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SAISA South Points #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 23 28 51
2 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 36 16 52
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 33 22 55
4 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 39 36 75
5 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 43 32 75
6 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 17 61 78
7 New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 1 41 37 78
8 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 2 74 44 118
9 Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 47 78 125
10 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 1 75 57 132
11 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 1 65 70 135
12 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 57 104 161
13 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 96 86 182
14 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 98 86 184
15 New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 2 103 88 191
16 New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 3 114 107 221
17 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 111 126 237
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 4 1 1 4 4 1 2 17 Madison Gates '18
Alexandra Veakis '18
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 2 2 2 1 5 7 4 23 Anna Huebschmann '18
Heidi Carlson '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 1 7 4 5 1 9 6 33 Dean Nixon '16
Devin Hansen '16
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 5 3 3 7 9 8 1 36 Geoffrey Nelson '18
Shaughnessy Lindquist '16
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 3 4 9 2 3 11 7 39 Giancarlo Falconi '16
Nick Gangemi '16
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 1 9 5 5 9 2 2 9 41 Sophia Schultz '17
Abigail Oakes '15
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 7 11 6 6 7 3 3 43 Jack Famiglietti '18
Angela Skane '16
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 8 8 11 3 8 4 5 47 Curtis Woodworth '17
Meghan Peltier '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 6 9 12 11 6 5 8 57 Martin Hood '18
Kayla Burrows '17
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 1 11 6 7 13 11 6 11 65 Peter Hidley '17
Karolina Dzieniszewski '15
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 2 14 12 8 10 10 10 10 74 Allison Price '16
Kelsy Waack '18
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 1 10 10 10 8 12 13 12 75 Maria Ayala '18
Cayla Jordan '18
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 12 15 16 15 13 12 13 96 Christian Gotsch '16
Natalie Shah '18
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 15 13 14 12 14 16 14 98 Thomas Monson '14
Nicholas Algozzine '15
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 2 13 14 17 14 16 14 15 103 Margaret Swerdloff '17
Miranda Gale '18
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 16 16 15 16 15 15 DNS 111 Stephen Renard '17
No Show
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 3 17 17 13 17 17 17 16 114 Zachary Peralto '18
Jubin Shah '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 1 2 1 5 2 2 3 16 Andrew Schoene '18
William Mckenzie '17
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 2 4 4 6 3 1 2 22 Brendan Feeney '18
Sara Simon '15
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 3 6 7 1 6 4 1 28 Hana Zwick '18
Audrey Franchett '17
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 9 3 5 3 1 5 6 32 Samuel Armington '18
Sara Wedemeyer '17
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 6 1 2 2 7 9 9 36 Laura Hernandez '15 [1-4]
Geoffrey Calderone '18 [5-7]
Geoffrey Calderone '18 [1-4]
Laura Hernandez '15 [5-7]
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 1 4 7 10 4 5 3 4 37 Cornell Lee '16
Francisco Perez '17
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 2 7 8 3 9 4 6 7 44 Anna Palmer '17
Victoria Caba '17
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 1 5 5 12 7 8 8 12 57 Nelson Millett '18
Hannah Friedle '18
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 11 10 6 13 9 7 5 61 Delaney Caron '18
Julia Rowan '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 1 8 9 13 11 10 11 8 70 Benjamin Tino '16
Alexandria Gagne '18
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 10 13 9 12 11 12 11 78 Rafael Melendez '17
Beatriz Dunoyer De Segonzac '18
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 13 11 11 14 13 10 14 86 Christopher Woodle '18
Patrick Amy '18
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 16 12 8 8 15 14 13 86 Katie Dodge '18
Bryan Reynoso '14
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 2 12 15 14 10 14 13 10 88 Cora Coleman '18
Constance Sartor '18
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 14 16 16 16 12 15 15 104 Joshua Holden '16
Rebecca Carrigan '18
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 3 15 14 15 15 16 16 16 107 Jerry Stoops '18
Georgia Cross '18
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 126 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (51 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 11122334
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 22233445
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators 112121313141415
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators 213131414151516
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State4455667
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech3344556
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins 15566778
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins 26677889
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes14141515161617
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls 177889910
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls 28899101011
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls 3991010111112
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 110101111121213
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 211111212131314
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 11515161617171
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 216161717112
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 3171711223

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 11122334
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 22233445
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators 112121313141415
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators 213131414151516
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State4455667
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech3344556
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins 15566778
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins 26677889
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes14141515161617
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls 177889910
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls 28899101011
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls 3991010111112
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 110101111121213
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars 211111212131314
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 11515161617171
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 216161717112
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 3171711223
School / Team SkipperCrew
Eckerd College Eckerd College Geoffrey Nelson '18 Shaughnessy Lindquist '16
Tritons 1 Andrew Schoene '18 William Mckenzie '17
Eckerd College Eckerd College Anna Huebschmann '18 Heidi Carlson '16
Tritons 2 Hana Zwick '18 Audrey Franchett '17
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Christian Gotsch '16 Natalie Shah '18
Florida Tech Christopher Woodle '18 Patrick Amy '18
Florida State University Florida State University Curtis Woodworth '17 Meghan Peltier '16
Florida State Rafael Melendez '17 Beatriz Dunoyer De Segonzac '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Peter Hidley '17 Karolina Dzieniszewski '15
Dolphins 1 Benjamin Tino '16 Alexandria Gagne '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Allison Price '16 Kelsy Waack '18
Dolphins 2 Anna Palmer '17 Victoria Caba '17
New College of Florida New College of Florida Sophia Schultz '17 Abigail Oakes '15
Nulls 1 Cornell Lee '16 Francisco Perez '17
New College of Florida New College of Florida Margaret Swerdloff '17 Miranda Gale '18
Nulls 2 Cora Coleman '18 Constance Sartor '18
New College of Florida New College of Florida Zachary Peralto '18 Jubin Shah '16
Nulls 3 Jerry Stoops '18 Georgia Cross '18
Rollins College Rollins College Maria Ayala '18 Cayla Jordan '18
Tars 1 Nelson Millett '18 Hannah Friedle '18
Rollins College Rollins College Stephen Renard '17 No Show
Tars 2 No Show No Show
University of Florida University of Florida Jack Famiglietti '18 Angela Skane '16
Gators 1 Samuel Armington '18 Sara Wedemeyer '17
University of Florida University of Florida Thomas Monson '14 Nicholas Algozzine '15
Gators 2 Katie Dodge '18 Bryan Reynoso '14
University of Miami University of Miami Giancarlo Falconi '16 Nick Gangemi '16
Hurricanes Laura Hernandez '15 [1-4]
Geoffrey Calderone '18 [5-7]		 Geoffrey Calderone '18 [1-4]
Laura Hernandez '15 [5-7]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Dean Nixon '16 Devin Hansen '16
Bulls 1 Brendan Feeney '18 Sara Simon '15
University of South Florida University of South Florida Martin Hood '18 Kayla Burrows '17
Bulls 2 Joshua Holden '16 Rebecca Carrigan '18
University of South Florida University of South Florida Madison Gates '18 Alexandra Veakis '18
Bulls 3 Delaney Caron '18 Julia Rowan '18

Conditions — 09/27/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1014.9 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 76°F
Feels like 90°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From ENE (79°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1014.9 hPa Rain0.27 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at South Florida: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.23 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →