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Riley Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 1 19 17 36
2 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 13 24 37
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 22 20 42
4 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 19 27 46
5 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 36 13 49
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 36 43 79
7 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 2 32 50 82
8 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 56 47 103
9 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport 69 38 107
10 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 50 75 125
11 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 65 74 139
12 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 77 70 147
13 Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 71 78 149
14 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 89 64 153
15 American University American University American 71 90 161
16 William and Mary William and Mary Griffin 91 90 181
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 2 1 2 4 3 13 Alex Post '15
Katia Dasilva '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 5 3 4 3 1 19 Brady Stagg '14
Julia Wiesner '14
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 1 7 1 2 3 2 4 19 Gordon Wolcott '13
Ellen Hubbard '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 3 5 1 5 6 22 Alex Ramos '15
Saverio Maldari '12
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 2 6 10 8 5 1 2 32 Christopher Stessing '14
Linda Codega '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 4 6 4 9 6 7 36 Zach Runci '13
Haley Garst '14
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 5 4 7 8 7 5 36 Don Hause Iii '14
Allison Smith '13
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 10 7 9 6 8 10 50 Andrew Beckmann '15 [1-6]
Kaitlin Denny '14 [1-4]
Sam Klein '15 [5-6]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 8 8 11 7 13 9 56 Alex Reynolds '14
Sarah Mckay '12
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 12 13 6 13 10 11 65 Natalie Ross '15
Amy Craven '13
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport 11 9 14 10 11 14 69 Victoria Miller '13
Tara Mahoney '13
American University American University American 14 12 13 12 12 8 71 Leigh Cramer '12
Chaselynn Collins '12
Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 15 11 12 11 9 13 71 Douglas Zangre '13
James Codega '14
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 9 14 10 15 14 15 77 Kimannee Simon '14
Joshua Gopeesingh '14
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 13 15 15 14 16 16 89 Efe Brock '13
James Werner '12
William and Mary William and Mary Griffin 16 16 16 16 15 12 91 Scott Guinn '15
John Marlett '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 1 2 2 2 5 13 Thomas Galster '15
Christina Lewis '15
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 1 5 3 1 1 3 4 17 Edward Stokes '15
Alexandra Brenin '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 6 2 3 5 1 3 20 Markus Edegran '16
Kristin Rovito '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 7 4 4 3 5 1 24 John Andril '15
Katie Olsen '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 3 5 5 4 4 6 27 Evan Hoffmann '14
Jill Fattibene '14
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport 2 7 7 6 9 7 38 Mary Buhl '14
Grace Bluefeld '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 9 6 8 8 10 2 43 Jacob Spracher '15
Alexa Cavalieri '14
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 4 8 9 12 6 8 47 Edward Titcomb '13
Alex Wiggins '13
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 2 8 9 6 11 7 9 50 Christopher Schade '15 [1-4]
Griffin Horter '15 [5-6]
Griffin Horter '15 [1-4]
Christopher Schade '15 [5-6]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 10 10 13 10 8 13 64 Diana Kong-Wasielewski '14
Ryan Goodman '14
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 11 14 11 13 11 10 70 Ian Guagliardo '15
Hykeem Gaddis '12
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains OCS 11 10 7 14 15 74 Kira Munger '12 [1-6]
Faith Swan '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Katrina Rubin '14 [3-4]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 14 13 15 9 13 11 75 Alex Hitchcock '15
Skye Kussman '13
Webb Institute Webb Institute Webb Institute 12 16 12 14 12 12 78 Troy Zangle '13
Marc Smith '13
American University American University American 13 12 16 16 16 DNF 90 Nicholas Pilipowskyj '14
Jarrod Anderson '15
William and Mary William and Mary Griffin OCS 15 14 15 15 14 90 Girolama Bui '13
Charlie Hinkley '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (49 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
American UniversityAmerican University American113355
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains335577
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Christopher Newport224466
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams446688
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials66881010
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas557799
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates77991111
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen8810101212
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Big Blue101012121414
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs9911111313
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks111113131515
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos 1121214141616
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos 21313151511
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Webb Institute1414161622
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Griffin16162244
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe15151133

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
American UniversityAmerican University American224466
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains446688
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Christopher Newport335577
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams557799
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials77991111
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas66881010
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates8810101212
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen9911111313
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Big Blue111113131515
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs101012121414
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks121214141616
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos 11313151511
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos 21414161622
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Webb Institute15151133
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Griffin113355
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe16162244
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University Leigh Cramer '12 Chaselynn Collins '12
American Nicholas Pilipowskyj '14 Jarrod Anderson '15
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Natalie Ross '15 Amy Craven '13
Captains Kira Munger '12 [1-6] Faith Swan '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Katrina Rubin '14 [3-4]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Victoria Miller '13 Tara Mahoney '13
Christopher Newport Mary Buhl '14 Grace Bluefeld '15
Fordham University Fordham University Alex Reynolds '14 Sarah Mckay '12
Rams Edward Titcomb '13 Alex Wiggins '13
George Washington University George Washington University Andrew Beckmann '15 [1-6] Kaitlin Denny '14 [1-4]
Sam Klein '15 [5-6]
Colonials Alex Hitchcock '15 Skye Kussman '13
Georgetown University Georgetown University Alex Post '15 Katia Dasilva '15
Hoyas John Andril '15 Katie Olsen '15
Hampton University Hampton University Kimannee Simon '14 Joshua Gopeesingh '14
Pirates Ian Guagliardo '15 Hykeem Gaddis '12
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Zach Runci '13 Haley Garst '14
Big Blue Jacob Spracher '15 Alexa Cavalieri '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Brady Stagg '14 Julia Wiesner '14
Monarchs Evan Hoffmann '14 Jill Fattibene '14
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Don Hause Iii '14 Allison Smith '13
Seahawks Thomas Galster '15 Christina Lewis '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Alex Ramos '15 Saverio Maldari '12
Midshipmen Markus Edegran '16 Kristin Rovito '14
University of Virginia University of Virginia Gordon Wolcott '13 Ellen Hubbard '14
Wahoos 1 Edward Stokes '15 Alexandra Brenin '15
University of Virginia University of Virginia Christopher Stessing '14 Linda Codega '13
Wahoos 2 Christopher Schade '15 [1-4]
Griffin Horter '15 [5-6]		 Griffin Horter '15 [1-4]
Christopher Schade '15 [5-6]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Douglas Zangre '13 James Codega '14
Webb Institute Troy Zangle '13 Marc Smith '13
William and Mary William and Mary Scott Guinn '15 John Marlett '15
Griffin Girolama Bui '13 Charlie Hinkley '14
William and Mary William and Mary Efe Brock '13 James Werner '12
Tribe Diana Kong-Wasielewski '14 Ryan Goodman '14

Conditions — 09/10/2011 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1013.5 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 84°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.0 kn
avg  ·  max 4.4 kn
Gusts to 10.5 kn
From WNW (285°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover25% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1013.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn · SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Old Dominion: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.32 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Old Dominion by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (76 labelled days at Old Dominion).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →