SAISA South Points #2

HostNew College
Date09/19/2015
TypeNOT ALLOWED In-Conference
Boat420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	University of South Florida	Bulls	14	9	23
2	University of Florida	Gators	20	14	34
3	Jacksonville University	Fins 1	23	27	50
4	Eckerd College	Tritons	27	23	50
5	University of Miami	Hurricanes	33	17	50
6	New College of Florida	Nulls 1	28	48	76
7	Jacksonville University	Fins 2	39	42	81
8	Florida State University	Florida State	35	52	87
9	Embry-Riddle University	Eagles	56	41	97
10	New College of Florida	Nulls 2	55	58	113

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
University of South Florida	Bulls	1	1	1	1	3	7	14	Brendan Feeney '18 Audrey Scanlon '19
University of Florida	Gators	2	2	2	7	1	6	20	Samuel Armington '18 [1-6] Jasmine Dahlby '19 [1-2, 5-6] Katie Dodge '18 [3-4]
Jacksonville University	Fins 1	3	6	5	4	4	1	23	Peter Hidley '17 Kelsy Waack '18
Eckerd College	Tritons	4	3	8	2	2	8	27	Samuel Normington '18 Aliki Fornier '17
New College of Florida	Nulls 1	9	4	3	3	7	2	28	Sophia Schultz '17 James Montgomery '17
University of Miami	Hurricanes	6	5	4	8	5	5	33	Giancarlo Falconi '16 Nick Gangemi '16
Florida State University	Florida State	5	7	7	5	8	3	35	Curtis Woodworth '17 Hannah Sellers '19
Jacksonville University	Fins 2	7	10	6	6	6	4	39	Shaynah True '19 Jessica Schwartz '18
New College of Florida	Nulls 2	8	9	10	9	10	9	55	Kayla Evens '17 Georgia Cross '18
Embry-Riddle University	Eagles	10	8	9	10	9	10	56	Michael Savage '17 Chi Hin Woo '18

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
University of South Florida	Bulls	2	1	1	2	2	1	9	Michael Sanandajian '18 Rachel Yannelli '19
University of Florida	Gators	1	2	2	3	3	3	14	Aaron Burnett '19 [1-6] Katie Freeley '19 [1-2, 5-6] Paul Talty '19 [3-4]
University of Miami	Hurricanes	4	5	4	1	1	2	17	Max Thompson '19 Jacob Dannin '18
Eckerd College	Tritons	3	4	3	4	4	5	23	Matthew Peterson '18 [1-6] Sage Morgan '18 [1-4] Dana Mclean '17 [5-6]
Jacksonville University	Fins 1	5	3	5	5	5	4	27	Benjamin Tino '16 Joseph Collura '11
Embry-Riddle University	Eagles	6	6	6	7	8	8	41	No Show Caitlin Clark '19
Jacksonville University	Fins 2	7	7	8	6	7	7	42	Stanley Carraway '19 Savannah Vereen '18
New College of Florida	Nulls 1	8	9	DNF	8	6	6	48	Margaret Swerdloff '17 Cora Coleman '18
Florida State University	Florida State	9	8	7	10	9	9	52	James Alessandrelli '17 Ethan Voegele '19
New College of Florida	Nulls 2	10	10	9	9	10	10	58	Jerry Stoops '18 Anne Emig '16

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.050+0.05

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Eckerd College Tritons	1	1	13	13	3	3
Embry-Riddle University Eagles	2	2	14	14	4	4
University of Florida Gators	17	17	18	18	2	2
Florida State University Florida State	13	13	3	3	15	15
Jacksonville University Fins 1	14	14	4	4	17	17
Jacksonville University Fins 2	3	3	15	15	5	5
University of Miami Hurricanes	5	5	1	1	13	13
New College of Florida Nulls 1	4	4	17	17	18	18
New College of Florida Nulls 2	15	15	5	5	1	1
University of South Florida Bulls	18	18	2	2	14	14

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Eckerd College Tritons	2	2	14	14	4	4
Embry-Riddle University Eagles	13	13	3	3	15	15
University of Florida Gators	5	5	1	1	13	13
Florida State University Florida State	14	14	4	4	17	17
Jacksonville University Fins 1	3	3	15	15	5	5
Jacksonville University Fins 2	4	4	17	17	18	18
University of Miami Hurricanes	18	18	2	2	14	14
New College of Florida Nulls 1	15	15	5	5	1	1
New College of Florida Nulls 2	17	17	18	18	2	2
University of South Florida Bulls	1	1	13	13	3	3

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Eckerd College	Samuel Normington '18	Aliki Fornier '17
Tritons	Matthew Peterson '18 [1-6]	Sage Morgan '18 [1-4] Dana Mclean '17 [5-6]
Embry-Riddle University	Michael Savage '17	Chi Hin Woo '18
Eagles	No Show	Caitlin Clark '19
Florida State University	Curtis Woodworth '17	Hannah Sellers '19
Florida State	James Alessandrelli '17	Ethan Voegele '19
Jacksonville University	Peter Hidley '17	Kelsy Waack '18
Fins 1	Benjamin Tino '16	Joseph Collura '11
Jacksonville University	Shaynah True '19	Jessica Schwartz '18
Fins 2	Stanley Carraway '19	Savannah Vereen '18
New College of Florida	Sophia Schultz '17	James Montgomery '17
Nulls 1	Margaret Swerdloff '17	Cora Coleman '18
New College of Florida	Kayla Evens '17	Georgia Cross '18
Nulls 2	Jerry Stoops '18	Anne Emig '16
University of Florida	Samuel Armington '18 [1-6]	Jasmine Dahlby '19 [1-2, 5-6] Katie Dodge '18 [3-4]
Gators	Aaron Burnett '19 [1-6]	Katie Freeley '19 [1-2, 5-6] Paul Talty '19 [3-4]
University of Miami	Giancarlo Falconi '16	Nick Gangemi '16
Hurricanes	Max Thompson '19	Jacob Dannin '18
University of South Florida	Brendan Feeney '18	Audrey Scanlon '19
Bulls	Michael Sanandajian '18	Rachel Yannelli '19

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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SAISA South Points #2

Division A

Division B

From the notes