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Queen's Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 34 18 52
2 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 20 33 53
3 Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 29 26 55
4 University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 29 28 57
5 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 21 42 63
6 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 40 46 86
7 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 55 40 95
8 Penn State University Penn State University Penn State 61 56 117
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 1 2 1 6 3 2 2 20 Graham Gardner '11
Bridget Dalton '13
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 2 3 3 2 4 1 3 3 21 Matthew Sullivan '13
William Douglas '13
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 1 2 1 6 3 5 6 5 29 Nicholas Troche '11
Kathryn Luly '14
Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 6 6 7 4 2 2 1 1 29 Troy Zangle '13 [1-4]
Nathan Fast '14 [5-8]
Marc Smith '13 [1-4]
Donald Rickerson '13 [5-8]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 4 4 6 3 5 4 4 4 34 Juan Forrer '13
Christina Rho '12
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 5 5 5 5 1 6 7 6 40 Ian Witt '12
Peter Sinnott '13
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester OCS 8 4 8 7 7 5 7 55 Ian Hunt '13
Olivia Robertson '15
Penn State University Penn State University Penn State 7 7 8 7 8 8 8 8 61 Thomas Hutchison '11
Josef Becker '11
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 2 3 4 2 1 4 1 18 Alison Love '11
Katherine Soule '14
Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 3 4 1 1 6 7 1 3 26 John Fleming '12
Michael Larose '13
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 5 3 4 2 1 5 2 6 28 Jacob Romanowsky '14
Paul Sozio '14
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 1 OCS 3 3 3 7 5 33 Alex Reynolds '14
Sarah Mckay '12
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 7 7 2 6 5 2 3 8 40 Daniel Christiani '15 [1-4]
Charles Kowalyshyn '13 [5-8]
Christopher Sullivan '12 [1-4]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 4 6 7 7 4 4 6 4 42 Spencer Stubbins '13
Gregory Harries '13
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 6 5 5 5 7 6 5 7 46 Simon Li '14
Marine Jaspers '11
Penn State University Penn State University Penn State 8 8 6 8 8 8 8 2 56 Daniel Drummond '12
Hilary Kelly '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red55495549564156415643564356455645
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams56385638564256425644564456465646
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds56415641564356435645564556445644
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Penn State56425642564456445646564655495549
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels56445644564656465549554956415641
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester56435643564556455642564256385638
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester56455645563856385638563856425642
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Webb Institute56465646554955495641564156435643

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red56385638564256425644564456465646
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams56415641564356435645564556455645
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds56425642564456445646564655495549
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Penn State56435643564556455643564356385638
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels56455645564156415638563856425642
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester56445644564656465549554956415641
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester56465646554955495641564156435643
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Webb Institute55495549563856385642564256445644

Conditions — 10/02/2010 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1017.0 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From NNW (330°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover82% Sunshine6.3 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1017.0 hPa Rain0.19 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn · N 14 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Queen's: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.08 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Queen's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Queen's, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →