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Dave Perry Trophy

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 116
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 143
3 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 183
4 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 213
5 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 220
6 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 248
7 Yale University Yale University Elis 251
8 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 261
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears A 4 10 1 1 4 1 3 3 3 3 3 2 38 Drew Shea '14
Sarah Ebert '12
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 B 1 1 4 OCS 1 2 2 1 13 2 2 1 47 Christopher Price '14
Rachel Moncton '12
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 A 3 11 14 11 2 4 4 2 5 7 1 5 69 Bo Mcclatchy '13
Michelle Hernandez '12
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs A 6 2 10 8 5 10 9 6 2 8 11 4 81 Rob Struckett '12
Anna Han '14
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels A 8 13 8 6 14 6 5 8 11 4 5 3 91 Gabriel Salk '14 [1-12]
Lindsey Press '14 [1-8]
Kaitlin Kehl '12 [9-12]
Yale University Yale University Elis A 5 8 16 2 11 8 6 4 10 6 6 10 92 Urska Kosir '15
Madeline Yozwiak '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 7 7 5 3 15 3 7 13 6 9 10 14 99 Hunter Mumma '12
Paige Baeder '12
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 9 4 9 7 16 11 12 5 1 1 16 11 102 Andrew Tamblyn '13
Josh Gershuny '14
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs B 11 6 12 9 8 7 1 15 7 11 9 6 102 Max Nickbarg '14
Emily Farr '14
Brown University Brown University Bears B 2 15 3 12 9 5 11 7 9 10 15 7 105 Johanna Kincaid '15
Brandon Kaufmann '12
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 A 12 9 6 5 3 13 10 10 8 13 4 16 109 John Renehan '13
Avery Plough '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 10 3 2 OCS 6 9 16 12 4 12 7 13 111 George Saunders '12
Chelsea Maguire '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 14 5 7 4 12 14 8 14 12 15 8 8 121 Bradley Abbott '13
Sara Anibal '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 B 15 14 13 13 10 12 13 16 16 5 13 12 152 Martin Mcdonald '12
Phoebe Palmer '14
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels B 13 12 11 10 13 15 15 11 14 16 12 15 157 Michael Sweeney '15
Sarah Price '14
Yale University Yale University Elis B 16 16 15 14 7 16 14 9 15 14 14 9 159 Rafael Fernandez '13 [1-4]
Jared Shenson '12 [5-12]
Takaomi Konari '14 [1-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears112233445566
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels22111616151514141313
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 1334455667788
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 24433221116161515
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks55667788991010
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts665544332211
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs778899101011111212
Yale UniversityYale University Elis887766554433

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears9910101111121213131414
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels10109988776655
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 1111112121313141415151616
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 2121211111010998877
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks13131414151516161122
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1414131312121111101099
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1515161611223344
Yale UniversityYale University Elis161615151414131312121111

Conditions — 10/29/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1017.9 hPa

Temperature

41°F
↑ 44°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 33°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.6 kn
avg  ·  max 15.5 kn
Gusts to 34.6 kn
From NNE (31°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1017.9 hPa Rain0.27 in Snow3.67 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 11 kn* · N 12 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Yale: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Yale by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Yale).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →