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Fall PCC - JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 29 21 50
2 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 33 29 62
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 26 48 74
4 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 33 64 97
5 Keelhaulers Keelhaulers Keelhaulers 66 MRP 31 MRP 97 MRP
6 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 46 63 109
7 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 39 78 117
8 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 71 64 135
9 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 66 77 143
10 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 79 74 153
11 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 90 79 169
12 Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 101 69 170
13 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 98 105 203
14 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 121 98 219
15 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 110 123 233
16 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 120 117 237
17 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 135 135 270
18 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 131 142 273
19 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 160 160 320
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 5 2 7 1 5 1 2 3 26 Dylan Finestone '19
Shannie Kuo '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 7 3 2 3 8 1 4 29 Will Paulsen '19
Clifford Lester '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 2 3 2 4 4 7 6 5 33 Kevin Leddy '17 [1-8]
Madeline Miller '20 [1-6]
Mckenna Thomas '20 [7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 3 1 6 5 7 4 5 2 33 Miles Picus '18
Georgia Potter '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 6 5 1 7 2 5 7 6 39 Liam Hood '20
James Kerman '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 11 6 5 6 11 3 3 1 46 David Hopkins '19
Ekaterina Goncharova '18
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 8 10 4 9 9 6 13 7 66 Andrew Strike '20
David Gann '19
Keelhaulers Keelhaulers Keelhaulers 9 8 8 3 1 2 4 11 66 MRP
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 4 9 11 13 6 11 8 9 71 Abraham Dearden '20
Kevin Wei '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 12 4 9 8 13 14 11 8 79 John Mcinerney '18 [1-7]
Ari Zeen '17 [8]
Annie Thompson '19 [1-7]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 7 16 14 11 14 9 9 10 90 Casey Bowers-Loeffler '19 [1-8]
Laura Furtado '18 [1-6]
Douglas Williams '20 [7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 10 11 13 12 17 12 10 13 98 Fisher Price '20
Ellen Carlander '20
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 13 12 10 10 15 15 14 12 101 Noah Delaurie '19
Sophi Rivera '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 17 17 12 15 10 13 12 14 110 Ankit Rastogi '19
Eric Du '18
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 16 18 16 16 8 16 15 15 120 Picasso Vasquez '20
Jenna Rutledge '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 18 13 15 17 16 10 16 16 121 Grant Lin '17 [1-8]
Canyon Breyer '20 [1-6]
Chieko Imai '20 [7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 14 14 DNF 14 12 17 DNS DNS 131
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 15 15 17 18 18 18 17 17 135 Joseph Naro '18
Brianna Pinto '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 160 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 1 6 6 2 2 1 2 21 Mason Comerford '20 [1-8]
Jonathan Wilson '20 [1-3, 6-8]
Emily Quirke '19 [4-5]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 3 3 4 2 3 5 5 4 29 Sean Jawetz '20
Marissa Rajczi '19
Keelhaulers Keelhaulers Keelhaulers 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 31 MRP
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 5 7 2 OCS 4 4 3 3 48 Maxwell Mckinney '19
Cecilie Lande '20
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 11 13 11 5 5 3 10 5 63 Ekaterina Goncharova '18 [1-3]
Tyler Hogan '17 [4-8]
Melissa Jaffe '20 [1-3]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 4 9 8 7 13 13 4 6 64 Hallie Muller '20 [1-8]
Arjun Boddu '18 [1-3, 7-8]
Ricky Amadour '18 [4-6]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 6 4 5 4 OCS 10 7 8 64 Ben Gerber '19 [1-8]
Grace Phillips '18 [1-6]
Madeline Offerman '19 [7-8]
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 13 6 7 11 8 6 8 10 69 Timothy Metz '20
Jennifer Mcafee '19
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 9 5 10 10 6 11 11 12 74 John Lisenby '17
Jesus Viramontes '19
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 10 11 12 3 7 8 12 14 77 Gabrielle Lange '18
Katherine Sonnenfeldt '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 7 8 3 OCS OCS 7 6 7 78 Liam Chaffey '19
Catherine Kerman '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 8 12 9 9 9 12 9 11 79 Jason Barr '17
Chieko Imai '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 16 16 17 8 10 9 13 9 98 Yan Rui Goheen '17 [1-3]
Warren Ko '19 [4-8]
Robert Ketchum '19 [1-3, 7-8]
Jerod Flores '19 [4-6]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 12 10 13 14 12 14 15 15 105 Cameron Khorsandi '17 [1-8]
Rachel Zhao '19 [1-6]
Nathan Tessier '19 [7-8]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 15 18 16 12 11 15 17 13 117 Bradyn O'Connor '19 [1, 4-7]
Jj Zhang '20 [2-3, 8]
Jj Zhang '20 [1, 4-7]
Bradyn O'Connor '19 [2-3, 8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 17 15 15 13 14 16 16 17 123 Kristopher Wong '18
Marianne Simpson '19
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 18 17 18 15 DNF 17 14 16 135 Adityavardhan Vijay Shah '20 [1-6]
Burak Kocal '18 [7-8]
Anthony El-Sokkary '20 [1-6]
Ivana Morris '17 [7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 14 14 14 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 142
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 160 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears8383838383838383
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang22222222
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers44444444
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans137137137137137137137137
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 14747474747474747
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 2471471471471471471471471
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 166666666
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2281281281281281281281281
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3282282282282282282282282
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1129129129129129129129129
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2292292292292292292292292
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3295295295295295295295295
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 430113011301130113011301130113011
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 11111111111111111
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 21212121212121212
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's3434343434343434
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes8989898989898989
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors88888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears8383838383838383
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang22222222
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers44444444
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans137137137137137137137137
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 14747474747474747
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 2471471471471471471471471
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 166666666
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2281281281281281281281281
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3282282282282282282282282
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1129129129129129129129129
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2292292292292292292292292
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3295295295295295295295295
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 430113011301130113011301130113011
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 11111111111111111
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 21212121212121212
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's3434343434343434
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes8989898989898989
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors88888888
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Liam Hood '20 James Kerman '17
Mustang Liam Chaffey '19 Catherine Kerman '19
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach John Mcinerney '18 [1-7]
Ari Zeen '17 [8]		 Annie Thompson '19 [1-7]
49ers John Lisenby '17 Jesus Viramontes '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley David Hopkins '19 Ekaterina Goncharova '18
Bears Ekaterina Goncharova '18 [1-3]
Tyler Hogan '17 [4-8]		 Melissa Jaffe '20 [1-3]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Joseph Naro '18 Brianna Pinto '20
Aggies 1 Adityavardhan Vijay Shah '20 [1-6]
Burak Kocal '18 [7-8]		 Anthony El-Sokkary '20 [1-6]
Ivana Morris '17 [7-8]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Picasso Vasquez '20 Jenna Rutledge '19
Aggies 2 Bradyn O'Connor '19 [1, 4-7]
Jj Zhang '20 [2-3, 8]		 Jj Zhang '20 [1, 4-7]
Bradyn O'Connor '19 [2-3, 8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Abraham Dearden '20 Kevin Wei '18
Bruins 1 Ben Gerber '19 [1-8] Grace Phillips '18 [1-6]
Madeline Offerman '19 [7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Ankit Rastogi '19 Eric Du '18
Bruins 2 Kristopher Wong '18 Marianne Simpson '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Miles Picus '18 Georgia Potter '18
Bruins 3 Hallie Muller '20 [1-8] Arjun Boddu '18 [1-3, 7-8]
Ricky Amadour '18 [4-6]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Casey Bowers-Loeffler '19 [1-8] Laura Furtado '18 [1-6]
Douglas Williams '20 [7-8]
Tritons 1 Jason Barr '17 Chieko Imai '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Grant Lin '17 [1-8] Canyon Breyer '20 [1-6]
Chieko Imai '20 [7-8]
Tritons 2 Yan Rui Goheen '17 [1-3]
Warren Ko '19 [4-8]		 Robert Ketchum '19 [1-3, 7-8]
Jerod Flores '19 [4-6]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Fisher Price '20 Ellen Carlander '20
Tritons 3 Cameron Khorsandi '17 [1-8] Rachel Zhao '19 [1-6]
Nathan Tessier '19 [7-8]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Kevin Leddy '17 [1-8] Madeline Miller '20 [1-6]
Mckenna Thomas '20 [7-8]
Gauchos 1 Sean Jawetz '20 Marissa Rajczi '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Dylan Finestone '19 Shannie Kuo '18
Gauchos 2 Maxwell Mckinney '19 Cecilie Lande '20
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Andrew Strike '20 David Gann '19
Banana Slug's Gabrielle Lange '18 Katherine Sonnenfeldt '20
University of Southern California University of Southern California Will Paulsen '19 Clifford Lester '19
Trojans Mason Comerford '20 [1-8] Jonathan Wilson '20 [1-3, 6-8]
Emily Quirke '19 [4-5]
University of Victoria University of Victoria No Show No Show
Vikes No Show No Show
Westmont College Westmont College Noah Delaurie '19 Sophi Rivera '18
Warriors Timothy Metz '20 Jennifer Mcafee '19

Conditions — 11/12/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 35%  ·  Pressure 1018.3 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.0 kn
avg  ·  max 3.8 kn
Gusts to 11.5 kn
From WSW (251°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity35% Pressure1018.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn · W 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC Santa Barbara: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.16 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Santa Barbara by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at UC Santa Barbara).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →