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Crews Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 20 15 35
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 18 21 39
3 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 19 27 46
4 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 32 28 60
5 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 18 44 62
6 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 42 23 65
7 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 40 36 76
8 Boston University Boston University Terriers 42 38 80
9 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 46 61 107
10 Colby College Colby College Colby 66 41 107
11 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 55 63 118
12 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 70 71 141
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 1 5 3 5 1 18 Lucas Serra '13
Emmett Weeks '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 4 3 1 3 2 18 Becker Awqatty '14
Elizabeth Sczerzenie '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 4 2 1 8 1 3 19 Philip Koch '16
Madison Rex '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 3 4 5 2 5 20 Emily Shaw '12
Ruth Summers '12
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 2 5 6 6 9 4 32 Helaine Meyer '14
Andrea Verdeja '14
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 9 7 9 2 4 9 40 Helen Chyz '14
Emily Egan '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 8 2 9 10 7 42 Emily Shepherd '15
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 8 9 7 4 8 6 42
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 7 6 8 10 7 8 46
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 11 10 11 7 6 10 55 Catherine Stavola '14
Whitney Washburn '14
Colby College Colby College Colby 10 11 10 11 12 12 66
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 12 12 12 12 11 11 70 Molly Goelzer '15
Danielle Dubois '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 8 2 1 1 1 2 15 Eliza White '14
Solomon Krevans '14
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 1 9 2 3 5 21 Brandon Kaufmann '12
Kelly Mcglynn '15
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers 2 3 5 10 2 1 23 Matthew Vernacchia '15
Chloe Lepert '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 4 6 4 4 3 27 Isabel Low '13
Katharine O'Brien '12
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 3 6 3 6 6 4 28 Davida Judelson '12
Jared Dunn '13
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 4 9 2 7 5 9 36 Samuel Wells '15
Jacob Barbato '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 5 8 5 7 6 38 Justin Kusiel '14
Colby College Colby College Colby 9 7 7 3 8 7 41 Ines Castro '14
Katherine Mcelhiney '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 8 4 8 9 10 44 Janelle Veary '15
Olin Nelson '13
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 11 11 10 11 10 8 61 Mayrah Udvardi '14
Emily Tohir '14
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 10 10 11 9 12 11 63 Peter Rodriguez '14
Rebecca Sylvia '14
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 12 12 12 12 11 12 71 Devon Walker '15
Andrew Angione '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2008 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats112233
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers556677
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears334455
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges223344
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears445566
Colby CollegeColby College Colby667788
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies101011111212
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers778899
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1111121211
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies88991010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos9910101111
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue12121122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats112233
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers556677
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears334455
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges223344
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears445566
Colby CollegeColby College Colby667788
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies101011111212
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Beavers778899
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1111121211
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies88991010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos9910101111
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue12121122

Conditions — 11/06/2011 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1030.9 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 32°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.4 kn
Gusts to 19.4 kn
From SW (231°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine9.6 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1030.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Boston University: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.20 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.35 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (56 labelled days at Boston University).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →