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MAISA Central Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 71 43 114
2 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 51 65 116
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 78 49 127
4 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens 67 64 131
5 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 110 80 190
6 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 131 102 233
7 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 131 128 259
8 Villanova University Villanova University Villanova 158 112 270
9 Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 122 155 277
10 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 1 145 160 305
11 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 154 184 338
12 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport 169 170 339
13 Penn State University Penn State University Penn State 165 220 385
14 University of Delaware University of Delaware Delaware 171 230 401
15 Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 223 178 401
16 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 2 230 236 466
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 1 1 2 1 3 10 4 2 9 2 3 3 4 2 2 51 Michael Russom '13 [1-16]
Ali Zablocki '12 [1-12]
Kelsi Schoenrock '12 [13-16]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens 3 7 9 1 6 2 7 2 5 1 1 4 10 2 6 1 67 Gerard Tonachel '13 [1-16]
Lara Paul '15 [1-8]
Michael Cianfaglione '13 [9-16]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 12 6 2 3 3 6 9 7 1 4 4 1 1 1 4 7 71 Michael Grove '14
Caroline Lockett '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 8 3 5 6 4 1 1 3 4 2 10 9 8 5 1 8 78 Don Hause Iii '14
Thad Bench '15
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 4 15 14 10 11 4 6 1 7 5 5 2 15 3 3 5 110 Sam Fitzgerald '14
Paul Miller '14
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 10 8 3 14 7 5 2 6 3 7 15 12 11 6 7 6 122 Paul Stevens '14
Shawn Diamond '13
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 12 4 8 9 7 8 10 13 8 8 5 6 13 8 11 131 John O'Riordan '12
Nina Synnestvedt '14
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 14 2 8 4 14 8 11 13 9 3 3 7 5 7 10 13 131 Gavin Schlissel '13 [1-16]
Jennifer Haak '13 [1-11]
Philip Oasis '13 [12-16]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 1 13 14 10 12 2 16 3 12 8 14 6 10 2 9 11 3 145 Zachary Schippe '14
Rebecca Johnson '12
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 11 5 13 13 10 9 4 5 11 11 9 15 9 8 12 9 154 Joan Boyle '14
Stephen Ciccariello '13
Villanova University Villanova University Villanova 15 9 11 9 13 12 5 8 6 13 11 14 12 11 5 4 158 Andrew Sayre '12 [1-4, 11-14]
Domenic Re '15 [5-10, 15-16]
Marisa Demourkas '12 [1-10]
Kathryn Shimko '12 [11-16]
Penn State University Penn State University Penn State 5 10 12 7 15 13 14 14 12 6 12 8 4 10 13 10 165 Rachel Bennung '12
Eliza Crawford '14
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport 16 11 7 11 5 14 12 11 10 12 7 11 7 14 9 12 169 Victoria Miller '13
Tara Mahoney '13
University of Delaware University of Delaware Delaware 6 4 6 5 8 10 15 9 15 10 13 6 16 16 16 16 171 Suzanne Reynolds '14
Hannah Patry '16
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 7 13 15 16 16 15 13 15 14 15 16 13 14 12 14 15 223 Laine Meelheim '13
Kathrine Bianchini '12
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 2 9 16 16 15 12 11 16 16 16 16 14 16 13 15 15 14 230 Andrew Daponte '14
Rayanna Ashworth '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 4 2 4 2 1 3 6 1 6 1 1 1 2 5 2 43 George Prieto '13
Kelsey Ragsdale '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 4 3 1 2 5 4 5 3 4 2 2 4 2 1 1 6 49 Nicholas Clemence '15
Marina Carlson '12
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens 5 2 3 5 6 3 4 4 5 3 5 3 4 6 2 4 64 Christian Geary '14 [1-16]
Kyle Ripley '13 [1-8, 12-16]
Lara Paul '15 [9-11]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 10 1 5 3 3 2 2 1 2 1 6 6 9 4 7 3 65 Jack Swikart '15 [1-16]
Christina Johns '13 [1-11]
Marina Reppucci '12 [12-16]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 1 6 7 6 4 6 6 2 3 7 9 7 5 3 3 5 80 Dan Ricker '15
Brogan Savage '15
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 7 8 11 9 9 7 11 5 7 4 4 2 6 7 4 1 102 Gene Merewether '13
Mary Bartlett '12
Villanova University Villanova University Villanova 3 5 6 1 1 8 7 7 13 10 7 10 11 10 6 7 112 Sarah Celone '13 [1-10]
Scott Barnhill '14 [11-16]
Scott Barnhill '14 [1-10]
Sarah Celone '13 [11-16]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 8 7 8 8 10 9 10 8 9 8 13 5 3 5 8 9 128 Edward Titcomb '13
Alex Wiggins '13
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 9 9 4 10 7 10 8 9 14 5 3 9 13 14 15 16 155 Matthew Marciano '14
Rachel Armstrong '14
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 1 6 11 12 7 11 11 1 15 15 12 12 13 7 8 11 8 160 Autumn Hoover '12
Geneva O'Brien '14
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport 14 13 10 11 8 13 12 10 6 15 11 8 8 9 12 10 170 Natalie Ross '15
Amy Craven '13
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 11 10 9 13 15 5 14 12 8 14 14 12 10 11 9 11 178 Edgar Girtain '12
Welf Ludwig '12
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 12 12 13 12 12 12 9 11 11 9 8 11 12 12 16 12 184 Jason Sinclair '13
Natalie Launchi '13
Penn State University Penn State University Penn State 15 14 15 16 14 15 13 13 12 11 10 14 14 16 14 14 220 Brian Hulse '12
Natalie Dapas '14
University of Delaware University of Delaware Delaware 16 16 16 15 16 16 15 14 10 13 16 16 15 13 10 13 230 Devon Gonzalez '15
Benjamin Marinelli '11
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 2 13 15 14 14 13 14 16 16 16 16 15 15 16 15 13 15 236 Nicholas Rinaldi '14
Marissa Colagrosso '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Christopher Newport1122334455667788
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Delaware2211161615151414131312121111
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons334455667788991010
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams443322111616151514141313
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth5566778899101011111212
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen66554433221116161515
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings 177889910101111121213131414
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings 28877665544332211
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Penn State101099887766554433
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers14141313121211111010998877
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers991010111112121313141415151616
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers1111121213131414151516161122
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1212111110109988776655
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Stevens131314141515161611223344
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Villanova15151616112233445566
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen161615151414131312121111101099

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Christopher Newport1122334455667788
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Delaware2211161615151414131312121111
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons334455667788991010
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams443322111616151514141313
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth5566778899101011111212
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen66554433221116161515
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings 177889910101111121213131414
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings 28877665544332211
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Penn State101099887766554433
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers14141313121211111010998877
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers991010111112121313141415151616
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers1111121213131414151516161122
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1212111110109988776655
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Stevens131314141515161611223344
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Villanova15151616112233445566
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen161615151414131312121111101099
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Victoria Miller '13 Tara Mahoney '13
Christopher Newport Natalie Ross '15 Amy Craven '13
Drexel University Drexel University Joan Boyle '14 Stephen Ciccariello '13
Dragons Jason Sinclair '13 Natalie Launchi '13
Fordham University Fordham University John O'Riordan '12 Nina Synnestvedt '14
Rams Edward Titcomb '13 Alex Wiggins '13
Monmouth University Monmouth University Paul Stevens '14 Shawn Diamond '13
Monmouth Matthew Marciano '14 Rachel Armstrong '14
Ocean County College Ocean County College Zachary Schippe '14 Rebecca Johnson '12
Vikings 1 Autumn Hoover '12 Geneva O'Brien '14
Ocean County College Ocean County College Andrew Daponte '14 Rayanna Ashworth '14
Vikings 2 Nicholas Rinaldi '14 Marissa Colagrosso '14
Penn State University Penn State University Rachel Bennung '12 Eliza Crawford '14
Penn State Brian Hulse '12 Natalie Dapas '14
Princeton University Princeton University Gavin Schlissel '13 [1-16] Jennifer Haak '13 [1-11]
Philip Oasis '13 [12-16]
Tigers Gene Merewether '13 Mary Bartlett '12
Rutgers University Rutgers University Laine Meelheim '13 Kathrine Bianchini '12
Rutgers Edgar Girtain '12 Welf Ludwig '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Don Hause Iii '14 Thad Bench '15
Seahawks Nicholas Clemence '15 Marina Carlson '12
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Gerard Tonachel '13 [1-16] Lara Paul '15 [1-8]
Michael Cianfaglione '13 [9-16]
Stevens Christian Geary '14 [1-16] Kyle Ripley '13 [1-8, 12-16]
Lara Paul '15 [9-11]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Michael Grove '14 Caroline Lockett '12
Midshipmen George Prieto '13 Kelsey Ragsdale '13
University of Delaware University of Delaware Suzanne Reynolds '14 Hannah Patry '16
Delaware Devon Gonzalez '15 Benjamin Marinelli '11
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Michael Russom '13 [1-16] Ali Zablocki '12 [1-12]
Kelsi Schoenrock '12 [13-16]
Quakers Jack Swikart '15 [1-16] Christina Johns '13 [1-11]
Marina Reppucci '12 [12-16]
Villanova University Villanova University Andrew Sayre '12 [1-4, 11-14]
Domenic Re '15 [5-10, 15-16]		 Marisa Demourkas '12 [1-10]
Kathryn Shimko '12 [11-16]
Villanova Sarah Celone '13 [1-10]
Scott Barnhill '14 [11-16]		 Scott Barnhill '14 [1-10]
Sarah Celone '13 [11-16]
Washington College Washington College Sam Fitzgerald '14 Paul Miller '14
Shoremen Dan Ricker '15 Brogan Savage '15

Conditions — 09/17/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1029.7 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.1 kn
avg  ·  max 10.0 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From ENE (68°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover84% Sunshine7.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1029.7 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn · NE 18 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Ocean County: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ocean County by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Ocean County).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →