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SAISA South Points #6

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 24 16 40
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 1 20 23 43
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Blue 35 30 65
4 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 34 31 65
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 33 46 79
6 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 2 50 33 83
7 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 25 71 96
8 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 62 51 113
9 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 56 60 116
10 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 73 50 123
11 Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 68 77 145
12 Eckerd College Eckerd College Teal 76 82 158
13 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 85 74 159
14 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 94 92 186
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 1 5 4 3 2 4 1 1 20 Daniel Lawless '17
Mara Strobel-Lanka '17
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 2 1 8 3 6 3 24 Jason D'Agostino '17
Sarah Hanson '16
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 4 1 2 10 1 3 4 25 Ian Nora '14
Ashley Siana '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 9 5 7 3 5 2 2 33 Sara Simon '15
Tekla Mayotte '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 7 3 5 7 2 4 6 34 Ali Yarbrough '16
Kayla Burrows '17
Eckerd College Eckerd College Blue 2 6 4 1 9 5 8 35 Seth Barrows '15 [1-4]
Bradford Cederberg '15 [5-7]
Audrey Franchett '17 [1-4]
Aliki Fornier '17 [5-7]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 2 8 10 6 5 7 7 7 50 Alex Steo '17
Victoria Caba '17
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 6 7 12 4 11 11 5 56 Sarah Ranney '17
Abigail Beauchamp '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 3 12 10 12 6 9 10 62 Lauren Youngerman '16
Thomas Hamby '15
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 13 8 9 6 13 10 9 68 Josh Proctor '15 [1-7]
Aaron Rusoff '15 [1-4]
Kyle Chaffo '17 [5-6]
Alexandra Coleman '17 [7]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 10 14 11 11 8 8 11 73 Ryan Clarke '16
Trevor Johnson '16
Eckerd College Eckerd College Teal 11 9 8 9 12 14 13 76 Sam Cooke '17
Sophie Abadia '15
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 12 11 13 14 10 13 12 85 Michael Long '14 [1-7]
Jun Whee Yoo '17 [1-2, 7]
Emily Fleming '14 [3-4]
David Smith '14 [5-6]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 14 13 14 13 14 12 14 94 Morgan Walker '17
Sara Wedemeyer '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 1 3 1 2 1 5 16 Erik Brydges '14
Heidi Carlson '16
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 1 5 2 2 5 4 3 2 23 Ian Ikeda '17
Hannah Knighton '17
Eckerd College Eckerd College Blue 1 3 4 3 5 11 3 30 Benjamin Chafee '16 [1-7]
Shaughnessy Lindquist '16 [1-4]
Hannah Baldwin '17 [5-7]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 4 5 10 6 1 4 1 31 Megan Hostetter '19 [1-4]
Colleen Hartman '13 [5-7]
Lizette Arnold '17 [1-4]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 2 2 6 1 2 3 9 10 33 Peter Hidley '17
Anna Palmer '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 7 9 6 4 11 5 4 46 Kristen Walker '17
Katie Berg '17
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 9 10 5 7 9 2 8 50 William Layne '16
Branden Nathe '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 10 4 8 8 6 8 7 51 Dean Nixon '16 [1-7]
Amanda Milford '15 [1-4]
Megan Hostetter '19 [5-7]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 6 7 9 12 7 10 9 60 Dylan Diliberto '14
Alexandra Koziak '15
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 13 13 7 9 12 6 11 71 Bernardo Pineda '16
Alexis Ryan '16
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 12 12 12 10 8 7 13 74 James Montgomery '17 [1-7]
Kyle Johnson '17 [1-2, 7]
Emily Fleming '14 [3-4]
David Bacsik '14 [5-6]
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 8 8 14 13 14 14 6 77 Susannah Spoto '16 [1-2, 5-7]
Kevin Albertsson '17 [3-4]
Alexandra Coleman '17 [1-2]
Anthony Abegglen '17 [3-6]
Aaron Rusoff '15 [7]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Teal 11 11 11 DNF 10 12 12 82 Cooper Smith '16
Dana Mclean '17
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 14 14 13 11 13 13 14 92 Daniel Royer '17
Alexander Robau '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Blue882020181816
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Teal991111131315
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons7799111113
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles101088202018
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators121210108820
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles11111313151517
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins 113131515171719
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins 21414121210108
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes1515171719197
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College16161414121210
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars17171919779
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 118181616141412
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 21919779911
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 320201818161614

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Blue771919171715
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Teal10101212141416
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons881010121214
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles9977191917
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators1111997719
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles12121414161618
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins 114141616181820
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins 213131111997
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes1616181820208
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College1515131311119
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars181820208810
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 117171515131311
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 2202088101012
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 319191717151513
School / Team SkipperCrew
Eckerd College Eckerd College Seth Barrows '15 [1-4]
Bradford Cederberg '15 [5-7]		 Audrey Franchett '17 [1-4]
Aliki Fornier '17 [5-7]
Blue Benjamin Chafee '16 [1-7] Shaughnessy Lindquist '16 [1-4]
Hannah Baldwin '17 [5-7]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Sam Cooke '17 Sophie Abadia '15
Teal Cooper Smith '16 Dana Mclean '17
Eckerd College Eckerd College Jason D'Agostino '17 Sarah Hanson '16
Tritons Erik Brydges '14 Heidi Carlson '16
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Ryan Clarke '16 Trevor Johnson '16
Eagles William Layne '16 Branden Nathe '14
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Josh Proctor '15 [1-7] Aaron Rusoff '15 [1-4]
Kyle Chaffo '17 [5-6]
Alexandra Coleman '17 [7]
Eagles Susannah Spoto '16 [1-2, 5-7]
Kevin Albertsson '17 [3-4]		 Alexandra Coleman '17 [1-2]
Anthony Abegglen '17 [3-6]
Aaron Rusoff '15 [7]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Daniel Lawless '17 Mara Strobel-Lanka '17
Dolphins 1 Ian Ikeda '17 Hannah Knighton '17
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Alex Steo '17 Victoria Caba '17
Dolphins 2 Peter Hidley '17 Anna Palmer '17
New College of Florida New College of Florida Michael Long '14 [1-7] Jun Whee Yoo '17 [1-2, 7]
Emily Fleming '14 [3-4]
David Smith '14 [5-6]
New College James Montgomery '17 [1-7] Kyle Johnson '17 [1-2, 7]
Emily Fleming '14 [3-4]
David Bacsik '14 [5-6]
Rollins College Rollins College Ian Nora '14 Ashley Siana '14
Tars Bernardo Pineda '16 Alexis Ryan '16
University of Florida University of Florida Morgan Walker '17 Sara Wedemeyer '17
Gators Daniel Royer '17 Alexander Robau '17
University of Miami University of Miami Sarah Ranney '17 Abigail Beauchamp '14
Hurricanes Dylan Diliberto '14 Alexandra Koziak '15
University of South Florida University of South Florida Ali Yarbrough '16 Kayla Burrows '17
Bulls 1 Megan Hostetter '19 [1-4]
Colleen Hartman '13 [5-7]		 Lizette Arnold '17 [1-4]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Sara Simon '15 Tekla Mayotte '16
Bulls 2 Kristen Walker '17 Katie Berg '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Lauren Youngerman '16 Thomas Hamby '15
Bulls 3 Dean Nixon '16 [1-7] Amanda Milford '15 [1-4]
Megan Hostetter '19 [5-7]

Conditions — 10/19/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1013.2 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 88°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.6 kn
avg  ·  max 6.5 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From SSW (204°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover25% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1013.2 hPa Rain0.05 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Eckerd: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Eckerd by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (55 labelled days at Eckerd).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →