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 10 10 6 DNS DNF DNS 10 8 9 9 9 113 Brendan Griffiths '14
Kim Parker '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 13 12 11 9 11 10 12 11 10 11 10 120 Eleanor Leonard '13 [1-4]
James Fales '13 [5-11]
Christopher Esposito '14 [1-4]
Margie Priest '11 [5-11]
Yale University Yale University Elis 12 13 10 DNF 10 9 11 12 11 10 11 123 William Feldman '14 [1-11]
Katherine Eshel '13 [1-6]
Emily Farr '14 [7-8]
Sinead O'Brien '13 [9-11]
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 11 11 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 148 Austen Fiora '12
Maritza Ebling '12
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22446688101012
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33557799111113
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies10101212141433557
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels4466881010121214
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds557799111113132
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners66881010121214143
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbalaya779911111313224
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos88101012121414335
Tufts UniversityTufts University Tufts University991111131322446
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts111113132244668
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals121214143355779
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs13132244668810
Yale UniversityYale University Elis14143355779911

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33557799111113
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears4466881010121214
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies111113132244668
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels667799111113132
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds77881010121214143
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners559911111313224
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbalaya88101012121414335
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos991111131322446
Tufts UniversityTufts University Tufts University10101212141433557
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts121214143355779
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals13132244668810
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs14143355779911
Yale UniversityYale University Elis22446688101012
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Tripp Cashel '11 [1-11] Jacqueline Conese '12 [1-6]
Lalitha Kumaresan '13 [7-8]
Paul Perry '11 [9-10]
Alejandra Higgins '13 [11]
Terriers Trevor Burd '12 [1-11] Alejandra Higgins '13 [1-8]
Paul Perry '11 [9-11]
Brown University Brown University Mark Towill '11 Ashley Noble '13
Bears Nikolas Osvalds '11 Sarah Ebert '12
Connecticut College Connecticut College Max Rollins '12 [1-6]
Stephen Sweriduk '12 [7-11]		 Katherine Andril '13 [1-6]
Camels Timothy Clark '13 Iraz Korezlioglu '11
McGill University McGill University Natalie Fohl '11 [1-8, 11]
Bogdan Istrate '13 [9-10]		 Joshua Bullen '13 [1-8, 11]
Evan Henry '14 [9-10]
Redbirds Bogdan Istrate '13 Evan Henry '14
Mitchell College Mitchell College Alex Hering '13 Chelsea Abbenante '14
Mariners Brendan Griffiths '14 Kim Parker '13
Tufts University Tufts University Andrew Meleny '13 Mackenzie Loy '13
Jumbalaya T. Max Bulger '13 Amelia Quinn '13
Tufts University Tufts University William Hutchings '13 Reeves Bright '12
Jumbos Albert Nichols '13 [1-11] Charlotte Welbourn '13 [1-6]
Sara Makaretz '14 [7-11]
Tufts University Tufts University Charles Proctor '14 [1-11] Mara Porter '14 [1-2]
Sara Makaretz '14 [3-6]
Charlotte Welbourn '13 [7-11]
Tufts University Daniel Slate '11 Victor Ansart '14
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Bryan Lilley '12 Whitney Washburn '14
Huskies Eleanor Leonard '13 [1-4]
James Fales '13 [5-11]		 Christopher Esposito '14 [1-4]
Margie Priest '11 [5-11]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Quentin Chafee '11 Kristina Landsvik '12
Catamounts Hunter Mumma '12 Taylor Maguire '12
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Dylan Keegan '14 Frances Williams '14
Cardinals Austen Fiora '12 Maritza Ebling '12
Yale University Yale University Rob Struckett '12 [1-11] Tatyana Camejo '11 [1-4, 9-11]
Emily Billing '13 [5-8]
Bulldogs Andrew Kurzrok '11 Alexa Chu '11
Yale University Yale University Nathan Stevens '11 [1-11] Senem Cilingiroglu '13 [1-8, 11]
Sinead O'Brien '13 [9-10]
Elis William Feldman '14 [1-11] Katherine Eshel '13 [1-6]
Emily Farr '14 [7-8]
Sinead O'Brien '13 [9-11]

Conditions — 10/30/2010 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1014.6 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.6 kn
avg  ·  max 10.0 kn
Gusts to 23.7 kn
From SW (235°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine8.5 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1014.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 11 kn · NW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Yale: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Yale by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Yale).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →