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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 1 23 28 51
2 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 2 42 34 76
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 21 78 99
4 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 62 46 108
5 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 94 18 112
6 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 76 52 128
7 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 90 42 132
8 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 69 82 151
9 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia British Columbia 62 89 151
10 University of Oregon University of Oregon Women's 80 118 198
11 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 100 135 235
12 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 6 117 124 241
13 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 123 119 242
14 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 145 106 251
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 4 3 4 21 Alexander Halliday '16
Emily Levalley '16
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 1 1 1 2 2 3 2 5 5 1 1 23 Ross Jespersen '16
Leh Smallshaw '17
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 2 5 3 OCS 4 2 4 2 2 2 3 42
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia British Columbia 7 13 4 3 9 5 4 6 4 7 62 Neil Roberts '11
Jeanne Currie '16
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 9 11 8 5 7 9 3 1 7 2 62 Kris Thompson '16 [1-4, 7-10]
Jordan Cutter '14 [5-6]
Jordan Cutter '14 [1-4, 7-10]
Kris Thompson '16 [5-6]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 4 9 3 7 6 6 7 7 5 DNS 69 Scott Van Bergen '15
Taylor Miron '16
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 10 7 5 6 4 3 6 10 10 DNS 76 Ryan Fritsen '14
Janey Lyon '16
University of Oregon University of Oregon Women's 2 4 7 11 DNF 10 DNF 3 8 5 80 Eliza Pearce '15
George White '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 11 5 9 9 8 8 8 8 9 DNS 90 Ryan Mclaughlin '16
Ericka Smith '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 8 DNF 6 10 11 11 12 9 6 6 94 Reid Henry '16
Maia Hanson '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 12 6 11 8 5 7 9 12 DNS DNS 100 Jasmine Gerraty '17
Emily Hanna '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 6 6 10 10 13 10 12 11 DNF DNS DNS 117 Evan Derickson '13
Jake Fetterman '15
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 14 8 12 12 DNF DNS 10 11 11 DNS 123 Kyle Kubler '13
Lauren Engstrom '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 13 12 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNF DNS DNS DNS 145 Aaron Zilz '16
Kyle Dirks '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 3 5 2 18 Taylor Martin '16
Amanda Martelli '13
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 1 4 6 6 4 2 3 1 1 1 28 Nicki Le Baron '15
Jennifer Macdonald '16
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 2 6 4 4 2 4 5 2 3 4 34
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 2 3 1 5 3 4 5 4 DNS 42 Gabe Hill '16
Elisa Fu '15
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 5 8 5 3 6 6 8 2 3 46 Michael Mallory '15 [1-9]
Mike Davis '14 [1-6, 9]
Steve Johnsen '15 [7-8]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 2 3 13 5 1 4 DNF 6 52 Charles Shoemaker '16
Kathleen Brennan '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 8 5 8 10 8 10 9 DNF 5 78 Thane Gill '15
Amber Michaelis '12
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 9 DNF 7 7 9 7 7 6 DNS 82 Breton Zyirek '14
Gary Cozad '13
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia British Columbia 7 DNS 10 6 7 8 6 DNF DNS 89 Heather Dixon '14
Clara Reid '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 10 DNF 9 8 10 9 DNS DNS DNS 106 Colin Ridgley '16 [1-9]
Ruthie Jablonsky '16 [1-2]
Rhiannon Peitersen '15 [3-9]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Women's DNF 7 12 9 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 118 Arek Chucovich '13
Kaitlin Livingston '15
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers DNF DNF 11 11 11 11 DNS DNS DNS 119 Emma Franz '15
Alex Brush '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 6 DNF DNF 13 12 12 12 DNS DNS DNS 124 Hope Odendahl '16
Nicole Chaves '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 DNF DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNF DNF DNS 135 Nathalie Cushing '16
Mollie Hunt '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia British Columbia5555555555
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks73737373737373737373
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings78787878787878787878
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers83838383838383838383
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder 184848484848484848484
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder 285858585858585858585
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies82828282828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 61000100010001000100010001000100010001000

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia British Columbia555555555
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks737373737373737373
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings787878787878787878
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers838383838383838383
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder 1848484848484848484
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder 2858585858585858585
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies828282828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 6100010001000100010001000100010001000
School / Team SkipperCrew
Portland State University Portland State University Scott Van Bergen '15 Taylor Miron '16
Vikings Breton Zyirek '14 Gary Cozad '13
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Neil Roberts '11 Jeanne Currie '16
British Columbia Heather Dixon '14 Clara Reid '16
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ryan Fritsen '14 Janey Lyon '16
Ducks Charles Shoemaker '16 Kathleen Brennan '15
University of Oregon University of Oregon Eliza Pearce '15 George White '16
Women's Arek Chucovich '13 Kaitlin Livingston '15
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Kyle Kubler '13 Lauren Engstrom '16
Loggers Emma Franz '15 Alex Brush '13
University of Victoria University of Victoria Ross Jespersen '16 Leh Smallshaw '17
Thunder 1 Nicki Le Baron '15 Jennifer Macdonald '16
University of Washington University of Washington Kris Thompson '16 [1-4, 7-10]
Jordan Cutter '14 [5-6]		 Jordan Cutter '14 [1-4, 7-10]
Kris Thompson '16 [5-6]
Huskies Michael Mallory '15 [1-9] Mike Davis '14 [1-6, 9]
Steve Johnsen '15 [7-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Reid Henry '16 Maia Hanson '15
Vikings 1 Taylor Martin '16 Amanda Martelli '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Aaron Zilz '16 Kyle Dirks '16
Vikings 2 Colin Ridgley '16 [1-9] Ruthie Jablonsky '16 [1-2]
Rhiannon Peitersen '15 [3-9]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Jasmine Gerraty '17 Emily Hanna '16
Vikings 3 Nathalie Cushing '16 Mollie Hunt '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Alexander Halliday '16 Emily Levalley '16
Vikings 4 Thane Gill '15 Amber Michaelis '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Ryan Mclaughlin '16 Ericka Smith '15
Vikings 5 Gabe Hill '16 Elisa Fu '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Evan Derickson '13 Jake Fetterman '15
Vikings 6 Hope Odendahl '16 Nicole Chaves '13

Conditions — 11/03/2012 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 95%  ·  Pressure 1015.3 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.3 kn
Gusts to 21.2 kn
From S (169°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity95% Pressure1015.3 hPa Rain0.53 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn · SE 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Western Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Western Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (23 labelled days at Western Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →