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Nittany Lion Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 2 4
2 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 1 7 9 16
3 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 9 7 16
4 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 13 6 19
5 Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 6 17 23
6 University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 14 9 23
7 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 18 14 32
8 Penn State University Penn State University Bucknell 16 22 38
9 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 2 19 22 41
10 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 22 22 44
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers11
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings22
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Bucknell66
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions 133
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions 21919
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers2323
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester2020
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester2121
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers2222
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers2424

Conditions — 10/26/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1017.4 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 30°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.6 kn
avg  ·  max 10.2 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From SW (215°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover23% Sunshine9.2 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1017.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Penn State: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.38)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Penn State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Penn State: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →