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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 23 13 36
2 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 24 19 43
3 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 38 22 60
4 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 18 56 74
5 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 40 45 85
6 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 50 53 103
7 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 62 47 109
8 University of Ottawa University of Ottawa University of Ottawa 67 54 121
9 University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 48 76 124
10 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 51 74 125
11 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 67 58 125
12 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 84 65 149
13 Syracuse University Syracuse University Syracuse 93 62 155
14 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 70 92 162
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 5 1 4 2 2 2 18 Ian Holtzworth '13
Maggy Ashton '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 9 1 3 1 3 3 3 23 Taylor Vann '13
Elizabeth Morrison '14
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 12 2 2 5 1 1 1 24 Philip Alley '12
Juliet Levine '14
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 6 5 3 10 6 7 38 Potter Hodgson '13
Katelynn Yonce '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 7 10 4 2 7 4 6 40 Graham Gardner '11
Nina Synnestvedt '14
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 4 4 7 8 8 8 9 48 Nicholas Troche '11 [1-2, 7]
Kathryn Luly '14 [3-6]
Kathryn Luly '14 [1-2]
Peter Shafer '11 [3-6]
David Oles '14 [7]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 8 8 10 7 5 7 5 50 Paul Throop '12
William Schwenger '13
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 6 3 8 12 9 5 8 51 Nathan Fulcher '13
John Handel '12
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 3 11 12 9 11 12 4 62 William Pilling '11
Nikhil Karnik '13
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 10 7 11 6 13 10 10 67 Robert Handler '13 [1-7]
Dave Brusa '14 [1-4]
Melissa Eiffert '14 [5-7]
University of Ottawa University of Ottawa University of Ottawa 14 9 6 11 6 9 12 67 Jonathan Williams '11
Emily Rees '12
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 5 13 9 14 4 14 11 70 William Ford '13
Christopher Chan '11
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 11 12 13 10 12 13 13 84 Trevor Nederlof '11
Natalie Tosh '11
Syracuse University Syracuse University Syracuse 13 14 14 13 14 11 14 93 Harmen Rockler '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Louise Browning '12 [3-4, 7]
Sharon Burke '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Everett Spear '14 [3-4, 7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 5 1 1 2 1 2 1 13 Michael Grove '14
Kristin Rovito '14
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 3 3 5 1 3 1 3 19 Alden Sonnenfeldt '13
Devon Furlong '13
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 2 2 3 4 3 7 22 Alex Butti '12
Jacqueline Day '14
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 13 5 3 7 5 7 5 45 John O'Riordan '12 [1-7]
Alexander Avery '12 [1-4]
Mary Hamilton '14 [5-7]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 4 4 6 11 10 4 8 47 Christina Johns '13
Brittany Commins '11
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 9 7 4 6 6 9 12 53 Oliver Blake '13
Kirsten Lind '14
University of Ottawa University of Ottawa University of Ottawa 2 11 8 9 9 6 9 54 Alexandre Gareau '11
Daniel Bader '13
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 6 8 10 10 7 5 10 56 Alex Wood '13
Lauren Gainor '12
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 7 6 9 DSQ 11 8 2 58 Nick Ventrilla '12 [1-7]
Gretchen Neureuter '11 [1-4]
Stephanie Rosenbaum '13 [5-7]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Syracuse 12 10 7 4 13 12 4 62 Nicholas Woviotis '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Kenneth Walz '11 [3-4, 7]
Corey Carpenter '14 [1-2, 7]
John Luposello '13 [3-4]
Kenneth Walz '11 [5-6]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 8 9 13 8 8 13 6 65 Edward Doran '15
Katherine Rimmele '14
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 10 12 11 5 12 11 13 74 Daniel Christiani '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Josh Sharaf '12 [3-4, 7]
Peter Thorpe '13 [1-2, 5-6]
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 11 13 14 12 2 10 14 76 Joe Franco '14 [1-6]
Geoff Williams '11 [7]
Kelly Rousmaniere '14 [1-6]
Christopher Miller '14 [7]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 14 14 12 13 14 14 11 92 John Koehler '13 [1-4]
Ben Barczewski '12 [5-7]
Ben Barczewski '12 [1-4]
John Koehler '13 [5-7]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Buffalo1133557
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions2244668
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red3355779
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons44668810
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams55779911
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen6688101012
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners7799111113
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen881010121214
University of OttawaUniversity of Ottawa University of Ottawa131311335
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers99111113131
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels1010121214142
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester11111313113
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester141422446
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Syracuse12121414224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Buffalo2244668
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions3355779
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red44668810
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons55779911
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams6688101012
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen7799111113
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners881010121214
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen99111113131
University of OttawaUniversity of Ottawa University of Ottawa141422446
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers1010121214142
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels11111313113
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester12121414224
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester1133557
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Syracuse131311335
School / Team SkipperCrew
Columbia University Columbia University William Ford '13 Christopher Chan '11
Lions John Koehler '13 [1-4]
Ben Barczewski '12 [5-7]		 Ben Barczewski '12 [1-4]
John Koehler '13 [5-7]
Cornell University Cornell University Philip Alley '12 Juliet Levine '14
Big Red Alden Sonnenfeldt '13 Devon Furlong '13
Drexel University Drexel University Trevor Nederlof '11 Natalie Tosh '11
Dragons Edward Doran '15 Katherine Rimmele '14
Fordham University Fordham University Graham Gardner '11 Nina Synnestvedt '14
Rams John O'Riordan '12 [1-7] Alexander Avery '12 [1-4]
Mary Hamilton '14 [5-7]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Potter Hodgson '13 Katelynn Yonce '12
Statesmen Alex Butti '12 Jacqueline Day '14
Queen's University Queen's University Paul Throop '12 William Schwenger '13
Gaels Oliver Blake '13 Kirsten Lind '14
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Nathan Fulcher '13 John Handel '12
Rochester Daniel Christiani '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Josh Sharaf '12 [3-4, 7]		 Peter Thorpe '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Harmen Rockler '13 [1-2, 5-6]
Louise Browning '12 [3-4, 7]		 Sharon Burke '12 [1-2, 5-6]
Everett Spear '14 [3-4, 7]
Syracuse Nicholas Woviotis '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Kenneth Walz '11 [3-4, 7]		 Corey Carpenter '14 [1-2, 7]
John Luposello '13 [3-4]
Kenneth Walz '11 [5-6]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Ian Holtzworth '13 Maggy Ashton '14
Mariners Alex Wood '13 Lauren Gainor '12
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Taylor Vann '13 Elizabeth Morrison '14
Midshipmen Michael Grove '14 Kristin Rovito '14
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Robert Handler '13 [1-7] Dave Brusa '14 [1-4]
Melissa Eiffert '14 [5-7]
Buffalo Nick Ventrilla '12 [1-7] Gretchen Neureuter '11 [1-4]
Stephanie Rosenbaum '13 [5-7]
University of Ottawa University of Ottawa Jonathan Williams '11 Emily Rees '12
University of Ottawa Alexandre Gareau '11 Daniel Bader '13
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania William Pilling '11 Nikhil Karnik '13
Quakers Christina Johns '13 Brittany Commins '11
University of Rochester University of Rochester Nicholas Troche '11 [1-2, 7]
Kathryn Luly '14 [3-6]		 Kathryn Luly '14 [1-2]
Peter Shafer '11 [3-6]
David Oles '14 [7]
U. Rochester Joe Franco '14 [1-6]
Geoff Williams '11 [7]		 Kelly Rousmaniere '14 [1-6]
Christopher Miller '14 [7]

Conditions — 10/23/2010 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1019.5 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.9 kn
avg  ·  max 3.3 kn
Gusts to 11.9 kn
From WSW (248°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover48% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1019.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn · S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Cornell: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.13 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cornell by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at Cornell).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →