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SAISA South Points #6

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 74
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 133
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 134
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 141
5 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 164
6 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 181
7 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 204
8 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls JV 208
9 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 216
10 Florida State University Florida State University Florida State 225
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Florida University of Florida Gators A 12 1 1 2 4 1 2 3 26 Jack Famiglietti '18
Rachel Daye '18
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 A 8 4 2 1 6 3 1 2 27 Karl Rasmus Sayre '19
Irene Dobbs '19
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 B 6 9 9 4 1 2 10 6 47 Samuel Normington '18
Kim Kusminsky '19
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 B 4 5 8 3 10 10 5 5 50 Geoffrey St. John '19
Kathryn Ross '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 10 10 5 5 5 4 3 15 57 Peter Hidley '17
Kelsy Waack '18
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 16 14 11 6 3 8 4 4 66 Dean Nixon '16
Devin Hansen '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 5 8 6 8 12 6 9 14 68 Orrin Starr '19
Rachel Yannelli '19
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 14 3 10 7 8 14 12 8 76 Benjamin Tino '16
Natalie Butler '18
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women A 2 19 3 14 15 12 11 1 77 Kelly Stukbauer '19
Audrey Scanlon '19
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 9 2 15 20 2 5 14 12 79 Giancarlo Falconi '16
Nick Gangemi '16
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State A 7 11 12 9 20 9 8 9 85 Curtis Woodworth '17
Ethan Voegele '19
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls JV B 11 12 4 12 7 16 6 17 85 Dylan Hancock '19
Megan Hostetter '19
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 A 3 13 14 15 16 7 7 13 88 Sophie Salomon '18 [1-8]
Jane Anne Donovan '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Sage Morgan '18 [5-6]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 A 13 6 7 11 19 11 17 7 91 Samuel Peirson '17 [1-8]
Sage Morgan '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Jane Anne Donovan '18 [5-6]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 B 1 7 18 10 13 13 15 16 93 Hana Zwick '18
Jean Crotty '18
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls JV A 19 16 16 13 9 19 20 11 123 Toby Perelmuter '18 [1-6]
Paul Grisko '18 [7-8]
Madeline Friese '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Paul Grisko '18 [5-6]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women B 18 18 13 18 14 17 19 10 127 Darby Capellin '19 [1-4]
Delaney Caron '18 [5-8]
Delaney Caron '18 [1-4]
Darby Capellin '19 [5-8]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 20 17 19 16 11 18 16 20 137 Benjamin Ringrose '19
Ryan Keller '19
University of Florida University of Florida Gators B 17 15 17 19 18 20 13 19 138 Katie Freeley '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Jeroen Poelstra '18 [5-6]
Charlotte Samson '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Jeroen Poelstra '18 [3-4]
Florida State University Florida State University Florida State B 15 20 20 17 17 15 18 18 140 Rafael Melendez '17
Hannah Sellers '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.240+0.24
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 111223344
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 2221120201919
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 333445566
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators66554433
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State44332211
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins55667788
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes7788991010
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls88776655
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls JV99101011111212
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women1010998877

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 11111121213131414
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 212121111101099
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 31313141415151616
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators1616151514141313
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Florida State1414131312121111
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins1515161617171818
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes1717181819192020
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1818171716161515
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls JV191920201122
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women2020191918181717

Conditions — 10/17/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1017.9 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 6.1 kn
Gusts to 15.7 kn
From NNE (28°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover13% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1017.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Eckerd: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.46 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Eckerd by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (55 labelled days at Eckerd).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →